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Natie “The Nebbish” Silver’s prediction of 35 seat Democrat pickups is an unsupported lie
vanity | August 17, 2018 | By Kevin Collins

Posted on 08/17/2018 11:18:35 AM PDT by jmaroneps37

The prediction I made earlier this week is coming true.

I said the left has nothing, but fake “polls” left, and they will crank them out at a furious rate.

It is not a surprise then that the Prince of Lies, Natie The Nebbish Silver of 538.com has squeaked out a ridiculous “prediction” that Democrats have a 75% chance of winning the House back and gaining 35 seats along the way. This is a lie.

Now this could possibly be taken seriously if the Democrats were on the right side of even a single-issue Americans care about; but alas they are super glued to the wrong side on every issue.

The Democrats have been identified as being “out of step” with mainstream America by 56% of voters.

They voted in lock step against Trump’s very successful tax cuts.

Democrats support sanctuary cities while 84% of Americans disapprove of sanctuary cities/states.

By 69/31 Americans approve of the Trump economy the Democrats call fake and crumbs.

By 68/26 Americans say Trump’s economy is good for them personally.

Unemployment for women African Americans, Hispanics and millennial are at record lows.

The business community reports the most optimum in 15 years, and we have a 4.1 GDP.

Democrats are against building the wall and 60% of Americans want the wall built.

Add to these wrong positions, the Democrats’ generic ballot lead is gone, and the Brennan Center For Justice reporting Democrats have to out vote Republicans by 11 points to regain control of Congress.

Black support for Trump is between 31% and 36% with Hispanic support around 44%.

Americans’ 401ks have produced a record number of millionaires.

More Americans are working than ever before.

The Democrats are increasingly being identified with antifa and Venezuelan socialism and the DNC is collecting record low donations while the RNC is bring in record donations.

#walkaway is eroding Democrat bases from Blacks to Hispanics to women to Gays.

White millennials are running away from the Democrats.

The RNC is using their record $213 million in donations to open offices in 27 states staffed by 500 paid campaign managers supported by 15,000 registered volunteers (Trump won with 5000 registered volunteers).

The DNC owes more than it has.

Few Democrat Senators running in states Trump won are at 50% and many are seriously below that mark.

And add this for good measure; in a story the New York Times carried about how there are two Democrat seats that will probably flip in Minnesota, they also mentioned there are two seats in Nevada one, in Pennsylvania, one in New Hampshire, one in Florida that are likely flips as well.

So, what is the argument against saying the Democrats won’t lose seats? There is none.


TOPICS: Politics; Society
KEYWORDS: democratlosses
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Please don't fall for their lies. They have nothing to support them.
1 posted on 08/17/2018 11:18:35 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
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To: jmaroneps37

How does this guy “stay in business”? Who pays him to do this?


2 posted on 08/17/2018 11:19:54 AM PDT by simpson96
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To: jmaroneps37

Their only chance of winning is Republicans staying home, Democrats turning out at over 100% (with vote fraud) and Independents voting Democrat. That seems unlikely.


3 posted on 08/17/2018 11:23:01 AM PDT by EdnaMode
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To: jmaroneps37

I even hear leftists say that Texas and Arizona are flipping in the Senate.


4 posted on 08/17/2018 11:29:21 AM PDT by Shadow44
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To: EdnaMode
"Their only chance of winning is Republicans staying home"

Which is why our VSG is going to campaign for almost 60 days straight, today I heard 50 rallies or appearances, my guess is that is just a beginning.

He has pulled people across the line w/ just a tweet of support or a rally.

I don't think we will get how strong his voice and podium is to the base and they will crawl across broken glass for him this fall, especially with him going to their State or District and have a chance to see him at a rally which goes around the lames streams which they hate and we get.

Believe, do not be ye of little faith!

5 posted on 08/17/2018 11:30:17 AM PDT by taildragger ("Do you hear the people Singing? Singing the Song of Angry Men!")
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To: jmaroneps37

Yes, fine, that may all be true, but Trump says mean things to people who call him and his supporters NaziTraitorRacistMysogynist.


6 posted on 08/17/2018 11:33:36 AM PDT by rightwingcrazy
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To: jmaroneps37

If the election were held today, I think the Dems would pick up around 30 seats.

The problem the Dems have is that the election isn’t held today ... it’s held in early November after what is known as “campaigns”.

I’m under no illusions that the Republicans will easily hold the House ... however, it looks like President Trump will be out there this fall campaigning ... it’s up to use to harness that energy and turn it into votes this Fall.

So, yes, there is an 80% chance that Dems would win 30 seats right now ... let’s see how it plays out over the next few months before getting all depressed though :-).


7 posted on 08/17/2018 11:35:11 AM PDT by edh
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To: jmaroneps37

By 68/26 Americans say Trump’s economy is good for them personally.


8 posted on 08/17/2018 11:39:01 AM PDT by COBOL2Java (Marxism: Trendy theory, wrong species)
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To: jmaroneps37

Word on the web is the Deep State will probably launch a False Flag against itself in order to blame Trump, Patriots, conservatives and Republicans before the election.

This is why they are censoring people. They want to silence the people that could expose them and that are very influential. They do not worry about people that are not influential.

The Democrats are a dying party and they are desperate to stop Trump. This is why they will attack themselves, and then use that to attempt to steal the election in 2018 and 2020.

They are laying the ground work, and this is why they are putting out these predictions because a false flag is coming.

I believe Bill Clinton pulled one in 1996. Remember Oklahoma City? President Clinton even admitted on Air Force One after the election that the Oklahoma City attack was what helped him get re-elected.

Make no mistake the Democrats with the Deep State are going to try to launch a false flag before the election. They are like a caged animal and are very desperate. This is why they are always lashing out acting completely crazy. Spread this information so they cannot get away with this.


9 posted on 08/17/2018 11:42:27 AM PDT by Enlightened1
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To: edh

If the election were held today, I think the Dems would pick up around 30 seats. Based on what? What - what you feel? name a single issue that will make Trump voters say Ok that’s right we need to destroy thew good economy because edh at Free republic says we will be better off with Democrats.


10 posted on 08/17/2018 11:42:39 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: Shadow44

AZ is a real possibility. TX unlikely. AZ and NV are the two most likely Dem pickups in the senate. Meanwhile, like a dozen dem seats are at risk.


11 posted on 08/17/2018 11:43:25 AM PDT by rb22982
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To: jmaroneps37

LET THEM believe that they are going to win a victory - since a lot of the Dems’ voters are naturally lazy, many will not show up. In contrast, if Republicans are worried that we will lose the House, resulting in a probable impeachment of Trump and the loss of any chance to change DC, then they’ll show up in record numbers. This, like so many things, will blow up in their faces.

Again, LET THEM keep lying to themselves and others...it can only help.


12 posted on 08/17/2018 11:44:40 AM PDT by Ancesthntr ("The right to buy weapons is the right to be free." A. E. van Vogt)
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To: jmaroneps37

It is not a lie. It is an opinion. An opinion can be contradicted by facts but it is not a lie.


13 posted on 08/17/2018 11:48:51 AM PDT by arthurus (mM|\/|)
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To: jmaroneps37

I’ve stated it again: he got lucky on his numbers before the 2012 re-election of Klownie the Kenyan. AFTERWARDS, he could not get close to his numbers on every midterms ever since...


14 posted on 08/17/2018 11:49:32 AM PDT by max americana (Fired libtard employees 9 consecutive times at every election since 08'. I hope all liberals die.)
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To: taildragger

Itakes Trump hinself to get the enthusiasm up by these rallies. By election time Republicans will have NO other way to talk to the voters other than with these rallies and going door-to-door. The Left is rapidly obtaining a monopoly on internet media platforms and the right is ever more shut out. Even Trump has been shadow banned. I would not be surprised if he is totally banned by October.


15 posted on 08/17/2018 11:55:36 AM PDT by arthurus (nN|\|)
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To: jmaroneps37

They think they’ll win because of the primary turn out of their 30% versus out 30%. The problem is the other 40% with no affiliation and that have been disgusted by their behavior.


16 posted on 08/17/2018 11:59:54 AM PDT by struggle
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To: jmaroneps37

We should work as if this is true, even if it’s not. If the Trump supporters can be as motivated as the left, the left will lose “bigly.”


17 posted on 08/17/2018 12:01:13 PM PDT by Antoninus ("In Washington, swamp drain you.")
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To: taildragger

VSG?


18 posted on 08/17/2018 12:08:35 PM PDT by Vendome (I've Gotta Be Me https://youtu.be/wH-pk2vZGw2M)
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To: jmaroneps37

Will the Democrats gain in seats HRC won in 2016 and Republican incumbent narrowly won or has retired?
Democrats pick up a few in Pennsylvania due to new district lines?

It looks like many open Republican seats are called Toss ups. Because GOP candidate is unproven?


19 posted on 08/17/2018 12:13:38 PM PDT by SMGFan ( .)
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To: Vendome
"Very Stable Genius" ;-)
20 posted on 08/17/2018 12:17:28 PM PDT by taildragger ("Do you hear the people Singing? Singing the Song of Angry Men!")
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