Posted on 02/19/2023 8:19:30 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Small arms, ATGMs, MANPADS, loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles, trailers and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it is not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
“Putin, czar with no empire, needs military victory for his own survival”
“President Vladimir Putin likes to portray himself as a new czar like Peter the Great or Ivan III, the 15th-century grand prince known as the “gatherer of the Russian lands.” But Putin’s year-long war in Ukraine has failed so far to secure the lands he aims to seize, and, in Russia, there is fear that he is leading his nation into a dark period of strife and stagnation or worse.
Some in the elite also say the Russian leader now desperately needs a military victory to ensure his own survival. “In Russia, loyalty does not exist,” said one Russian billionaire.
Putin’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine began with hubris and a zeal to reshape the world order. But even as he suffered repeated military defeats — diminishing his stature globally and staining him with allegations of atrocities being committed by his troops — Putin has tightened his authoritarian grip at home, using the war to destroy any opposition and to engineer a closed, paranoid society hostile to liberals, hipsters, LGBTQ people, and, especially, to Western-style freedom and democracy.”
“EU presses for joint arms purchases to help Ukraine“
“The European Union is urgently exploring ways for its member countries to team up to buy munitions to help Ukraine, following warnings from Kyiv that its forces need more supplies quickly, diplomats and officials said.
EU foreign ministers are expected to discuss the idea of joint procurement of 155-millimetre artillery shells – badly needed by Kyiv – at a meeting in Brussels on Monday.
EU officials and diplomats say a joint approach would be more efficient than member states placing individual orders. Larger orders would also help industry invest in extra capacity, they said.“
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-eyes-joint-arms-buying-help-ukraine-2023-02-18/
Vuhledar, the gift that keep on giving.
“A Russian UR-77 mine clearing vehicle was hit by the Ukrainian 72nd Mechanized Brigade in the vicinity of Vuhledar, #Donetsk Oblast. Once the fire set off the line charges inside, the vehicle was obliterated.”
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1627230060926185472
“In the dachas south of Vuhledar between Mykil’s’ke and Pavlivka, Russians once again tried to advance. Emphasis on tried.”
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1627259566814597121
“A Russian BMP-2 IFV was destroyed by a Ukrainian precision artillery strike in the vicinity of Staromykhailivka, #Donetsk Oblast.”
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1627293833468715008
“In Russian-occupied Berdyansk the repurposed recreational center “Raisky Uholok”, which functions as a barracks, has caught fire.”
https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1627249008040153088
“Ukrainian strike on Russian barracks in central #Donetsk.”
https://twitter.com/IntelCrab/status/1627328381221044224
“’ An administrative building in occupied Donetsk is reportedly hit by Ukrainian artillery This is the building where Russian-installed “prosecutors” work.”
https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1627314563963133953
RuZZian crazies are threatening to nuke Poland (after previously threatening UK and Germany). A nuke strike will result in retaliatory nuke strikes against Moscow and St. Petersburg. They always forget that part of the equation. But hey, Poland will probably order more HIMARs now!
“”In an hour we will bring Poland to our knees”, after Russia failed to take Kyiv in three days, propagandists began to threaten Poland. “We can destroy 60 strategic objects in 20 minutes and then Poland is gone and nothing is left. No water, military bases, nothing”.”
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1627265990311411715
“US donated AN/TWQ-1 Avenger air defense systems that were recently being unloaded in Bremerhaven, Germany are reportedly already in Poland on their way to Ukraine. The Avenger is a mobile short-range air defense missile system which protects against low flying aerial targets.”
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1627261269194551296
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, Feb 18, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
-—> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
-—> The True State of Russian Army <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
———————————————————————————————————————
Extras:
-—> Ukraine Situation Report: UK To Give Kyiv “Longer-Range Weapons”
Exactly what long-range weapon system remains unknown, but the U.K. states it is the first country to commit such a capability to Ukraine.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-uk-to-give-kyiv-longer-range-weapons
Excerpt:
British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak: “Together, we’re delivering as much equipment in the next few months as in the whole of 2022. And together we must help Ukraine to shield its cities from Russian bombs and Iranian drones. And that’s why the United Kingdom will be the first country to provide Ukraine with longer-range weapons, and it’s why we’re working with our allies to give Ukraine the most advanced air defense systems and build the air force they need to defend their nation.”
••No Typhoons••
Sunak further promised the U.K. would help any country that could provide Ukraine with combat aircraft it could use immediately. The Royal Air Force is training Ukrainian pilots on “NATO-standard fighter jets” with previous suspicions the RAF could give Ukraine some of its older Eurofighter Typhoon jets. British Defense Minister Ben Wallace confirmed to German news outlet Der Spiegel that any Typhoon transfer would not take place until the war’s end.
==
Belorussian troops shown getting ready for war by “smashing flaming pieces of concrete across your and your comrades’ foreheads”.
==
... there is incredible aerial footage of a Russian soldier being leveled by the overpressure from a tank’s cannon. Two soldiers are seen standing in front of a Russian tank in heavy snow when the tank fires its 125mm main gun. The soldier closest to the muzzle blast drops his rifle and falls into the snow in a heap.
———————————————————————————————————————
Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
••Day 360.
Today there is a lot of news from the Luhansk region.
Here, the Russians secured tactical gains north of Kupiansk and are developing their offensive further.
They are already attacking Synkivka, they are preparing to open several more lines of attack to cut off a huge chunk of Ukrainian territories from supplies and collapse the front line until the Oskil River.
However, there are several huge omissions in this plan that can completely ruin the Russian plan, and today I will tell you exactly what these omissions are.
After weeks of continuous attacks, the Russians established control over two villages in the northern part of the Luhansk region [Hryanykivka & Dvorichne].
These two villages are located in the forest and served as a bridgehead on the other side of the river that limited the ability of the Russians to advance towards Kupiansk.
The reason why it took so long for the Russians to eliminate this bridgehead lies in the disposition of Ukrainian troops.
As you can see, the Ukrainians are controlling a relatively big settlement on the western bank of the Oskil River, and since the river here is extremely narrow and the Ukrainians had plenty of time to create pontoon bridges, it was very easy to supply Ukrainians troops in Dvorichne and Hrianykivka, or even directly launch counterattacks from across the river.
Right now, the Russians are slowly clearing the area around Lyman Pershyi.
This process turned out to be extremely time-consuming as well because the middle of the forest is densely mined, and when they get to the outskirts, they become vulnerable to local counterattacks.
At first glance, it may seem strange that the Russians are not launching an attack from the east as well, and all these actions may even look like a false attack towards Kupiansk, however, the inactivity can be purely explained by the lack of proper conditions.
The main reason why the Russians are so focused on reaching Kupiansk from the north is that it will diminish the Ukrainians supply and support of the Kyslivka group.
As you might still remember, the battle for the Kyskivka group was very intense and had multiple stages because the settlements here are located at a higher elevation and create a set of synergistic defenses. That is why the Russians are not attacking them yet.
They have already advanced towards Synkivka, and once there are heavier engagements, as many Russian analysts are suggesting, the Russians will also open additional lines of attacks from Vilshana to assault Petropavlivka.
Once the troops are fixed and the area becomes an active combat zone, Ukrainian defense in Kyslivka will start deteriorating.
In fact, the Russians have significantly increased the intensity of shelling in this region. The same thing could be observed 4-5 days prior to Russian attacks in the forest.
The Kyslivka group is bigger, so the Russians may need to spend a bit more time to soften up Ukrainian defenses, but nonetheless, it looks like the Russians expect to gradually resume their offensive actions here somewhere next week.
Ukrainian analysts, in turn, suggest that even if the Russians turn the whole northern part into a combat zone, it will have virtually no effect on the ability of the Ukrainians to defend their positions down the line.
First of all, Ukrainian positions in Kyslivka are too far from Petropavlivka to create any threat of encirclement or additional lines of attacks, which means that they will be dealing with the same type of attacks that they experienced over the last several months.
Secondly, Kupiansk is not the only logistical hub in the region, as many troops and equipment get delivered to Kupians Vuzlovyi – a town located 3 km south of Kupiansk.
Thirdly, there are multiple roads that connect the Kyslivka group with the secondary logistical hubs, which ensures that the Ukrainians won’t just run out of ammunition and step back.
The only real problem is that some Ukrainian troops will be fixed in Kupiansk, and there will be fewer available reserves in case reinforcements are needed, but this number will be proportional to the number of soldiers that the Russians devote to this operation, which in this case should offset one another.
Overall, the tactical gains that the Russians are trying to generate in the northern part of the region are too small to give the Russians an advance in the central part of the region because they are too detached.
So far, it looks like the Russians are unable to achieve their announced goal, which is to recapture the Luhansk region before the rainy season.
Their tempo is too slow, they have already lost thousands of troops while they tried to take these two villages [Hryanykivka & Dvorichne], and there are no indicators that they can translate tactical gains into operational.
In the meantime, the Ukrainians are not losing time and rapidly preparing to retake the initiative in spring.
The first group of 635 Ukrainians already completed general military and maneuver training, including training on a Bradley infantry fighting vehicle.
A second group of 710 Ukrainian troops has already begun training on the Bradley and the M109 Paladin, and a third group of 890 Ukrainian troops will begin training with Stryker combat vehicles already next week.
==
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZPpYQuLW8T0
Denys says:
Russia has moved 40% of its fighter jets and helicopters closer to Ukraine, about 200km away; bombers and other long range planes are stationed close enough.
Why Russia May Use Mass Aviation Explained:
Russian artillery is mainly directed by UAVs [Orlan-10s]. Artillery brigades mass artillery pieces, then fire them all at once, creating a steel firewall, and then advance that firewall, destroying everything in its path, civilians and enemies alike. This tactic was developed before WWII.
Massed use of the Katyusha rocket system during WWII proved to be a weapon of mass destruction, devastating German defenses. Downsides of this tactic: you are destroying all the things you want to capture; and because of the massed formation, you will have lots of loses from counterbattery fires.
And this is the problem that the Russians have: they were not adequately prepared to use massive artillery shelling, ie they did not have a steady supply of new shells, but used up existing stocks. Even now they have not put their economy on a war footing, and cannot produce enough shells for their artillery tactic.
Most of their Soviet artillery stocks were [used up previously] or sold off to their Allies like Iran, North Korea and many small countries, but now they want that ammo back. But they were refused.
As their shelling decreased by 4 times in recent months, they have started to loose 4 times as many people - replacing their firewall tactic with the meatwall tactic.
Another problem: as they use their artillery at a high rate, the tubes wear out and need to be replaced. However, they do not have enough pieces to rotate in, and they do not have enough factories producing new replacement tubes and repairing old ones.
[As discussed months ago, Russian logistics operates a 18-19th century system, heavily dependent on rail, and moving goods by hand from stock piles which are literally piles. They do not use forklifts, pallets, nor any sort of binding. Trucks and rail cars are loaded and unloaded by hand, requiring lots of troops to do the load/unload. A factory made wood box housing one round is not loaded together with similar boxes, but just loaded as it comes with other items, helter-skelter; then unloaded in a similar fashion.]
[Factory produced ammo, provided the factory does not have a railroad running through it, is loaded onto trucks, then taken to a rail yard and loaded into cars; the cars are taken to their destination and unloaded in piles near the tracks; trucks then arrive, pick through the piles for what they need and load, then unloaded at their destination. All of this by hand.]
That system is another reason why the PMC was cut off from ammo needed by the regular army. Russian General Command wants to take Wagner PMC into their control and as part of their troops. After the heavy losses in Vuhledar of the Naval Infantry, they decided not to give any victory at Bakhmut to the PMC, so they cut all the supplies to PMC.
[The upshot of the above leaves no ground options. So that leaves Air. And the Russians, as discussed months ago, use their air forces as a sort of flying artillery.]
This decision to use Air power massively was taken by Russian Command and published by Russian sources. They will attempt to destroy anti-aircraft and anti-rocket systems [Russian SEAD], and that was a point of the many cruise missile attacks, the dummy missiles, and balloons: to analyze & locate those Ukrainian sites.
Denys explains that his grandad was a Russian Air Force military pilot for Iran and flew a Antonov-12 surveillance plane - like a AWACS today - in the Iran-Iraq war. In those days, air defenses were static, but now they are mobile. So the whole cruise missile use-as-surveillance will not work, once the systems move.
The air attack will be in waves lasting one day, not more. Lots of planes in the first wave will be shot down. The second wave more successful, if they target all the air fields and anti-air defenses. After that success, they will have air control of all of Ukraine.
Next target will be all of the bridges along the Dnipro River which divides Ukraine, cutting Ukraine in half.
After that, they will target all the supply lines coming into Ukraine, leaving the UA without supplies. Ukraine may be forced to begin negotiations at that point.
But it’s a desperate move for the Russians, as they may lose most of their Air Force; Russians are saying they will use 80% of their entire Air Force in the attack. Denys expects the losses to be inline with the losses suffered during the cruise missile attacks.
Since most of the planes were built in the old Soviet Union, there is no way to compensate those losses [short of demanding all of their planes sold to other countries back.] The old factories are gone, so production is shut down. MiG-29s are no longer made and SU production is shuttered because they need Western parts.
Putin could mobilize more men, but with the 2024 election coming that would not be a good move politically was his approval rating has lowered. So he needs to show something important done on the Front. Thus his option is to us the Air Force, but that may totally destroy the Russian Air Force - along with the reputation of Russia.
If this air attack happens, it will be in 2 or 3 weeks to beat the arrival in Ukraine more Western air defenses.
Now he might be gambling his entire Air Force.
“Now he might be gambling his entire Air Force.”
I’ll take that bet. Roll the dice.
Speedy doesn’t want to deny the rest of us the amusement of reading comments such as yours.
I posted the same stupid ORYX site and mocked Zpeedy and it was immediately pulled by the mods.
I don’t care equipment, it always get used up in a war.
Who has lost territory?
Hitler tried a similar mass air attack with Operation Bodenplatte.
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