Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine

Let me try and refute
Russia has no ability to exploit any breakthrough
They couldn’t when they tried feb22. What they have is manpower but even that has limits and they way they are expending them is not good. Their advantage of artillery is degrading. Questionable ammunition stocks and production but even more is tube life.
A Ukrainian breakthrough would have the same effect as before with Russian units having to fall back and most likely leave equipment behind again.
No success is guaranteed, but looking at how the big Russian offensive is going I question how deep the lineup is for Russia

Looking how Russia is mobilizing another 400000 I suggest that means that is all they have and that could be enough to hold territory as you suggest, but what a cost to keep what they had and a bit more.
So let’s say that is how it ends. What is Russia looking at?
NATO expanding, Ukraine will rearm and fortify, Poland is becoming the dominant military power in the area. Russia has blown through their soviet inheritance and will never have the equipment levels they hand before invasion. Their equipment has proven to be inferior in almost all categories so I would imagine their export market will never return to prewar levels
And let’s talk demographics, russias population is less than it was 20 years ago, and the loss of hundreds of thousands to the war and fleeing Russia will speed that process of which I see no reversal
Ukraine on the other hand I believe will recover and grow with post war reconstruction Ukraine will thrive and across the border Russia will slowly then rapidly decline especially if this war continues and China takes its opportunity to expand its territory at the expense of Russia
My two cents

My thoughts on GLSDB. Some strikes in Mariupol brought up the possibility GLSDB had already been deployed in Ukraine. Seems to me, this is unlikely. Ukraine used other items in its inventory.

I agree.

I still think GLSDB destruction on RuZZian forces is still to come. When the Northern 1/3 of Crimea is hit with a sustain attack, we will know GLSDB is in action.

Here's a pretty pic:

We may never know for sure until Russians upload a post impact picture showing the SDB wings.

My hope is the UKR spring offensive is kicked off with GLSDBs hitting RU ammo dumps that are outside range of HIMARs rockets.

I also expect UKR will be able to target RU troop concentrations that are being held in reserve for counter-attacks.

Hopefully, JDAMs and JDAM-ERs will also play an important role in the spring offensive.

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