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Senate Forecast: Landrieu Headed Toward Historic Defeat In Louisiana Runoff (Nate Silver)
538 Blog ^

Posted on 12/05/2014 8:20:09 PM PST by Perdogg

William Thompson of Kansas and Wesley Jones of Washington are former U.S. senators — you get a pass for not recognizing them, they’ve been dead for more than 80 years. But if you’ll be watching Saturday’s Senate runoff between Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu and Republican Bill Cassidy in Louisiana, remember their names.

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: landrieu; louisiana
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He gave Wendy Davis a 0.4% chance, he is giving Mary Landfill on 0.2% chance.
1 posted on 12/05/2014 8:20:09 PM PST by Perdogg
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To: Clintonfatigued

ping


2 posted on 12/05/2014 8:23:50 PM PST by Perdogg (I'm on a no Carb diet- NO Christie Ayotte Romney or Bush)
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To: Perdogg

Bump


3 posted on 12/05/2014 8:26:20 PM PST by Jet Jaguar (Resist in place.)
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To: Perdogg

Dat Po Thang.


4 posted on 12/05/2014 8:31:20 PM PST by smoothsailing (Mel Kaminsky for President!!!)
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To: smoothsailing

What she did?


5 posted on 12/05/2014 8:38:32 PM PST by billhilly (First eligible to vote in 1958)
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To: Perdogg

Yes, there’s lots of democrat senators that have been sent packing and many jf not all voted for Obamacare.

But I don’t think they think twice about being defeated. They’re probably thinkin’ it was worth it to cram the Grubercare down the throats of all us stupid people.

And so they were sent packing but what really bites my bump is the likelihood these Grubers are going to live fat out of office.


6 posted on 12/05/2014 8:44:21 PM PST by Hostage (ARTICLE V)
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To: Perdogg

Republicans had better not stay home. Landrieu is depending on over confidence.


7 posted on 12/05/2014 8:48:22 PM PST by eyedigress (e(!zOld storm chaser from the west)/?s)
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To: Perdogg

What time do the polls close?


8 posted on 12/05/2014 8:51:31 PM PST by gasport (Immigration reform means arriving in air-conditioned comfort.)
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To: gasport

8 p.m. closing time


9 posted on 12/05/2014 8:54:07 PM PST by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
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To: Perdogg

Mary’s defeat will be the first of a sitting senator in LA since 1930, when Huey Pierce Long, Jr., unseated Democrat Senator Joseph E. Ransdell in the party primary.

Many thought though that Allen J. Ellender was headed to defeat had he lived through the 1972 campaign.


10 posted on 12/05/2014 8:56:02 PM PST by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
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To: Hostage

“.....what really bites my bump is the likelihood these Grubers are going to live fat out of office.”

It’s why they are Democrats. It’s the party promise for their loyalty. Perhaps Revlon, or GE, maybe a BIG law firm, there’s something out there for them all. Just vote party line, and they’ll take care of them. If they don’t......


11 posted on 12/05/2014 8:57:13 PM PST by rockinqsranch ((Dems, Libs, Socialists, call 'em what you will. They ALL have fairies livin' in their trees.))
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To: billhilly

Her got dat cunja from Cassidy.


12 posted on 12/05/2014 9:00:27 PM PST by smoothsailing (Mel Kaminsky for President!!!)
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To: Perdogg

In September I voted for Rob Maness

Tomorrow, I’m not voting for Cassidy
Tomorrow, I’m voting AGAINST Landrieu

That’s how one has to vote when there’s RINOs on the ballot


13 posted on 12/05/2014 9:04:40 PM PST by nicmarlo
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To: Perdogg

I agree with the 60-40% projection.

I want Mary Loser to witness a historic defeat tomorrow night.

She will be lucky to break 20% of the white vote.


14 posted on 12/05/2014 9:36:22 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Perdogg
The FiveThirtyEight model projects her losing the runoff 99.8 percent of the time, and by a 57.8 percent to 42.2 percent margin.

So Nate's taking over 40.

15 posted on 12/05/2014 9:39:48 PM PST by MUDDOG
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To: MUDDOG

Its not a close call.

Not even if the dead vote... her margin of victory has been growing smaller and smaller since 2002 as Louisiana became redder.

Now its gone. All the white Southern Democrats are gone. She’s the last one standing outside of VA.


16 posted on 12/05/2014 9:42:28 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop

I’m taking under 40.


17 posted on 12/05/2014 9:43:36 PM PST by MUDDOG
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To: Perdogg

So basically this guy is saying that a house cat could beat Mary Landrieu..


18 posted on 12/05/2014 9:52:46 PM PST by Sarah Barracuda
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To: Sarah Barracuda
So basically this guy is saying that a house cat could beat Mary Landrieu..

The broken ornament that the house cat knocked from the tree would probably prevail...

19 posted on 12/06/2014 5:31:01 AM PST by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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To: Perdogg

It will be interesting to see if Rats have any rationale for her huge defeat. It’s a good bet they’ll throw her under the bus, claiming she lost because she wasn’t a big enough champion of big government liberalism.


20 posted on 12/06/2014 6:00:33 AM PST by randita (Obama entrusted the transformation of the best healthcare system in the world to a scam artist.)
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