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Don't Count Out the Internal Combustion Engine
Real Clear Future ^ | August 29, 2016 | Rob Tracinski

Posted on 09/07/2016 11:15:52 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Is the electric car the inevitable wave of the future? Is the internal combustion engine finished, through, a relic of the 20th century—as many are now saying?

I have argued before that electric cars are overhyped. I calculated that the Tesla, for example, is still a really bad deal when you compare its substantial extra costs against the cost of operating a similar gasoline-powered car over five or ten years.

But what if I'm wrong? For example, how much of that calculation is due to the inflated cost of a Tesla, which uses all of the positive publicity lavished on it by the media to sell its cars at a pretty hefty premium?

Elon Musk's genius was to realize two things. First, the electric car had to be exciting. Previous versions had been designed as environmental hair shirts meant to show just how much you were willing to sacrifice for the cause in terms of performance, design, and just plain cool. By contrast, Tesla took advantage of the one really interesting performance feature of an electric motor—its ability to deliver a lot of torque instantly on demand—and used it to build a fast sports car....

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearfuture.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Science; Travel
KEYWORDS: automobiles; automotive; energy; engines
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1 posted on 09/07/2016 11:15:52 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

It’s still a coal fired car.


2 posted on 09/07/2016 11:17:14 AM PDT by Travis T. OJustice ( I live with a Fierce Allegiance)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Didn’t they call for the death of the diesel engine years ago?


3 posted on 09/07/2016 11:19:07 AM PDT by rarestia (It's time to water the Tree of Liberty.)
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To: Travis T. OJustice

Well, it could also be nuclear powered.


4 posted on 09/07/2016 11:21:22 AM PDT by AFreeBird (BEST. ELECTION. EVER!)
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To: Travis T. OJustice

Coal, hydro, nuclear, solar, gasoline, propane... Lots of sources for electricity.
I want to get another EV and charge it via solar for off grid independence.


5 posted on 09/07/2016 11:51:00 AM PDT by ctdonath2 ("If anyone will not listen to your words, shake the dust from your feet and leave them." - Jesus)
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To: AFreeBird
Well, it could also be nuclear powered.

Don't forget hydro. The northwest uses a lot of hydro, hell, even the desert southwest uses it - Hoover Dam.

6 posted on 09/07/2016 11:52:02 AM PDT by IYAS9YAS (An' Tommy ain't a bloomin' fool - you bet that Tommy sees! - Kipling)
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To: AFreeBird

They will claim it is solar or wind powered.

There used to be a lot of wind powered ships.


7 posted on 09/07/2016 11:54:32 AM PDT by Dan(9698)
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To: AFreeBird

“Nuclear powered road vehicle” is not as far out as some may think.

By adapting the design of Thorium-fueled Molten Salt reactor by miniaturization, to where it still produces very significant heat, but is now small enough to be mounted on the chassis of a road vehicle. Heat energy is the medium by which the power of any fuel is harnessed, and a reciprocating internal combustion engine is only one of the mechanisms that may be used. A design of a reciprocating engine that uses only hot air as a medium, the Stirling engine, could use air heated by the Thorium power cell, and convert it to propulsive power. The one waste product of this operation is excess heat, as the reactor would be heating continuously.

There would be ways to utilize this continuous production of heat energy, by banking it in a huge water reservoir, as a heat bank. directing the excess heat into the water, and using this system for such purposes as home heating, or as any engineer knows, a number of industrial purposes.


8 posted on 09/07/2016 12:01:31 PM PDT by alloysteel (Of course you will live in interesting times, Nobody has a choice, now.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Technically the Tesla is a good car. The debate over electric vs internal combustion will not be settled by this kind of hyperventilating hype - on either side - but by technological progress towards serving customers needs.

I cannot see owning an electric car myself, absent vastly improved range and cost performance - but progress towards those goals is being made, and I would not try to predict where things will go in the future.

9 posted on 09/07/2016 12:03:31 PM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: AFreeBird
Well, it could also be nuclear powered.

There's about a 10% chance of that, whereas there's about a 60% chance it's coal fired. Plus, it yanks the envirolibs chain better that way.

10 posted on 09/07/2016 12:15:43 PM PDT by Travis T. OJustice ( I live with a Fierce Allegiance)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
But what if I'm wrong?

You're not wrong, you're absolutely right. Crazy environmentalists want to throw out a product of over one hundred years of technical refinement - the internal combustion engine and gasoline. Extremely efficient, and gasoline packs a lot of punch for the money. My liberal brother-in-law bet me $100 in 2009 that gasoline powered cars would disappear within five years and electric cars would be dominant. He hasn't paid up, conveniently denying he made the bet due to dementia. He's lost a lot of money in solar power investments.

Electric cars are not going to become dominant for some years to come. For the time being, ICE cars will be dominant for quite a while.

11 posted on 09/07/2016 1:00:18 PM PDT by roadcat
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Electric vehicles are subsidized at the manufacturing process and then again to the end user or consumer in the form of tax rebates

They are financially not viable without those two conditions


12 posted on 09/07/2016 1:14:05 PM PDT by Vendome (Don't take life so seriously-you won't live through it anyway - "Enjoy Yourself" ala Louis Prima)
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To: Travis T. OJustice

Three reasons why your comment is ignorant:

1. Teslas get 100 MPGe. So they use about 1/4 the energy a comparable internal-combustion car uses.

2. Coal is no longer the dominant, or even largest, source of electrical power in the U.S.

Natural Gas = 34%
Coal = 32%
Nuclear = 20%
Renewables =13%
Petroleum = 1%

3. 97% of new electrical power generation capacity last year was from renewables.


13 posted on 09/07/2016 1:24:26 PM PDT by dangus
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To: AndyJackson; 2ndDivisionVet

Both of you made far more reasonable statements than the extremists.

Want to know why the electrical car isn’t going to completely dominate by say, 2030? Because gas will still cost about $2 a gallon. If it were going to cost $8 a gallon, hell yeah, electrical cars would dominate. Why won’t gas cost $8 a gallon? Electrical cars.


14 posted on 09/07/2016 1:27:38 PM PDT by dangus
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To: Travis T. OJustice

Or fusion powered. We hope...


15 posted on 09/07/2016 1:58:11 PM PDT by dhs12345
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To: dangus

“1. Teslas get 100 MPGe. So they use about 1/4 the energy a comparable internal-combustion car uses.”

Based on what price of gas? $5/gallon??


16 posted on 09/07/2016 2:28:54 PM PDT by CodeToad
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To: dangus

“Coal = 32%”

Not by natural free market selection, but because Obama has artificially shut down hundreds of coal plants.


17 posted on 09/07/2016 2:29:43 PM PDT by CodeToad
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To: roadcat
...Extremely efficient...

Modern gasoline engines have a maximum thermal efficiency of about 25% to 30% when used to power a car.

That is down right pitiful.

18 posted on 09/07/2016 3:17:00 PM PDT by GingisK
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To: dangus
Teslas get 100 MPGe. So they use about 1/4 the energy a comparable internal-combustion car uses.
Big whoop - a motorcycle can do that. Teslas are sports cars, specifically for good efficiency and not for good carrying capacity or comfort.
97% of new electrical power generation capacity last year was from renewables.
. . . which says that subsidies are buying a lot of wind turbine peak (under ideal circumstances of weather and demand) "capacity.” Scare quotes around “capacity” because when you need electricity you may not have much wind.

Coal will likely decline, even post-Obama. Fracking is a cheaper way of getting fuel.

The author claims that there has been, and expects in the future more to come, progress in IC engine design. A point not lightly to be disregarded.


19 posted on 09/07/2016 3:38:37 PM PDT by conservatism_IS_compassion ('Liberalism' is a conspiracy against the public by wire-service journalism.)
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To: GingisK; roadcat
Modern gasoline engines have a maximum thermal efficiency of about 25% to 30% when used to power a car. That is down right pitiful.
Pitiful indeed; I clearly remember a research engine in the IC engine lab in college getting 30%, back during the Kennedy Administration.

20 posted on 09/07/2016 3:57:57 PM PDT by conservatism_IS_compassion ('Liberalism' is a conspiracy against the public by wire-service journalism.)
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