Posted on 09/09/2019 5:15:28 AM PDT by EyesOfTX
Today’s Campaign Update (Because The Campaign Never Ends)
Well, President Donald Trump has yet another new “challenger.” – Complete with blaring headlines at the increasingly leftwing Drudge Report, South Carolina Congressman and former Governor Mark Sanford has decided to jump into the race. He joins former Massachusetts Governor William Weld and former Congressman Joe Not-the-Eagles-Singer Walsh as a kind of NeverTrump cordon of sacrificial lambs who I guess will try to raise money and run in the various caucuses and primaries.
All three of these guys are your basic circus clowns. Weld is an ultra-liberal Democrat in a Brooks Brothers suit who does stuff like this because he can’t find any legitimate work. Walsh is a talk radio host who no longer has a talk radio program. Sanford is the guy who ran out on his family with his Argentinian girlfriend for two weeks while serving as Governor, and then claimed to have been “hiking the Appalachian Trail” when he re-surfaced.
These are the guys who NeverTrump puppet masters like Bill Kristol and Mitt Romney believe are fit to wrest the GOP 2020 nomination away from a sitting President with an extraordinary record of success. You might do better running Larry, Curly and Moe. At least they’d be entertaining.
Fauxcahontas Rising. – Despite the ongoing best efforts by our fake national news media to cover for his increasingly obvious loss of his faculties, the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator continues his slow fade in the polling data.
The latest bit of distressing news for Creepy Uncle Joe comes from the CBS News Battleground poll of early primary/caucus states. This poll attempts to measure voter attitudes in the 17 states that will take us through Super Tuesday next March 3. Those 17 states include Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina early on, and then conclude with both California and Texas in March.
Thus, it isn’t surprising that both Kamala Harris and Irish Bob O’Rourke land among the top 6 Democrats in overall support in these early states, given the massive presence of their respective home states. It is a little surprising how poorly those two fare overall, with Harris coming in at 8% support and O’Rourke barely registering at 4%.
But it’s the top of the rankings that really matters, and coming in at #1 in terms of overall voter support is not Joe Biden, but Fauxcahontas, the biggest fraud in the race. Which should surprise no one, given the historic Democrat voter preference for lifelong frauds like John Kerry, Al Gore, Barack Obama and Bill and Hillary Clinton to be the standard bearer for their party.
Little Mouth Always Running comes in at 26% support among the registered Democrats surveyed in these 17 early states, with Creepy Uncle Joe close behind (as he always seems to be with the nearest woman) at 25%. The Commie registers at 19% and Mayor Pete makes a cute little political sandwich in between Harris and O’Rourke, landing at 6%.
Those percentages are a little misleading, though, because the delegate count is what would really matter. CBS projects those numbers in this table:
delegates-overall.jpg
So, the Unfrozen Caveman Senator retains a slight edge in that measure, though far short of the 748 he would need to constitute a pace to win a first-ballot majority at the DNC Convention. And looky there: Amy Klobuchar jumps into the top 6 to replace Preacher Pete, who is nowhere to be seen.
In keeping with its campaign to prop up the Serial Gaffer, CBS leads its write-up on the poll by saying, “This poll tells a story of Elizabeth Warren rising. But not Joe Biden falling.” Which is, of course, abject nonsense.
Let’s go back to April, when Biden announced his candidacy. Then, he started this race with a huge, 20+ point lead in pretty much every poll, registering at or above the 40% level in all of them. In this new poll, just five months later, he’s down to 25% in the 17 states that will essentially decide the race for all intents and purposes, and now trailing a woman who has spent her entire adult life pretending to be someone she is not for professional and financial gain.
True, he is still doing slightly better in the national polls, where he’s averaging about 29% support in the RealClearPolitics average. And the lead he still owns is due strictly to two factors: Very strong support among African-Americans, who don’t much care for all the radical socialists in the race, and this perception that he’s the most electable candidate in a general election against President Trump.
That’s all well and good for now, but here’s Biden’s real problem: The Democrat voter base has become ultra-radicalized, and is not likely to ultimately settle for an elderly white guy (Biden will be closing in on 78 when the Democrat convention comes around next summer) who barely knows where he is most days. Those voters are also not going to settle for an old white guy who still goes around bragging about his old segregationist pals in the 1970s Senate, and who still tells off-color jokes that demean women, Blacks and gays.
Take a look at that RealClearPolitics average again, and add up the percentage of voters who are supporting the radical candidates like Warren, The Commie, Harris, Buttigieg, Yang and O’Rourke: Their support comes in right at 50% to Biden’s 29%. That’s where the heart of the Democrat Party really lies.
Throughout the 2015/2016 GOP nomination contest, I repeatedly advised readers and clients to add up the percentage of primary voters who weighed in their support on behalf of the party’s non-conventional candidates. I included Trump, Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, Carly Fiorina and Rand Paul in that category. It was absolutely stunning how consistently their total support came in right at 63% throughout 2015 and through the early primaries. As Carson, Fiorina and Paul left the race, basically all of their support base migrated right over to Trump.
That was where the heart of the GOP voter base was in 2016, and the radical left is where the heart of the Democrat voter base is for the 2020 race. As O’Rourke, Yang and Buttigieg drop out of the race, and The Commie and Harris fall away later on, their voters are going to coalesce not around Biden, but around Fauxcahontas. This is pretty much baked into the cake at this point. Elizabeth Warren is really the odds-on favorite to go into next year’s convention with the highest number of delegates as of today. The big question is whether or not she will be able to the majority required to win on the first ballot.
If you think I’m crazy and still believe that Biden is the big favorite because that’s what all the “experts” are telling, take a look at history: Since 1988, the early favorite to win a contested Democrat nominating race has only prevailed one time, in 2000, when Al Gore, a sitting vice president, became the nominee.
All the momentum in this race today is with Warren, and it’s pretty hard to see anything that will stop it. Democrat voters love a good fraud, and there is not more accomplished, blatant fraud in the race than Fauxcahontas.
That is all.
Well written article. Thanks for posting.
The lying skank that got through life prevaricating about her racial background?
You know trump won’t leave those facts alone. Bring it on Fauxcahontas
MSM being MSM. This author is trying to be persuasive, not predictive. Biden is constantly in the lead. The Author is trying to change that with a persuasive article.
The Democrat field is awful. Ideologically, of course, they are fighting a war against reality. But strictly as campaigners, there people are weak. They will alienate anyone who is not a committed socialist. If Trump doesn’t get a second term, the country will deserve what it gets.
LOL! Ok. You betcha. LOL.
Please have her be the nominee. Her voice is so grating and the Native American fraud thing is documented in that bar application. She’s also worth millions too, so she’s a massive hypocrite.
If you just heard her voice without seeing her you could image what she looks like and you would be right, Ugly inside, Ugly outside.
End Game.......Biden will pick her as VP...and that will be the ticket.
You don’t remember 2016 polls and articles very well, do you.
Women are skewing the polls for Warren....at Hillary’s command. Who knows...
Another very good and humorous article. Thanks. Younger than Hillaryous, with feathers, wields a mean axe. Can Lizzie do it? Political storm Elizabeth is just a far off depression now.
Primary support coalescing around an unelectable extremist.
All the more reason to expect a dark horse to emerge.
I disagree.
Biden will not be the nominee. If you go to Democratic sites and see what people post, Biden is despised. His recent fundraising with a gas industry millionaire was another fork in Biden. The gaffes are just icing on the cake.
Warren is radical enough but mature enough to have a wider appeal to the hate-filled Democratic base. The youth are being split between Bernie, Beto and Buttplug.
I truly believe that if nobody else jumps in, it will be Warren. She might choose Clinton as her running mate and create the female revenge campaign that is going to kick Trump out.
That would truly energize the base...no matter how much they hate Clinton. Giving Clinton second spot allows the Foundation to restart and keeps Clinton’s evil out of the spotlight.
People vote for top of the ticket, not the running mate.
Sponsoring FReepers are contributing
$10 Each time a New Monthly Donor signs up!
Get more bang for your FR buck!
Click Here To Sign Up Now!
Great! Trump will destroy Squaw Grey Beaver - and he’ll have fun doing it.
Totally agree, Biden is BORING, uninspiring, dull, and senile - can't imagine even the DEMe dragging him across the finish line. Bernie is an old kook. the next 3 combined can barely get to 15% - It's Warren/Richardson, or someone similar to give her some foreign policy experience on the ticket.
There are three problems with this:
1) by most polls, Dinobernie is still #2, not ComanChe
2) Dinobernie has the $ and organization
3) Dinobernie’s core followers are loyal
Now, in recent weeks we saw ComanChe actually generate a couple of crowds. One was on a college campus during the day, leading to the possibility that profs all gave extra credit for attending the rally. The other was in Seattle.
No, the fact is Biteme is slipping huge. He has lost half his support in a month. What’s more interesting is that Dinobernie, not ComanChe, is second in almost all polling and sneaking back up on Biteme.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.