Posted on 09/16/2016 9:09:07 AM PDT by Oldpuppymax
Ockhams razor is a problem solving formula the holds, Among competing hypotheses, the one with the fewest assumptions should be selected. This simple principle is very often pushed aside by self-important, deep thinkers who make a living making things seem complicated and therefore insoluble except for those with expert knowledge.
The famous Danish writer Hans Christian Andersen showed us the value of Ockhams razor in his short story; The Emperor's New Clothes." In this tale two weavers promise their emperor a new suit of clothes that is invisible to those who are unfit for their positions, stupid, or incompetent. When the Emperor walks through the streets in his new clothes, no one dares say that they don't see any clothes until a child says, "But he isn't wearing anything at all!"
Todays version of The Emperors New Clothes involves the results of polls we have been fed this election cycle.
Those of us who insist that what they are giving us is transparently wrong are treated as unfit for their positions, stupid, or incompetent, just like the child who was not fooled in Andersens story.
The Ockhams Razor of polling results is this: There are only four groups of voters: Whites, Hispanics, Blacks and a sprinkling of Asians. It makes no difference what White women or White men do because it is the aggregate of White voters that matters. If we use the percentage of Whites who made up the electorate in 2012-which was 71%-we have accounted for a huge portion of the turnout.
Since the pollsters like to select which features of the 2012 turnout they want to use, we can do the same, except that Trump will bring out at least 2% more Whites. If he does and gets 63% of them he has captured...
(Excerpt) Read more at thecoachsteam.com ...
As I’ve been noting for 18 months now, whites, particularly working-class whites, are treated as PURE CRAP by both parties. That used to not be the case, as at least the Democrats gave them something to vote for (and, once in while, Republicans). But the Democrats have moved VERY HARD LEFT (the most under-reported story in politics, by the way) and Republicans are TOO STUPID to realize that a HUGE CLASS OF VOTERS, pushing 35%-40% of the entire voting electorate, was there’s for the taking. Instead the IDIOT REPUBLICANS were in the process of, once again, giving white working-class voters the finger in the way of Amnesty and Free Trade (among other issues).
But one Republican figured it out, which is why the Dems feared him so much, and why he is now starting to pull away with the election. In the end, the only question that will be asked is why the hell did it take 8 years of Obama before someone on our side figured out the now-obvious formula for winning.
Julia Roberts in “ERIN BROCKOVICH”: “All you effin lawyers do is take simple things and make them complicated!”
Eight years of Obama?
It didn’t take Obama, we had Clinton and the Bush’s before and after him. It’s been very simple. The Demorats have been taken over by anti-American leftists and the Muslim now crowd of which Hussein leads the pack. The Repubs trailed along with the Dems leadership to hell.
We should have taken out the trash decades ago but Reagan failed us in that department. But it can be argued that Hussein Obama, America’s FIRST Muslim President was so anti-American that even the presstitutes are starting to hold their noses. Peaceful Muslims need to flood into this country? Even the liberals have kids who the Muslims are going to enslave in a Sharia hell if it isn’t stopped.
Once you reject the PC taboos, rational analysis becomes possible once again.
Once rational analysis becomes possible, it is a very short step to understand that the Constitution was intended to serve Americans, first, second and always! It is our instrument, creating an agency for our benefit. See Trump: The Issue!
The repeated misuse of our Constitutional agency for the ends of Leftwing or Globalist theorists, can now be addressed effectively.
But the majority sit in awe.
Flash ahead to today's America. The following video will be ignored by 99% of Americans because they know the answer is complicated. The biggest mystery in American history is NOT complicated, it's easily solved as the video shows but you will NOT believe it.
Your brainwashing has been that good.
“But one Republican figured it out, which is why the Dems feared him so much, and why he is now starting to pull away with the election. In the end, the only question that will be asked is why the hell did it take 8 years of Obama before someone on our side figured out the now-obvious formula for winning.”
They always knew it. It was the 600 pound gorilla in the room. Political correctness internalized it. Trump isn’t politically correct so the paradigm doesn’t apply to him.
Good post, great link. Thanks.
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