Skip to comments.Stat Analysis: Cuyahoga Early Vote Numbers Show Romney Cutting Obama 2008 Lead in STATE by 26%
Posted on 11/05/2012 7:20:23 PM PST by therightliveswithus
Down 16% overall, down from 54,340 in 2008 to 45,337 this year-- down 9,007 or 16%. And most of the decline came from Democratic voters.
The numbers show a huge increase in GOP voters here:
Democrats: 127,741 53.36% or 89% of 2008 Republicans: 47,091 19.67% or 138% of 2008 Other: 64,544 26.96 or 78% of 2008 Total: 239,376 or 84% of 2008
Compare this with the 2008 results:
Obama: 458,422 69.05% McCain: 199,880 30.11% Total difference: 258,242
If GOP voting is up 38% in just the early voting and the Republicans are better prepared for election day, they could narrow the gap.
Let's assume that the early voting numbers are directly proportional to the overall vote count. If the independents flip 50/50 and the Democrats and Republicans keep their partisans, it leads to this result:
(Excerpt) Read more at punditpress.com ...
Ed Gillespie from RR HQ said tonight that Obama is behind 263,000 votes in Ohio from where he was in 2008.
Very good news!
Cuyahoga County is also the most liberal part of the state so this is VERY good news..all the polls showing D+11 or D+8 are going to be laughing stocks because Dem enthusiasm is in the toilet
That Obama phone woman is gonna be pissed.
Newt brought up a great point about the Ohio Valley Democrats. Many of those are Coal and blue collar workers. Those early Democrats votes will not be for Barack.
I believe LS was saying on a thread earlier that 56,000 votes is about 1 percentage point.
That means he’s already lost by 1000 BEFORE the GOP turnout machine hits.
Dang, warn a person before posting that pic!
OH turnout will be 6 million i believe so 1% is 60,000.
He gave us a phone!.... And I’m gonna post MORE!
Axelrude claimed on the Chris Wallace program that
although the margin will be smaller than ‘08 they still
will have enough votes to win.
I have heard similar numbers before.
Do you happen to have a link to Gillispie’s comments from this evening? I would love to read them.
Or, was it a TV interview he gave?
He could be right, but I am skeptical.
At the very least, his comments suggest that Ohio is not the slam dunk most public polls and MSM pundits are claiming it is.
It is also worth remembering a bunch of Ohio polls showed John Kerry winning by around three points back in 2004 as well. The GOP turnout that year shocked the Dems, and I think we are poised to do it again.
Saw Ed, Rience, Marco and Newt tonight on Fox and they ALL seemed pumped!
In the WV primary, 41% of democrats voted for a felon over obama. This is right over the ohio border. Those early democrat votes are definitely not all for obama
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