That is not what Nate Sliver is saying at the NY Times, he says Obama is going to win by 300+ electoral votes
Ignore the polls, watch the action and the rhetoric.
Obama and Romney are both playing on mostly BLUE state turf. Romney is running the sort of campaign winning camps run, optimistic, hopeful, bland. Obama is running the sort of campaign losers run, nasty, desperate and shrill.
Obama is not acting like a candidate whose internal polling is showing him winning.
I’ve not paid any attention to this guy, but I seriously think he has found himself in over his head from left-wing pressure groups to be more of a mouthpiece than a real so-called poll guru.
He has nothing to lose from being completely wrong, which he will be. He will be a hero to the lefties for fighting the fight, and he wont lose his job.