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Stat Analysis: Cuyahoga Early Vote Numbers Show Romney Cutting Obama 2008 Lead in STATE by 26%
Pundit Press ^ | 11/5/2012 | Matthew

Posted on 11/05/2012 7:20:23 PM PST by therightliveswithus

Down 16% overall, down from 54,340 in 2008 to 45,337 this year-- down 9,007 or 16%. And most of the decline came from Democratic voters.

The numbers show a huge increase in GOP voters here:

Democrats: 127,741 53.36% or 89% of 2008 Republicans: 47,091 19.67% or 138% of 2008 Other: 64,544 26.96 or 78% of 2008 Total: 239,376 or 84% of 2008

Compare this with the 2008 results:

Obama: 458,422 69.05% McCain: 199,880 30.11% Total difference: 258,242

If GOP voting is up 38% in just the early voting and the Republicans are better prepared for election day, they could narrow the gap.

Let's assume that the early voting numbers are directly proportional to the overall vote count. If the independents flip 50/50 and the Democrats and Republicans keep their partisans, it leads to this result:

(Excerpt) Read more at punditpress.com ...


TOPICS: Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: 2008; 2012polls; cuyahoga; obama; oh2012; ohio2012; ohioelection; romney
Whoa!
1 posted on 11/05/2012 7:20:32 PM PST by therightliveswithus
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To: therightliveswithus

Ed Gillespie from RR HQ said tonight that Obama is behind 263,000 votes in Ohio from where he was in 2008.


2 posted on 11/05/2012 7:24:33 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: therightliveswithus

Very good news!


3 posted on 11/05/2012 7:25:50 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: therightliveswithus

Cuyahoga County is also the most liberal part of the state so this is VERY good news..all the polls showing D+11 or D+8 are going to be laughing stocks because Dem enthusiasm is in the toilet


4 posted on 11/05/2012 7:26:24 PM PST by Sarah Barracuda
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To: therightliveswithus

That Obama phone woman is gonna be pissed.


5 posted on 11/05/2012 7:26:38 PM PST by Farmer Dean (stop worrying about what they want to do to you,start thinking about what you want to do to them)
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To: Red Steel

Newt brought up a great point about the Ohio Valley Democrats. Many of those are Coal and blue collar workers. Those early Democrats votes will not be for Barack.


6 posted on 11/05/2012 7:30:00 PM PST by bleach (If I agreed with you, we would both be wrong.)
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To: Farmer Dean
I think Obamaphone is out of minutes!


7 posted on 11/05/2012 7:30:33 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Red Steel

I believe LS was saying on a thread earlier that 56,000 votes is about 1 percentage point.


8 posted on 11/05/2012 7:31:21 PM PST by rwh
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To: therightliveswithus

Booyah!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


9 posted on 11/05/2012 7:32:09 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: Red Steel

That means he’s already lost by 1000 BEFORE the GOP turnout machine hits.


10 posted on 11/05/2012 7:33:19 PM PST by LS
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To: mylife

Dang, warn a person before posting that pic!


11 posted on 11/05/2012 7:33:47 PM PST by The Cajun (Sarah Palin, Mark Levin......Nuff said.)
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To: rwh

OH turnout will be 6 million i believe so 1% is 60,000.


12 posted on 11/05/2012 7:36:46 PM PST by Ravi
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To: The Cajun

He gave us a phone!.... And I’m gonna post MORE!


13 posted on 11/05/2012 7:37:41 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Red Steel

Axelrude claimed on the Chris Wallace program that
although the margin will be smaller than ‘08 they still
will have enough votes to win.


14 posted on 11/05/2012 7:37:44 PM PST by Sivad (Nor Cal Red Turf)
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To: Red Steel

I have heard similar numbers before.

Do you happen to have a link to Gillispie’s comments from this evening? I would love to read them.

Or, was it a TV interview he gave?


15 posted on 11/05/2012 7:37:50 PM PST by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: rwh
I believe LS was saying on a thread earlier that 56,000 votes is about 1 percentage point.

Sounds right.

16 posted on 11/05/2012 7:38:21 PM PST by NeoCaveman ("If I had a son he'd look like B.O.'s lunch" - Rin Tin Tin)
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To: Sivad

He could be right, but I am skeptical.

At the very least, his comments suggest that Ohio is not the slam dunk most public polls and MSM pundits are claiming it is.

It is also worth remembering a bunch of Ohio polls showed John Kerry winning by around three points back in 2004 as well. The GOP turnout that year shocked the Dems, and I think we are poised to do it again.


17 posted on 11/05/2012 7:43:09 PM PST by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: Red Steel

Saw Ed, Rience, Marco and Newt tonight on Fox and they ALL seemed pumped!


18 posted on 11/05/2012 7:43:50 PM PST by Jane Long (Soli Deo Gloria!)
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To: bleach

In the WV primary, 41% of democrats voted for a felon over obama. This is right over the ohio border. Those early democrat votes are definitely not all for obama


19 posted on 11/05/2012 7:50:12 PM PST by IsaacDian
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To: Jane Long
visit gretawire.com and you can read all their comments there...
20 posted on 11/05/2012 7:52:56 PM PST by haircutter
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To: comebacknewt

Sure hope you are correct. (I know you are right)


21 posted on 11/05/2012 7:58:42 PM PST by Sivad (Nor Cal Red Turf)
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To: Farmer Dean

Maybe everybody in Cleveland can get Romney-job. If you able-bodied, you self respecting, you get moderate income... Put Romney in President, you know?!?


22 posted on 11/05/2012 8:08:19 PM PST by RPTMS
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To: comebacknewt

Gillespie said it on Hannity. Hannity’s Fox show gets replayed in 47 minutes.


23 posted on 11/05/2012 8:17:08 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: IsaacDian
Those early democrat votes are definitely not all for obama

Exacalacky! Especially in Ohio, a good proportion of the Democrat early votes are going to be for Romney.

But shhhh! Don't tell Chicago. Let them think they have all those early votes in the bag, hee, hee, hee.

24 posted on 11/05/2012 8:17:08 PM PST by EarlyBird (Romney Landslide)
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To: mylife

The Obama phone lady is exactly like Flip Wilson’s character Geraldine Jones.
Remember? “The devil made me buy this dress!”


25 posted on 11/05/2012 8:17:21 PM PST by Hound of the Baskervilles ("Nonsense in the intellect draws evil after it." C.S. Lewis)
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To: comebacknewt

Rove also said the same thing on BOR’s show.


26 posted on 11/05/2012 8:20:54 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: therightliveswithus

I think there is a good chance that Romney is already leading in Ohio. I agree that he has probably more cross over votes (net) and the positive differential in early independent voters may have put him in an excellent position for the vote on Tuesday.


27 posted on 11/05/2012 8:23:56 PM PST by Revolutionary ("Praise the Lord and Pass the Ammunition!")
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To: Red Steel

Thanks FRiend.

Good to hear they still believe those numbers to be accurate.


28 posted on 11/05/2012 8:24:34 PM PST by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: Hound of the Baskervilles
Da devil gave her that face!


29 posted on 11/05/2012 8:27:13 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: mylife

Thanks for the chuckle.


30 posted on 11/05/2012 8:42:47 PM PST by crusty old prospector
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To: Hound of the Baskervilles

No no it’s Nell Carter. I swear she looks identical. Sadly Nell Carter had more smarts in her right boob then Obama phone lady does in her whole body.


31 posted on 11/05/2012 8:46:04 PM PST by crazydad (-` sd)
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To: therightliveswithus

Thanks, this is what I have been searching for all evening and hoping to find. The way polling numbers go in Cuyahoga county, so goes Ohio. This is the first real slice of the best news of the evening. Great find.


32 posted on 11/05/2012 10:12:40 PM PST by Steelfish (ui)
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To: RPTMS

Work is anathama to these profesional welfare types.They’re going to have a world class chimpout after Romney wins.


33 posted on 11/06/2012 4:45:33 AM PST by Farmer Dean (stop worrying about what they want to do to you,start thinking about what you want to do to them)
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