Posted on 06/30/2016 8:47:23 AM PDT by Oldpuppymax
Some political “experts” insist “Bellwether” counties like Vigo, Indiana aren’t “bellwether” counties but just statistical coincidences.
“After all, what can an unsophisticated bunch of Midwestern hay seeds know about politics that we don’t know?” they might smugly suggest.
The ironic answer to that question is: Not much, except who will win the presidency every four years.
What makes Vigo County so unique is that since 1888 the voters there have voted for the winner of each presidential election, except in 1908 and 1952. That means they have been right 14 elections in a row and 29 of the past 31 elections for an astounding 93.5% accuracy rate.
Because of this remarkable record, Politico.com sent a reporter to Vigo County last summer where he remained until after the November local election. This assignment was probably to prove that Hillary Clinton was on her way to a resounding victory over Jeb Bush. There really was little reason to think otherwise.
The media was laughing at Donald Trump who despite a late start had just pulled ahead of Jeb Bush to lead the Republican pack, 18% to 15%. No one outside of Vigo County and die hard Trump supporters around the county had any reason to doubt that it would be Bush vs Clinton II.
The reporter lived in Vigo for several months and had difficulty finding anyone who was not voting for Trump.
Despite Vigo’s voter registration numbers showing Republicans with only about 10,000 voters...
(Excerpt) Read more at thecoachsteam.com ...
I’ll take it, and hope they aren’t overdue for their third loss in Presidential picks.
Despite what their own polling is supposed to ‘prove’, they are going to slowly come to the realization that HilLIARy s in for an epic beat-down.
Vigo County, where you live if you want to shop in Paris in the morning and have dinner in Brazil.
Famous for two other things: Rose-Hulman, and Square Donuts.
Vigo County is Terre Haute, Indiana.
Its a famed bellwether county that’s like a cross-section of America.
It has gone for the winner in every election since 1892, only missing in 1908 and 1952.
Odds are it will go for the winner again this year.
Why? Vigo went for Obama twice even as he lost the statewide IN vote in 2012.
Don’t write em off.
I’m not writing them off at all.
When you consider that there are THOUSANDS of counties in the US, there is nothing “astounding” or “remarkable” that one has a 93.5% correlation with the outcome of the national election. I’d be surprised if that is actually the highest.
And why go back to 1888, is that the earliest that records are available, or is 1884 being excluded intentionally? Pretty much ever time you hear that some team won “8 of their last 10” games, it really means they won “8 of the last 11”.
Interesting. There are towns where companies test new products before nationwide release because they’ve learned these towns are a sort of demographic microcosm of the country.
Yup.
People used to say the same thing about MO.
Its no longer a swing state.
Schlick Clinton surely has. That is where the federal death row is located (within Terre Haute Federal Prison).
We were in Newton County IN yesterday. Everyone we talked to is Trump.
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