Posted on 06/08/2015 1:09:16 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
The most interesting news from this month’s survey is in the consensus category, so be sure to get that far into the post.
That said, your first choice leader is once again Ted Cruz, followed by Scott Walker, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio and Carly Fiorina. Over 1800 votes were cast.
Your second choice leader? Scott Walker, followed by Rick Perry, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio and Carly Fiorina.
Your consensus choice leader? Scott Walker again, followed by Ted Cruz, Rick Perry, Carly Fiorina, Bobby Jindal and Marco Rubio. After Rubio, there is a 20 point drop off, making everyone named above what I would consider the “first tier” of the Hot Air survey at this point.
Most of the consensus results have remained steady over time, with one major exception: Carly Fiorina. In January Fiorina was in the basement at 19% of the consensus vote. In June, she’s in fourth place and approaching 70%. Rubio’s star has also risen, gaining almost 25 points since the start of the year.
Remaining questions are below. Thanks for participating!
Hopefully someone can explain a context for the “Consensus Category” as opposed to “First Choice” which has an obvious meaning.
What the heck is “Consensus”?
Ted Cruz Ping! I do appreicate your chart, but those polls are going to change. No one has broken away from the pack yet. I’m willing to bet that candidates like Huck and Carson are not going to be in the upper tier come fall.
I watch it daily and it changes slightly. Most recently Perry has come up slightly and Trump down. There used to be a larger gap between them. But it is sure to change dramatically. There is no saying when but it will happen.
It’s early, it’s going to fluctuate, as a Cruz supporter I do appreciate to see other polls because they are a snapshot. Let’s see where we’re at in September with the RCP average. Let’s hope the right candidate gets the nod. Cheers!
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