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Prediction: Romney 325, Obama 213
Dick Morris ^ | 11/5/2012 | Dick Morris

Posted on 11/06/2012 9:17:22 AM PST by Signalman

Yup. That’s right. A landslide for Romney approaching the magnitude of Obama’s against McCain. That’s my prediction.

On Sunday, we changed our clocks. On Tuesday, we’ll change our president.

Romney will win the states McCain carried in 2008, plus: Florida, Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, Iowa, Ohio, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Minnesota.

In the popular vote, Romney will win by more than 5 points.

The Obama campaign made the following key mistakes:

• It bet the farm on negative ads in swing states. It didn’t realize that Mitt’s convention speech and the three debates would give him the chance to live down the charges and demonstrate — through facts and his demeanor — that they were baseless.

• Obama had no Plan B if the negatives didn’t work. He never really laid in a convincing defense of his record, except to recall the mess that he inherited and to try to make people believe things were better. He had no vision for his second term, except more of same. He never moved to the center — the shift that reelected Bill Clinton.

• Obama drew his list of swing states too narrowly. He did not contemplate that he would be forced to defend Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan or Minnesota and squandered his money contesting unwinnable states like North Carolina. When Romney bypassed Obama’s “firewall” states (like the Germans did the French Maginot Line in World War II), the president had not laid in the necessary prophylactic irradiation of negative ads, and three of the states embraced Romney.

• By focusing on the negative, Obama sacrificed first his personal popularity and then his dignity and presidentiality. No longer was he the hope and the change. He became nothing more than a nasty partisan, throwing epithets at his rival. A president does not let himself be quoted as saying that his opponent is a “bullsh–ter” or that voting is the best “revenge.” Even his dress was wrong. Instead of appearing in a dark suit, he dressed in an open-neck white shirt, trying to be everyman but succeeding only in not looking like a president.

• Since he offered nothing more than a negative campaign and a grab-bag of special-interest pleadings for single women, unions, college kids and minorities, Obama failed to inspire the turnout that he needed. Against Santorum and Gingrich, Obama could have made the case that their prospective presidencies were sufficiently dangerous that liberals and Democrats must rush to the polls to stop them. But against the congenial Romney, the warnings rang hollow.

• In the first debate, Obama was terrible. We’ll likely find out what his excuses are after the polls close. Did he have the flu? Was it the altitude? Had he, as Bob Woodward suggested, just received a dose of bad news? Why did he appear distracted?

• Obama should have gotten the facts out quickly about Benghazi rather than let them drip, drip, drip out over six weeks. He could then have handled the crisis and won points for determination and toughness. Instead, to the very end, he looked like he was covering up the fact of a terrorist attack. Because he was.

• After Sandy, Obama visited New Jersey and surveyed the damage with Gov. Chris Christie (R). He should have stayed on the storm, superintending relief efforts, urging FEMA on, absorbing the lessons of Bush’s failure to cope well with Katrina. Instead, he returned to the partisan wars and the strident speeches in swing states.

None of this should take away from Romney’s brilliant campaign. By staying on the economy and not being tempted into side issues like Libya, Mitt kept the focus where it needed to be and never let up. His campaign’s foray into Pennsylvania, Minnesota and Wisconsin was vital to his chances of victory. More about what Mitt did right in my post-election column on Thursday. But for now, let’s celebrate the new president we are about to elect.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: dickmorris; election2012; morris; prediction

1 posted on 11/06/2012 9:17:28 AM PST by Signalman
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To: Signalman

already posted yesterday


2 posted on 11/06/2012 9:18:46 AM PST by Lib-Lickers 2
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To: Signalman

I just saw Obama at a campaign event and he looked whooped.


3 posted on 11/06/2012 9:19:25 AM PST by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: Signalman

God willing.


4 posted on 11/06/2012 9:22:36 AM PST by BlueAngel
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To: Lib-Lickers 2

Search not working for me. No results.


5 posted on 11/06/2012 9:22:49 AM PST by Signalman
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To: cripplecreek

I wouldn’t put Pennsylvania (20 electoral votes) in Romney’s column. There is an all-out assault on GOP poll workers, 0bama murals on polling place walls and the Black Pampers are out in force. Doesn’t matter though, Romney can still get 305 to win this thing.


6 posted on 11/06/2012 9:24:54 AM PST by Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America
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To: Signalman

Rush talking about this now.


7 posted on 11/06/2012 9:24:57 AM PST by sneakers (Go Sheriff Joe!)
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To: Signalman

Allow me to summarize, Dicky.

Obama sucked as Preezy of The United Steezy.


8 posted on 11/06/2012 9:25:24 AM PST by subterfuge (BUILD MORE NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS NOW!!!)
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To: Signalman

Does not hurt to post again!Great news.


9 posted on 11/06/2012 9:25:25 AM PST by GilGil
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To: Signalman

Today, the people who DO BUILD THIS COUNTRY are going to have our voices heard.


10 posted on 11/06/2012 9:26:15 AM PST by SomeCallMeTim ( The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them)
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To: Signalman

He forgot “alienated white, working class voters with the Bitter Clingers comment, with an election strategy claiming not to need them, and by embracing black radicalism in the Skip Gates/Philly Black Panthers/Trayvon Martin cases.”


11 posted on 11/06/2012 9:28:58 AM PST by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Signalman
In the first debate, Obama was terrible. We’ll likely find out what his excuses are after the polls close. Did he have the flu? Was it the altitude? Had he, as Bob Woodward suggested, just received a dose of bad news? Why did he appear distracted?

Oh, oh, Oh! I know!! He was ticked off that it was his wedding anniversary and he was going to have to go to the White Hut and pleasure Michelle! What do I win?!

12 posted on 11/06/2012 9:31:28 AM PST by subterfuge (BUILD MORE NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS NOW!!!)
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To: Lib-Lickers 2

I’m glad this was posted again. Didn’t see it the 1st time. I also just finished watching Hannity and Morris from DVR and last night. His explanation of a blow out makes sense.


13 posted on 11/06/2012 9:31:37 AM PST by albie
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To: Signalman

WOW. I can’t get over this guy. I’ve always found him interesting to listen to and very intelligent. And he’s always very civil. I am looking forward to seeing if his lone prediction is right. I’ll say this, he certainly has the courage of convictions.

I KNOW lots of you don’t like Morris though.


14 posted on 11/06/2012 9:36:30 AM PST by Hound of the Baskervilles ("Nonsense in the intellect draws evil after it." C.S. Lewis)
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To: Signalman

“He should have stayed on the storm, superintending relief efforts”

Sure! And get his bombardier jacket all wet.


15 posted on 11/06/2012 9:38:11 AM PST by haroldeveryman
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To: Signalman

Surely this has some merit. Dick, after all, has played both sides. However, he usually won’t step this far out unless he feels it’s a near certain thing. I’m not sure that we have totally breached the O’s firewall. But, I won’t be surprised if we could get 2 of the following-Ohio, PA,Wisconsin or Michigan.


16 posted on 11/06/2012 9:41:36 AM PST by BluegrassCardinal
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To: GilGil

I turned on the TV this morning and surfed the news channels and it made me sick. Fox news isn’t too bad but even they seem to be interviewing mostly Dems and Obama ccheerleaders. Can’t wait until the votes start coming in.


17 posted on 11/06/2012 9:44:28 AM PST by Americanexpat
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To: All



Happy with FR now?

How about Contributing Today?

18 posted on 11/06/2012 9:46:36 AM PST by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: GilGil

I turned on the TV this morning and surfed the news channels and it made me sick. Fox news isn’t too bad but even they seem to be interviewing mostly Dems and Obama ccheerleaders. Can’t wait until the votes start coming in.


19 posted on 11/06/2012 9:48:41 AM PST by Americanexpat
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To: Signalman

Oh crap, I just saw who wrote this.


20 posted on 11/06/2012 9:50:36 AM PST by Cyber Liberty (Obama considers the Third World morally superior to the United States.)
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To: Signalman

That’s the opposite from this link which supposedly gathers info from various polls. Don’t know anything about it though.

O=303 to R=220 with ties=15

http://www.electoral-vote.com/


21 posted on 11/06/2012 10:01:03 AM PST by bgill (Evil doers are in every corner of our government. Have we passed the point of no return?)
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To: Signalman

Morris had better right, or he should shut his mouth and stop making predictions.


22 posted on 11/06/2012 10:07:28 AM PST by I want the USA back
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Thanks Signalman.


23 posted on 11/06/2012 10:42:29 AM PST by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America
Those area's are voting for Obama anyway. We counted them out yesterday.
24 posted on 11/06/2012 10:44:21 AM PST by angcat (ROMNEY/RYAN 2012)
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To: Americanexpat

DO NOT LOOK AT TV NEWS.THESE PEOPLE ARE WAY BEHIND THE TIMES.


25 posted on 11/06/2012 10:50:24 AM PST by GilGil
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To: Signalman

Obama forgot (or was too cheap to) pass out the “walking around money” in Philadelphia. I’m confident PA goes red! INCHON!


26 posted on 11/06/2012 11:07:09 AM PST by Snake65
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To: Lib-Lickers 2; Signalman

Its good to see this....easy to miss stuff with all of the articles and vanities posted.


27 posted on 11/06/2012 2:17:09 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ((The Global Warming Hoax was a Criminal Act....where is Al Gore?))
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To: Lib-Lickers 2; Signalman

Its good to see this....easy to miss stuff with all of the articles and vanities posted.


28 posted on 11/06/2012 2:17:20 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ((The Global Warming Hoax was a Criminal Act....where is Al Gore?))
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To: All

Double post due to system not giving feedback ....how long should one wait before striking the enter key again?


29 posted on 11/06/2012 2:19:44 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ((The Global Warming Hoax was a Criminal Act....where is Al Gore?))
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To: Snake65; Marine_Uncle

See #26.


30 posted on 11/06/2012 2:21:06 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ((The Global Warming Hoax was a Criminal Act....where is Al Gore?))
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Let us hope the prediction in thread #26 are correct. :)


31 posted on 11/06/2012 5:38:04 PM PST by Marine_Uncle
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