Question: If electoral votes were distributed by congressional district, what would 2012 look like?

3/28/13 | soflofreeper

[SoFloFreeper]

Nebraska and Maine distribute their electoral votes by district, I believe...with the "popular vote" winner in the state getting the TWO votes that represent the Senate delegation.

So what if every state had this kind of distribution? What if electoral vote distribution was awarded to each candidate by how they did in each DISTRICT, with the winner of the popular vote in each state getting the two "senate" votes?

How would Romney have fared then? I am betting he still would have lost, but by a thinner margin.

[SoFloFreeper]

anyone know?

[Perdogg]

Assuming that the other 2 state electors would go to the winner of the State, I would believe Romney would have won.

[FewsOrange]

Romney by 276-262 according to this http://partisanid.blogspot.com/2012/12/presidential-election-results-by.html

[Vigilanteman]

Easy enough to count the statewide winners at 2 each.

More complicated would be counting the districts which elected GOP congressmen but still voted for ObaMao and vice versa. I'm guessing there was a lot more of the former than of the later, but still a relative handful.

[SoFloFreeper]

Whoa....I am surprised!

[DoodleDawg]

I am betting he still would have lost, but by a thinner margin.

I seem to remember someone doing the math and it was what you said: Romney lost by by a much thinner margin.

[Vaquero]

Fix the election crimes and we win(arrest Holder). Also it would have helped to have a decent candidate to run against the Marxist POSOTUS.

[DoodleDawg]

I stand corrected. So Romney would have been elected...while losing the popular vote by about 5 million. Imagine how the media would be dealing with that?

[x]

Careful with this. The Democrats claim that more people voted for Democrat candidates to the House than Republicans.

[nascarnation]

That is most likely true.
Especially in POTUS election years when the turnout is large and the margins in urban districts are 98%.

[Vigilanteman]

He's giving an estimation not an actual based on the assumption that Romney carried every district electing a Republican congressman and Obama carried every district electing a Democrat congressman, with certain exceptions. That is not necessarily the case.

We cannot know for sure until the close districts are broken down by presidential vote.

[Yo-Yo]

We'll never really know what would have happened, because we don't know how the change in electoral distribution would have affected voter turnout.

Perhaps more conservatives would have bothered to vote if they live in a conservative district of a very solidly Blue state.

Were that the case, the popular vote would be changed as well as the electoral vote.

[cripplecreek]

Michigan could go either way due to swing districts which is a lot better than the guaranteed democrat win we get now. The GOP holds a majority of districts now.

[Redmen4ever]

IF ... the battleground states in which we control both houses of the state legislature and have the Governor appointed Electors by the Maine-Nebraska method, Romney would have been elected President.

AND IF ... all states did, Romney would have been elected President.

Why didn’t our guys do the deed? Why are they hesitating?

[Redmen4ever]

IF ... the battleground states in which we control both houses of the state legislature and have the Governor appointed Electors by the Maine-Nebraska method, Romney would have been elected President.

AND IF ... all states did, Romney would have been elected President.

Why didn’t our guys do the deed? Why are they hesitating?

[familyop]

Voters would continue moving to the left as prodded more toward social pathologies by business, politics and academia. Stop supporting federal funding to state and local governments first (including government education). Feminists cheered during the ‘80s, because they “got” “the good ol’ boys” “in education” first. They knew that they had what they wanted then. We’re beginning to see a few of the consequences now but not the consequences that will really matter to most.

[tomkat]

             

[jjotto]

Is that a county map, not a Congressional District map?

[SoFloFreeper]

yes, but the city of Philadelphia probably has multiple congressional districts in it...you seem to be showing me a County map....

But I do believe it would have made a difference.

[SoFloFreeper]

Here is what we want:

Okay, wikipedia indicates that Pennsylvania's Congressional delegation is 12 Republicans, 7 Democrats.

So assuming the Assclown won the statewide vote due to 125% turnout in Philadelphia, AND assuming a district that voted for a Republican congresscritter ALSO voted for Romney (and vice versa), the Electoral college in the Keystone State would have broken down thusly:

12 Electoral Votes for Romney
9 Electoral Votes for the Assclown.

But as it is, the clown got all 21 votes. Ugh.