Posted on 04/08/2016 8:57:46 AM PDT by Oldpuppymax
The worst 10 days of Donald Trump’s campaign got him whooped by Ted Cruz in Wisconsin. Nevertheless, Trump’s chances of winning the Republican nomination on the first ballot are good.
Trump continues to lead Cruz in states/territories won and has a 226 delegate lead. The math is foreboding for Cruz. He has 517 delegates. There are just 769 delegates to be awarded. This means Cruz must win 720 of these 769 remaining delegates to reach the required 1237 and win a first round nomination. Trump has won 743 delegates so he must win 494 of the remaining 769.
This gives Cruz a “tragic number” of 49 meaning the next time 49 delegates are awarded to anyone but Cruz, he is mathematically eliminated from reaching 1237.
The battle now goes to New York, worth 95 delegates. Trump is way ahead and will knock Cruz out on April 19th. Even the most wishful thinkers have Cruz giving up 60 delegates and seeing his mathematical chances come to an end. Trump will eliminate Cruz by getting about 80 delegates.
Next up is the Northeastern Super Tuesday of April 26th when Pennsylvania 71, Delaware 16, Connecticut 28, Rhode Island 19 and Maryland 38 will be voting.
Trump will frame these races as a contest between himself and Mitt Romney, the presumed savior of the Republican Party and the leader GOP elites can hardly wait to anoint as the 2016 nominee. Painting Romney as a landslide loser won’t...
(Excerpt) Read more at thecoachsteam.com ...
He’s living in the twilight zone. Cruz going all the way to the convention and will be the nominee!
It is about time that the Cruzers and Trumpsters figure out that neither one of them is the GOPe choice and start working together to make sure the GOPe doesn't nominate a putz like Kasich, Rubio or Ryan.
I have no earthly idea what is going to happen. I could see it going any number of ways.
I used to think hilary was unstoppable. But now I’m not so sure on that....though I think she is in the driver’s seat, I think it is possible (if difficult) to beat her in November.
But I stress that I really have no clue as to what is going to happen.....
Until Trump gets a majority of the delegates, nobody will be eliminated. But keep on dreaming.
And all Trump has to do is take on Rubio or Kasich and it is OVER!
If you didn’t post here, would anyone read it?
Trump just appointed the John Gotti of politics to convention manager.
Good luck with the Cruz steal. You know what happens to people who try to steal from the mob?
Trump will not make it to 1237 before the convention. Then all delegates, including those currently dedicated to Rubio and Kasich, will be free to vote for whom they see as the best of the likely candidates. Cruz is way ahead in the delegate placement game for the follow on votes....Cruz will win the nomination, fair and square, in the second ballot.
Trump will not make it to 1237 for a first ballot wint before the convention. After the first ballot, all delegates, including those currently dedicated to Rubio and Kasich, will be free to vote for whom they see as the best of the likely candidates. Cruz is way ahead in the delegate placement game for the follow on votes....Cruz will win the nomination, fair and square, in the second ballot.
Not likely, as I suspect Trump will find a way to get the unbound delegates to support him on the first ballot.
How might he do this? The art of the deal.
For the Cruz haters...Why does he always look like his suit’s on too tight?
Because he’s a dweeb...ConstricTED.
“He’s living in the twilight zone. Cruz going all the way to the convention and will be the nominee!”
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Wrong thread. The petering friday silliness thread was started earlier today.
BloaTED
Please let it be Rubio. He's at least still young and impressionable. Kasich has been in GOPe's pocket the whole time, 9 terms in Senate and 1//2 million a year from Lehman Bros to sell access.
For the Cruz haters...Why does he always look like his suit’s on too tight?
He’s gaining weight and too cheap to buy a new suit.
[[If you didn’t post here, would anyone read it?]]
It depends on whether a tree falls silently or noisily i n the forest if noone is around to hear it
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