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Beware, Trump. The Gators are After You
Townhall.com ^ | March 3, 2016 | Matt Towery

Posted on 03/03/2016 7:50:32 AM PST by Kaslin

Donald Trump came out of Super Tuesday with, as he would describe, a "huge" collection of victories. Normally, it's presumed that a candidate winning seven Super Tuesday states, including New Hampshire and South Carolina, would have the Republican Party nomination in the bag. But that's not the case with Trump. His candidacy threatens to undo an entire system of journalists, consultants, lobbyists and big-money players who believe they will be ousted if Trump becomes president. They are equally sure that a Republican president will not come to pass if Trump is the GOP nominee.

Their horse in this bizarre political year is Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida. Going into the Michigan primary on March 8, Trump led Rubio in the Sunshine State by double digits in most recent polls. That would appear to give comfort to Trump. It should instead give him a case of indigestion. (I've eaten fried gator, and I know).

If you don't believe me, ask former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich. He won the Republican vote in the South Carolina primary in 2012. In my estimation, he would have defeated Barack Obama if he had won the GOP nomination. Gingrich was on a roll when he trounced Mitt Romney in South Carolina, but he came into the Florida primary just days later, with half-full campaign coffers.

Romney, licking his wounds from another loss to Gingrich in Iowa, came loaded to fight the bears -- make that the gators -- as he entered Florida. The gators snapped their jaws at him, brutally attacking him through TV ads in this media-saturated state. Gingrich never had a chance. In a matter of days, Romney and his super PACs had hit Gingrich with so many jabs, which translated into media rating points, that he never recovered.

And that brings us up to speed with the current contest for the GOP nomination. Trump has a head of steam that, in past years, would have demolished all money and support for his opponents. But look at the lopsidedness of Trump support; there are anti-Trump voters in the northern suburbs of Virginia, where lobbyists, government workers and other big-time politicos reside. It's no wonder that funds and endorsements for Rubio seem to grow every day.

If Trump plans to spend any campaign money on TV ads, he'd better do it fast. Ads airing in Florida are tougher than tough on him. They, too, snap like a Florida gator.

And, based on my many years of polling and opining in Florida, I can truthfully say that paid advertising moves voters in the state faster than any press conference or rally can.

To put it bluntly, Florida is the GOP establishment's true last stand against Trump. As I've written many times, where Florida goes, so goes the nation. And while Rubio trailed behind in recent Florida polls, he is known to Floridians as an often-underestimated comeback kid who emerges for victory at the last moment. If you don't believe me, call former Florida Governor Charlie Crist, who lost his own Senate bid to Rubio.

This has become a battle, quite literally, for job assurance for thousands of the most connected and powerful people in the world. Trump has received no help from them and has made it clear he needs none. They will throw everything in the kitchen sink at him. Such political tactics have worked many times in Florida.

Then there is Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, who gets no love from his GOP colleagues, but should be viewed as the lone true challenger to Trump. He has won three caucuses and stands solidly in second place for Republican delegates. In most other years Cruz would have been the lone winner in the Michigan primary. That is not the case in 2016.

Newt Gingrich correctly opined that Rubio and Cruz must fight one another for the right to take on Trump. He is spot on in his analysis. Indeed, Rubio's sharp attacks on Trump in the Houston GOP debate seemingly benefited Cruz more than than Rubio. So when the direct attack backfires, the better move is to lead the opponent into the swamp. The gators are waiting.


TOPICS: Cheese, Moose, Sister
KEYWORDS:
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1 posted on 03/03/2016 7:50:32 AM PST by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

Go for it. Rubio drooped 15 points nationally after the debate.

Still do not get it. These sort of poltical tactics is one of the things voters hate most about the Political Establishment.

Jeb push spent $130 million trying this. How did that work out?


2 posted on 03/03/2016 7:52:43 AM PST by MNJohnnie ( Tyranny, like Hell, is not easily conquered)
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To: Kaslin

I’m trying to imagine what kind of man or woman could weather the coming storm...? Oh yeah, Trump.


3 posted on 03/03/2016 7:53:39 AM PST by freedomjusticeruleoflaw (Western Civilization- whisper the words, and it will disappear. So let us talk now about rebirth.)
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To: Kaslin

Romney, jumping into the brier patch can do nothing but help Trump, and sadly Hillary also.


4 posted on 03/03/2016 7:55:16 AM PST by Don Corleone ("Oil the gun..eat the cannoli. Take it to the Mattress.")
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To: Kaslin

I want to thank Kaslin for posting every single article Townhall produces, that way you can read the story without providing them ad revenue.


5 posted on 03/03/2016 7:57:25 AM PST by Donglalinger
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To: Kaslin

I predict RINOs are about to be forced (by Trump) to show their true colors because their power is being threatened, and it ain’t gonna be pretty. These people are who many feared they were all along.


6 posted on 03/03/2016 7:57:28 AM PST by V_TWIN
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Comment #7 Removed by Moderator

To: Kaslin

Are you going to call me Hitler again?


8 posted on 03/03/2016 8:04:52 AM PST by Donglalinger
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To: Kaslin
Years ago there was a movie titled "Sand Pebbles". It was a story about the USS San Pablo during the Boxer Rebellion in China.

There were a lot of Chinese working on the ship doing the menial work.

That work was termed their 'rice bowl'.

What Trump is doing is threatening the political elite, media elite and lobby elite's 'rice bowls'.

If he is President, the 'rice bowls' that have been full for so many decades will suddenly be emptied.

That is what they are afraid of happening.

9 posted on 03/03/2016 8:15:26 AM PST by Parmy (I)
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To: Kaslin

IMO, The FL corridor is shakey, the lower South east will probably go with Rubio, only God knows how many of the supporters there just changed parties to vote for him. The south west would probably go with Trump, but there is a recent invasion there of the NE Liberal species from the south east moving from the east coast to the West. At the moment our population is greater than NY or CA, and who knows how many double voters there are here? We have early voting this week, love it, I wonder how many times one can get away with voting? (Not me personally)


10 posted on 03/03/2016 8:23:30 AM PST by Bringbackthedraft (HILLARY 2016 - SERIOUSLY? What are they thinking? Wuff, wuff?)
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To: Donglalinger

Dingaling, I didn’t call you Hitler and you know it. I was referring to Hitler by the enthusiasm that many Germans had for him. Your enthusiasm for Trump is the same or not much different.


11 posted on 03/03/2016 8:30:10 AM PST by Kaslin (He needed theThe l ignorant to reelect him. He got them and now we have to pay the consequences)
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To: Bringbackthedraft
At the moment our population is greater than NY or CA

FL has a larger population than NY, but CA is twice as large, and Texas is 50% larger.

12 posted on 03/03/2016 8:34:15 AM PST by Gunslingr3
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To: Kaslin
His candidacy threatens to undo an entire system of journalists, consultants, lobbyists and big-money players who believe they will be ousted if Trump becomes president.

Best case for mass trials and executions that I have ever seen.

13 posted on 03/03/2016 8:43:07 AM PST by meadsjn
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To: Kaslin

Voters hate disloyalty and betrayal.
We’ve felt it for the last three decades.
They see it in their selected candidate.
They do not understand that this is precisely why they are losing hard.


14 posted on 03/03/2016 8:46:11 AM PST by mabelkitty (Trump/Cruz 2016!)
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To: Kaslin

“I didn’t call you Hitler and you know it.”
Really? See below

Comment #21 Removed by Moderator


15 posted on 03/03/2016 8:48:53 AM PST by Donglalinger
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To: Donglalinger
Comment #21 Removed by Moderator

Dingaling, I know exactly what I posted and if you don't get the word enthusiasm which was the keyword, that is just to bad

16 posted on 03/03/2016 8:56:25 AM PST by Kaslin (He needed theThe l ignorant to reelect him. He got them and now we have to pay the consequences)
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To: Gunslingr3

Yes the population of TX and CA are larger than FL, but we have a few Cubans, Texas and CA have vastly far more Mexicans than any other states. Vincente Fox could probably win both those states. How many of the residents are eligible to vote in the election? The way things are being tracked, probably all of them. “Viva México del norte”


17 posted on 03/03/2016 9:07:54 AM PST by Bringbackthedraft (HILLARY 2016 - SERIOUSLY? What are they thinking? Wuff, wuff?)
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To: Kaslin
Dingaling, I didn’t call you Hitler and you know it. I was referring to Hitler by the enthusiasm that many Germans had for him. Your enthusiasm for Trump is the same or not much different.

That is an idiotic attack. By your analogy, my feelings for Reagan are Hitlerian. Dont be an ass.

18 posted on 03/03/2016 9:45:54 AM PST by Defiant (After 8 years of Chump Change, it's time for Trump Change!!)
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To: Defiant

Hey, I voted for President Reagan 3 times. First in the 1980 general election, than again in his reelection in the 1984 primaries and general election.


19 posted on 03/03/2016 10:05:28 AM PST by Kaslin (He needed theThe l ignorant to reelect him. He got them and now we have to pay the consequences)
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To: Kaslin

Non eligible, not Natural Born Citizens, Cubans, Chihuahua Prespiration Marko and Pinocchio Desperation Ted attacking Big Donald at CNN freestyle match.

20 posted on 03/03/2016 10:10:27 AM PST by Leo Carpathian (FReeeeepeesssssed)
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