Funny, Apple is looking at selling $5B of them this year. That’s a quarter of the watch market total.
The likely hood is that Apple already has sold $5 Billion of them this year. According to the statistics the average selling price has been a little over $500. . . and Apple sold 2.3 million Apple watches in the first TEN MINUTES they were available on April 10th for pre-sales. . . and 3 million on the first day. Apple continued to sell pre-sell Apple Watches as fast as they could make them up until delivery started. . . and then until they could get enough to start selling them in retail stores on June 26th.
If we accept the admittedly flawed numbers from Slice, who claims Apple was selling 200,000 per day through April, May, and dropping off through June. . . 20 days in April, 31 in May, and 26 in June. . . 77 days times, call it ~125,000 average, is 9,625,000 Apple Watches at an average selling price of $500. That's $4.8125 Billion. . . before Apple opened them to sale in the retail stores and also to sale in ten more nations. (of course that's if we accept Slice's numbers claiming that Apple Watches are now "collapsing"! Of course, their collapsing was only at the last few days, as the Apple Watch got closer to being available in the Apple Stores. It's not even counting that first spate of sales on the first day!
There are a lot of problems with Slice's figures. . . starting with the fact that they have no access to Apple's sales numbers at all, and ending with the fact that they are based on a self-selected sample of people who don't give a damn about their privacy and choose to use Slice's app.