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My buttocks are actually tan...

Posted on 11/07/2012 12:40:34 PM PST by RightStuff1

...from all the sunshine that's been pumped up my arse in the past few weeks.

-Dick Morris
-Karl Rove
-"Forget 270...300+ for Romney"
-Rasmussen
-"Looking good in Florida"
-"Looking good in Virginia"
-Huge GOP turnout coming
-"Pennsylvania in play"
-Big enthusiasm gap
-It's still the economy, stupid
-"Looking good in Colorado"
-Romney playing prevent defense because he knows he's got it
-Drudge
-Superior GOP machine in Wisconsin thanks to Walker recall efforts
-"Gonna win Ohio"
-Big Romney crowds show an excited GOP electorate
-"Looking good in New Hampshire"
-Subdued 3rd debate strategy was all Romney needed to do
-A +6 Democrat poll is ridiculously unrealistic
-The pollsters jumped through hoops to show slim Obama leads...ignore the polls
-Rush (to be honest)
-Absentee/early voting trends actually good news for Romney
-Unemployment rate near 8% = Romney win

Sheesh. What and whom to believe in the future?


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 11/07/2012 12:40:36 PM PST by RightStuff1
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To: RightStuff1

Love your headline!

Yes, I was wary this time because the same sugar was pumped mercilessly where the sun don’t shine 4 years ago. Anyone not thinking McCain was going to ride out of the clouds from heaven above on election night 2008 in a chariot was ripped to shreds on FR.

And they were all wrong.

We need to learn that reality is more important that optimism before elections.

Oh, and believe the polls. And realize that if there are only days to election and your guy is down, he will lose and there is nothing you can do. So don’t wait that long.


2 posted on 11/07/2012 12:48:54 PM PST by Yaelle
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To: RightStuff1
I know the feeling...

I feel like quite the sap for all the liberals I argued with and told to ignore Nate Silver and listen to Rove and Morris. Turns of Silver was dead on and Rove and Morris were blowing smoke. Last time I make that mistake.

Sad thing is that I have a sneaking suspicion that most insiders knew that Obama was most likely going to win for months (Nate Silver never had Romney with anymore than a 30% chance of winning...ever...) and all the "sushine" pumped our way was to create ratings for various news outlets ...cough..cough...Fox News...and hits to websites (Morris and Rove).

3 posted on 11/07/2012 12:49:06 PM PST by apillar
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To: RightStuff1

ROFLMAO


4 posted on 11/07/2012 12:49:50 PM PST by DannyTN
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To: RightStuff1

Don’t believe anyone, and get out and vote.

My assessment of this election is that turnout for conservatives was forecast to be really good. Thus, many figured they didn’t need to vote because it was in the bag. Overconfidence, in other words. A lot has been made of Christians sitting out the election in protest, but I think most of the missing conservatives were lazy, not protesting.

This is not to discount the effect of cheating on the part of Democrats, which was probably 10 percent of the total. We needed it to be a blowout, and anything close to a tie is a win for the democrats.


5 posted on 11/07/2012 12:50:38 PM PST by webheart (King of the Run-On Sentence)
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To: RightStuff1

Yep! That’s a good list. Nailed it.


6 posted on 11/07/2012 12:50:50 PM PST by RushIsMyTeddyBear (Great vid by ShorelineMike! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KOZjJk6nbD4&feature=plcp)
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To: RushIsMyTeddyBear

Dick Morris, Barone and Rove have lost a lot of credibility. I understand they could not tell voters/watchers Obama 303 prior to the election or people would have had opposite reaction and asked for the hides and/or not voted for being depressed. Still at least Rove had it the closest of all.


7 posted on 11/07/2012 12:53:32 PM PST by GerardKempf (Let's Get Over This)
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To: RightStuff1

At least I didn’t swallow all the Kool Aid and jump into Intrade with a foolish bet (like I was thinking of doing...)


8 posted on 11/07/2012 12:53:51 PM PST by Squidpup ("Fight the Good Fight")
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To: RightStuff1

Idk


9 posted on 11/07/2012 12:55:19 PM PST by Ravi
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To: apillar
Heck, Rove still had me convinced that Romney was going to win in, if not a landslide then a convincing manner at 9:30EST last night. I was starting to worry because Florida, Virginia, North Carolina and Ohio were looking extremely tight and Rove came on Fox with a big smile on his face and assured everybody that this was expected because the early votes that favored Obama were counted first and his tally of the actual votes by counties showed Romney ahead in the counties he needed to win and Obama behind in the counties he needed to win. He stopped just short of declaring Romney the winner then and there.

I went to bed fully expecting Romney to be the next president...needless to say I should have slept in...

10 posted on 11/07/2012 12:56:42 PM PST by apillar
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To: RightStuff1

Not so fast there....

The data themselves all pointed to a Romney win. Empirically, he should have won.

I tend to suspect that there’s some massive fraud that has gone on. Otherwise, the numbers (not the predictions, but that actual data) just don’t add up.

Either there’s fraud, or math has stopped working like it should.


11 posted on 11/07/2012 1:04:50 PM PST by Yashcheritsiy (It's time to make Obama a minor footnote in the pages of history)
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To: webheart
Thus, many figured they didn’t need to vote because it was in the bag. Overconfidence, in other words. A lot has been made of Christians sitting out the election in protest, but I think most of the missing conservatives were lazy, not protesting.

Why do we not accept the fact that there are more people who want socialism than those of us who do not? It is becoming a fact and until we accept that we are doomed to failure.

Look at the last few elections: Clinton easily won twice, Bush barely beat Gore and Kerry, and Obama ran away with it twice. The takers have caught up with the makers and we are losing ground every day. Nothing short of a miracle or total economic collapse is going to change this course.

Young people are being indoctrinated, from kindergarten, into the fact that everything should be instant and free: phones, TV, internet, software, etc. This has been going on for a few decades and we are seeing the results with each passing election.

Right now, I have no answers as to what we need to do.

12 posted on 11/07/2012 1:07:32 PM PST by softwarecreator
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To: RightStuff1
...from all the sunshine that's been pumped up my arse in the past few weeks.

The past few weeks? Try the last six years, at a minimum. Maybe now, if Rush reassesses his audience demographic, we might start getting some realistic and usable analysis for a change. His goal of staying on the air until every last person in America agrees with him hasn't worked. Election numbers show that the base (and soon his audience) is shrinking. I hope he's prepared for whatever fresh hell the FCC will bring down upon him, because there's no doubt that it's coming now.

Conservatism may work every time it's tried, but it will fail 100% of the time that the majority votes against it.

13 posted on 11/07/2012 1:34:58 PM PST by Alex Murphy ("If you are not firm in faith, you will not be firm at all" - Isaiah 7:9)
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To: RightStuff1

Not to mention all the newspaper endorsements......thought it was the pulse of the people.


14 posted on 11/07/2012 1:36:11 PM PST by biss5577
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To: RightStuff1

WTH was up with the Gallup, Pew, and Rasmussen party ID numbers showing R+3 or more? Was that all in deep red states?


15 posted on 11/07/2012 1:39:38 PM PST by rfp1234
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To: Yaelle
We need to learn that reality is more important that optimism before elections.

Thank you.

Oh, and believe the polls.

Correct again. All this foolishness about "unskewing" polls should end now and never, ever be brought up again. That was the height of ridiculousness.

The old rule of elections stands true today. If you're disputing polls, especially as many as conservatives were, you are losing.

16 posted on 11/07/2012 1:46:48 PM PST by Longbow1969
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To: Yashcheritsiy
I tend to suspect that there’s some massive fraud that has gone on. Otherwise, the numbers (not the predictions, but that actual data) just don’t add up.

I agree. Maybe what these experts didn't take into account was the very sophisticated fraud techniques.

17 posted on 11/07/2012 1:48:55 PM PST by JustaCowgirl (Revolutions are not born out of success, they are born out of despair)
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To: RightStuff1

You’ll need an SPF 100 enema for what’s coming....


18 posted on 11/07/2012 1:51:06 PM PST by tacticalogic ("Oh, bother!" said Pooh, as he chambered his last round.)
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To: RightStuff1

Bit by bit, little by little, beginning with the Reagan amnesty we accepted willing or unwillingly the trickle, and then the stream, and finally the deluge of illegals. The Executive Order enforcing the Dream Act, will now make this a tsunami. Hispanics broke 71% for Obama and will break more for the Rats in years to come. In CA they are responsible for insuring that every statewide office holder is a Rat and tax hikes under Initiative 30 will go into effect so that free K-12 schooling for illegals will happily go on.

This same phenomenon is occurring with Muslim immigration where the typical family breeds like rabbits. Mosques that were once isolated are now springing up like seaweed everywhere and in neighborhoods all around you. This sea-change in national identity was confirmed last night.

Adios America (grief stricken)


19 posted on 11/07/2012 1:55:18 PM PST by Steelfish (ui)
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To: JustaCowgirl; Yashcheritsiy

>> “I agree. Maybe what these experts didn’t take into account was the very sophisticated fraud techniques.” <<

.
Digital nanipulation is all it is.

In most of the vote theft states the voter doesn’t even hand mark a card or sheet; its just spots on a screen!


20 posted on 11/07/2012 1:56:11 PM PST by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: Yashcheritsiy
I tend to suspect that there’s some massive fraud that has gone on. Otherwise, the numbers (not the predictions, but that actual data) just don’t add up.

I agree. Maybe what these experts didn't take into account was the very sophisticated fraud techniques.

21 posted on 11/07/2012 1:58:29 PM PST by JustaCowgirl (Revolutions are not born out of success, they are born out of despair)
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To: RightStuff1

Thank you for expressing how I feel.

But then, I bent over and pulled my pants down for them.

Would the last one to leave please turn out the lights?

Thanks...


22 posted on 11/07/2012 3:10:23 PM PST by GEC (We're not drilling in ANWR because Americans are stupid.)
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To: Yashcheritsiy
The data themselves all pointed to a Romney win. Empirically, he should have won.

And the prognosticators weren't just right-wing pundits. Remember the University of Colorado forecasting study? It has predicted the results of every presidential race since 1996, even the 2000 anomaly. Retroactively it predicted the results going back to 1980. Back in May and October they predicted the race would be won by Romney:

According to their updated analysis, Romney is projected to receive 330 of the total 538 Electoral College votes. President Barack Obama is expected to receive 208 votes -- down five votes from their initial prediction -- and short of the 270 needed to win.

“We continue to show that the economic conditions favor Romney even though many polls show the president in the lead,” Bickers said. “Other published models point to the same result, but they looked at the national popular vote, while we stress state-level economic data.”

While many election forecast models are based on the popular vote, the model developed by Bickers and Berry is based on the Electoral College and is the only one of its type to include more than one state-level measure of economic conditions. They included economic data from all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
It's not like there was no respectable evidence for our position. We were wrong, but our hopes weren't based on mere wishful thinking.
23 posted on 11/07/2012 3:22:47 PM PST by ishmac (Lady Thatcher:"There are no permanent defeats in politics because there are no permanent victories.)
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To: RightStuff1

Hi RightStuff1,
Thanks for this post. I needed a good laugh. I’m still wiping tears and trying to catch my breath. One word of caution, though. As I understand it, the human body is designed in such a way that, in order for natural Vitamin D to benefit your health, the sun must shine on your FACE! Bwaa-haa-ha-ha!
Thanks again.


24 posted on 11/07/2012 3:34:26 PM PST by Tucker39
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