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Disturbing Trends: US Money Multiplier and Velocity, Jobs, Mortgage REITs and Agency MBS
Confounded Interest ^ | 07/06/2013 | Anthony B. Sanders

Posted on 07/06/2013 10:08:28 AM PDT by whitedog57

The much ballyhooed jobs report on Friday (despite the fact that it was PART-TIME, not full-time jobs) raised the hopes of investors. US Treasury 10 year yields jumped 24.1 basis points on Friday on the news.

ust10070613

For your consideration.

The US labor force participation rate (SA) rose slightly to 63.5%. Of course, that means that 36.5% are NOT participating. Here is M2 Money Velocity plotted against the labor force participation rate (yellow).

m2velpart

The US Employment Population Ratio (SA) rose slightly to 58.7%. Once again, this means that 41.3% of the population are not employed. He is M1 Money Multiplier plotted against the employment to population ratio (red).

m1multiemppop

Of course, excess reserves in The Fed system is over %1.9 trillion and are not leaking out into the economy, at least in the mortgage market.

excreservesfed

The rise in the Treasury rates has played havoc with mortgage-related investment vehicles. First, mortgage REITs have swooned with the increase in Treasury rates.

mtgreits070613

And Agency Mortgage-backed Securities, like the Fannie Mae 3.5% MBS, have gotten crushed.

fncl35

Treasury rate increases are blistering certain investments such as Agency MBS and mortgage REITs. And the M1 Multiplier and M2 Velocity remain low by historic standards.

For your consideration.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: abortion; deathpanels; employment; fed; mbs; obamacare; velocity; zerocare
Look at the charts of employment and M1 Money Multiplier and M2 Money Velocity. NICE VELOCITY OBAMA/BERNANKE!!!!!
1 posted on 07/06/2013 10:08:28 AM PDT by whitedog57
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To: whitedog57

/mark


2 posted on 07/06/2013 10:13:45 AM PDT by KoRn (Department of Homeland Security, Certified - "Right Wing Extremist")
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To: whitedog57
Long view on M2 Velocity

MZ Velocity

M1 Multiplier

The Money is accumulating Here

And Here


3 posted on 07/06/2013 10:29:03 AM PDT by HangnJudge
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To: HangnJudge

Thanks for posting this HTML-challenged pimp’s stolen charts for him.


4 posted on 07/06/2013 12:51:09 PM PDT by humblegunner (Creepy Ass Cracker)
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To: humblegunner
Thanks for posting this HTML-challenged pimp’s
stolen charts for him.

We live to serve
Most of the above data is straight from the Federal Reserve
Even this mental midget can post a few URL linked graphics

5 posted on 07/06/2013 3:39:18 PM PDT by HangnJudge
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