Which Pollster Was The Closest?

Real Clear Politics.com ^ | 11-6-2004 | Real Clear Politics

[FrankRepublican]

It looks like Pew Research in their 3 way nailed it with Bush 51% and Kerry 48% on 10-27 to 10-30. TIPP had Bush 50.1% to 48% on 10-30 to 11-1.

In a two-way Rasmussen had Bush 50.2% to 48.5% on 10-30 to 11-1

Mason Dixon only does state polls not the national poll for all of the USA. They nailed it in 2002 and they nailed it again in 2004. There state polls were right on the money.

I also was fascinated by the futures markets and UK bookmakers. Election day I voted at 7 am and got to the office to search anystories about the UK bookmakers. They generally are more accurate than the pollsters. I found a story in the Canadian newspaper where the UK bookies said the betting was heavy for Bush especially since the Bin Laden tape and they though Bush would win.

Once the bogus Dem exit poll disinformation came out, the odds from the bookies and futures started going against Bush. My guess is Soros was trying to reclaim the money he lost. The Repubs should investigate this sleazy Dem trick because it was just like the 2000 projecting Gore the winner in Florida before the Panhandle polls closed in FL.

I was pretty impressed by the UK bookies and futures market nailing the Bush win before the election. I hope we never see Zogby again.