Free Republic 2016 Caucus Open Discussion Thread XLVI

Free Republic ^ | 4 March 2016 | Windflier

[Windflier]

DO NOT VOTE ON THIS THREAD.

This is the nightly DISCUSSION thread for the ongoing 2016 Free Republic Caucus. Per caucus rules, no comments are allowed on the caucus thread itself - hence this open chat thread.

If you'd like to vote in the caucus, please look in the sidebar for the link, or check downthread here.

Thanks, and let 'er rip!

Windy

[Windflier]

FR Caucus discussion ping

[BigEdLB]

New Gravis polls with Trump at/near majorities in LA&KY.Look out!

[fireman15]

Basically 80% Trump to 19% Cruz tonight, a new record. It will be interesting to see if the enthusiasm level here has any correlation to the actual contests this weekend. Should we be thanking Romney for lecturing the electorate? I do worry that the GOPe and he pros Cruz hired are very good at manipulating caucus results.

[Windflier]

Trumpmentum, baby. Unstoppable.

[bigbob]

Indeed, I was just looking at the list:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/

I went to college in Kansas and culturally much of the state is quite similar to Texas and Oklahoma, which I think explains Cruz’s higher popularity. Even his voice and speech pattern is similar. On the other hand the state has been hard-hit by factory closings and reductions in manufacturing, especially in the aircraft industry around Wichita where Trump will be tomorrow. A good move, and I think he will end up winning the Sunflower State.

[Lonely Bull]

Table 1: Free Republic Caucus 2016 threads, most recent 15 days

Date	Voting thread	Discussion thread	Results [on www.hotr.us]	Sequence no.
3/05	[link]	[link]	[available later]	46
3/04	[link]	[link]	[link]	45
3/03	[link]	[link]	[link]	44
3/02	[link]	[link]	[link]	43
3/01	[link]	[link]	[link]	42
2/29	[link]	[link]	[link]	41
2/28	[link]	[link]	[link]	40
2/27	[link]	[link]	[link]	39
2/26	[link]	[link]	[link]	38
2/25	[link]	[link]	[link]	37
2/24	[link]	[link]	[link]	36
2/23	[link]	[link]	[link]	35
2/22	[link]	[link]	[link]	34
2/21	[link]	[link]	[link]	33
2/20	[link]	[link]	[link]	32

Table 2: tables with older threads

Dates	Table	Sequence nos.
2/17 - 3/02	[link]	29-43
2/10 - 2/24	[link]	22-36
2/03 - 2/17	[link]	15-29
1/27 - 2/10	[link]	8-22
1/20 - 2/03	[link]	1-15

[sargon]

I see that the caucus numbers from March 4 are showing another bump for Trump. In the past couple of weeks, it's gone from 2-to-1, to 3-to-1, and now has increased to 80% Trump/20% Cruz, or 4-to-1.

And given the impeccable conservative makeup of this site, I can only presume that this portends a very good next couple of weeks for Donald Trump with the remainder of GOP voters.

Stick a fork in Cruz, he's done.

Maybe if Cruz stops doing things like shamefully and disingenuously playing the race card against Trump, he might have a shot at the VP slot...

[Windflier]

I don’t think there’s any question that the voting results in the real world correlate with the FR caucus patterns. Trump has been running away with the votes at both ends since this thing began.

The polls for the contests coming this weekend look heartbreaking for any candidate not named Trump. He’s going to go into Tuesday’s round of primary states with even greater momentum.

After the March 15th vote, I think we’ll see establishment GOPers losing all semblance of sanity. We’re going to hear and see things out those people that come across more like ‘Stabber’ Beck, than cool political players.

[Windflier]

“In the past couple of weeks, it’s gone from 2-to-1, to 3-to-1, and now has increased to 80% Trump/20% Cruz, or 4-to-1.”

Yet I’ve been assured by Cruzers that they’re in the majority on FR ;-)

What those percentages actually tell us, is that Cruzers are waking up to the reality that Ted’s not going to be the nominee, hence they’ve lost interest in the daily caucus here.

[MaxFlint]

Kasich surges to over one percent!

Cruz... all time low.

[digger48]

Cruz lost me at the debate last week.

I had never voted in the FR caucus before that because I supported both Cruz and Trump. Teds joining in the planned ambush that night was sickening and throwing in with Rubio was the final straw.

I’m now heading to the thread to “Vote Trump”

[jobim]

Interesting that last night, after the most brutal attack in American TV history of a
presidential candidate by three candidates, three panelists, and on the heels of one
nationally telecast diatribes by the nominee from the last election, on this night Trump
score the greatest margin of victory on the FR caucus.

It was so vile that it seems many are rising up to say: No, you the Establishment
will not have the final say!

[free_life]

Wow Cruz nosedived in FR caucus poll yesterday and Trump climbed, I guess reality is starting to set in with the ‘others’.

[SMGFan]

Are a vast majority of Cruz supports both here on FR and outside of FR ready to vote for Trump in November if he wins the nominations? Or will they stay home as voters did rather than support Mc Cain or Romney in 2008 and 2012?

[Pollster1]

The list we’ve lost: Bush, Carson, Christie, Fiorina, Gilmore, Graham, Huckabee, Pataki, Paul, Santorum (and others earlier, such as Walker) includes some very good men, several of whom would have been good presidents but were ineffective campaigners. All we need to do is add Rubio and Kasich to that list, and I’ll be happy no matter what the outcome.

I’ll miss Carson. I hope he will stay involved and in the news. The establishment and the media have a say in whether he will succeed, and I hope they will make the right choice. I am not optimistic.

[Pollster1]

I’ve made many pro-Cruz posts over the past year, and perhaps half as many that are pro-Trump. I would very strongly prefer Cruz, but Trump is the other candidate who would have my enthusiastic support.

Note: My vote does not matter. If Trump would carry Maryland without me, the election is a popular and electoral landslide for him. Still, Trump has my vote and my active support if he is the nominee.

[conservativesister]

Hey, we got Larry Hogan, MIRACLES do happen!

[Pollster1]

True. I did not expect that one at all.

[Windflier]

“Are a vast majority of Cruz supports both here on FR and outside of FR ready to vote for Trump in November if he wins the nominations?”

Not while they feel there’s even a slim chance that Ted Can pull off a miracle, and capture the nomination.

I’m beginning to see a few comments of resignation among Cruz supporters, but there’s still a lot of hope left, too. What’s sadder is the snarling bitterness displayed by a few. Those are the ones I expect will refuse to vote for Trump if he’s our nominee.