6-7% for 3rd party candidates (cumulative) is probably double what it will likely end up. I have been saying 3.5% is the top end for 3rd party candidates in this election, and I am sticking to that.
I think Jill Stein’s 2% is pretty hard, and Johnson should get half of the 10 he is getting in a lot of polls. I think 7 is about right. I don’t recall this much third party talk since 92. It’s the personal disgust people hold for the tops of the tickets that’s driving this, it’s not rational. I see it anecdotally, some people just despise Trump and Clinton viscerally, they’ll vote for “what’s Aleppo” despite horrific consequence for the Court.