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COVID-19 Solutions for Dummies: Prevention and Optimum Treatment
Red State ^ | 09/02/2020 | Stu Cvrk

Posted on 09/02/2020 4:55:55 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

Successfully dealing with COVID-19 comes down to competently dealing with two different aspects of the disease: Prevention and Treatment. Let’s break each down in simplified terms.

First, we need to be very clear that statistics related to COVID-19 continue to be amazingly porous (missing, unreliable, inaccurate, etc.). As such any estimates for success have a wide range of accuracy. To simplify these estimates, I’ve broken them down to approximate quartiles.

Second, we need to understand that there are other prevention and treatment options being explored (e.g. here and here), but the publicly available evidence to date does not appear to bring them up to the 25% level.

Prevention

In this realm, we have five (5) primary options, each with a different level of approximate effectiveness (estimated below). In most cases if we combine two or more of these, there will be increased effectiveness.

1 – SARS-CoV-2 Specific Vaccine ~75%. [Not available in quantity for 6± months]

2 – Other Viral Vaccines ~25%. [Available now]

(e.g. Sabin Oral Polio Vaccine and Bacillus Calmette-Guerin Vaccine)

3 – Social Distancing ~50%.

4 – Masks (high efficiency — e.g. HEPA) ~25%.

5 – Optimize Immune System ~25%.

The focus on a potential future vaccine (in 6± months) is taking much of the oxygen out of the room. There are other things that citizens can do today to reduce their risk, but some of them are rarely discussed (e.g. #2 & #5).

Treatment

Once a person has caught COVID-19, the key question is: what is the optimum therapy? As of now we have seven (7) potential options, that have some reasonable evidence to support them. Unfortunately, at the time of this writing, we don’t have a full scientific assessment (e.g. double-blind studies) for any of these. This is the CDC’s explanation for why they have not formally recommended a COVID-19 therapy protocol.

It seems like there are two avenues here: 1) the CDC give a qualified recommendation for a COVID-19 protocol based on the (scientifically limited) evidence to date, or 2) leave it up to thousands of US doctors to each individually decide how to treat their COVID-19 patients.

Clearly the latter makes little sense in what can be a life-and-death outcome. Further, it is not unreasonable to conclude that many of the 150,000± US COVID-19 deaths to date are attributable to patients receiving less than optimum therapy — in other words, were likely preventable.

Yes, it would be ideal to not establish a national COVID-19 protocol until we have really solid science — but we currently simply don’t have that. While we wait for studies to be completed, tens of thousand of US citizens are likely dying unnecessarily (i.e. due to no approved effective protocol).

Furthermore, for no other reason than legal liability, doctors would strongly prefer to have a CDC approved protocol.

Under present circumstances, the CDC is left to make a decision based on: a) anecdotal evidence, as well as b) experience with other diseases.

Again, each one of these therapies has a different level of effectiveness (estimated below). With more experiences hopefully the effectiveness of these options can be more accurately determined. (When it comes to treatments, combining two or more will not necessarily result in an increased effectiveness — and in fact may be counter-productive.)

1 – HCQ + Zn (early on) ~75%.

2 – Remdesivir ~25%.

3 – Budesonide ~25%.

4 – Inhaled Corticosteroids ~25%.

5 – Ozone Therapy ~25%.

6 – Low Dose Radiation ~25%.

7 – Immune Support ~25%.

The evidence to date indicates that if an otherwise healthy person (i.e., one with an optimized immune system) gets COVID-19, it is unlikely that there will be severe complications, IF they immediately embark on a HCQ+Zn treatment.

The end.

Stu Cvrk

Stu Cvrk served 30 years in the US Navy in a variety of active and reserve capacities, with considerable operational experience in the Middle East and the Western Pacific. An oceanographer and systems analyst through education and experience, Stu is a graduate of the US Naval Academy where he received a classical liberal education which serves as the key foundation for his political commentary. He threads daily on Twitter on a wide range of political, military, foreign policy, government, economics, and world affairs topics.


TOPICS: Health/Medicine; Science; Society
KEYWORDS: covid19; covidcure; hydroxychloroquine; prevention; treatment

1 posted on 09/02/2020 4:55:56 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: Mrs. Don-o; tellw; Huskrrrr; Jane Long; Freedom'sWorthIt; Freedom56v2; BDParrish; Phx_RC

Ping as per your request


2 posted on 09/02/2020 4:56:22 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Low-dose radiation therapy? That doesn’t sound like a great option..

But what about Ivermectin? That’s been decently in the news for a couple weeks now, and he doesn’t mention it at all?


3 posted on 09/02/2020 5:17:13 PM PDT by Svartalfiar
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To: SeekAndFind

I just burned 80 candles and have not missed a beat in enjoying life to the fullest including a Carnival cruise ending in March, dined in all my favorite restaurants by the beach (Florida never really closed), shopped at Walmart and other stores every week, and Gym 6 times a week.

I do not indulge in any particular food or nutrition supplements, just eat what I like which is lot of shrimp and fish, red grapes, blueberries, bananas and whole grain bread & cereal with half and half. Only veggie I like is Okra and cooked spinach both spicy Indian style.

So if I can avoid covid-19 at age 80, it must not be very difficult to avoid covid-19.

My 2 critical procedures to avoid covid-19 are:
(1) NEVER touch face with unwashed hands
(2) Aerobic Exercise 6 days every week.

The exercise is the key to my avoiding respiratory diseases. I walk a mile at 3 deg up-slope in 22 minutes on the treadmill 6 times every week. I never gain any weight, and have more energy than I had at age 50 when I worked full time and had no time or energy for regular exercise.

If someone told me I would feel this athletic when I was in my early 50’s I would have laughed at them. Keeping lungs very strong with regular aerobic exercise is how I avoid colds, flu and so far covid-19, canmow my entire yard with a push mower (not self-propelled).


4 posted on 09/02/2020 5:19:42 PM PDT by entropy12 (covid-19 separates the fearful from the freedom loving! If I am not afraid, no one should be.)
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To: SeekAndFind

You may find this of interest.

A Supercomputer Analyzed Covid-19 — and an Interesting New Theory Has Emerged

https://elemental.medium.com/a-supercomputer-analyzed-covid-19-and-an-interesting-new-theory-has-emerged-31cb8eba9d63


5 posted on 09/02/2020 5:29:31 PM PDT by lastchance (Credo.)
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Marking to read
Covid


6 posted on 09/03/2020 1:22:53 AM PDT by AllAmericanGirl44
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To: SeekAndFind
3 – Budesonide ~25%.

Doc Bartlett claims the success to be higher than the 25% stated here when i watched his interview.

and

HCQ is not mentioned as a preventative.... only a treatment...

7 posted on 09/03/2020 8:36:43 AM PDT by urtax$@work
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