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1 posted on 06/20/2011 9:11:23 AM PDT by drypowder
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To: drypowder

“The UC Davis study”

Says it all - I need to read no further.

Sometimes the smell of BS just reeks from the page!


2 posted on 06/20/2011 9:12:45 AM PDT by I cannot think of a name
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To: drypowder
Sounds like they started with a premise they wanted to prove and culled the data to prove it.

This is what Liberals mean when they use the word "science."

3 posted on 06/20/2011 9:13:09 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (If Sarah Palin really was unelectable, state-run media would be begging the GOP to nominate her.)
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To: drypowder
“It’s not surprising that risky behaviors go together,” said Garen J. Wintemute, author of the study and director of the UC Davis Violence Prevention Research Program.

But I bet they'd never draw a connection with gay behavior and AIDS.

4 posted on 06/20/2011 9:16:15 AM PDT by WOBBLY BOB ( "I don't want the majority if we don't stand for something"- Jim Demint)
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To: drypowder

This comes as a surprise to this teetotaler.........../s


5 posted on 06/20/2011 9:17:26 AM PDT by OB1kNOb (Financial Repression.......it answers a lot of questions.....read about it on FinancialSense.com.)
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To: drypowder

How much tax money was wasted on this preconceived conclusion?


6 posted on 06/20/2011 9:17:48 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving politicians more tax money is like giving addicts free drugs to cure their addiction)
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To: drypowder; All
! ! !

7 posted on 06/20/2011 9:18:04 AM PDT by Fiddlstix (Warning! This Is A Subliminal Tagline! Read it at your own risk!(Presented by TagLines R US))
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To: drypowder

http://www.biomedexperts.com/Abstract.bme/20724672/Gun_shows_and_gun_violence_fatally_flawed_study_yields_misleading_results


8 posted on 06/20/2011 9:18:39 AM PDT by tumblindice
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To: drypowder
The data are 15 years old, but no more recent data are available. Only eight states chose to ask questions about both firearms and alcohol. Despite these limitations, Wintemute said, the study’s results provide important evidence about gun ownership and the potential for gun use to be closely associated with the misuse and abuse of alcohol.

Let's not let the facts or lack of them get in the way of a narrative. This is the biggest bunch of BS ever. Last I saw, having half a White Wine spritzer an hour put you in the heavy drinking classification. Go screw you Commie Pinko academic.


9 posted on 06/20/2011 9:19:08 AM PDT by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: drypowder
“It’s not surprising that risky behaviors go together,”

Since when is owning a gun, or having a CCW license "risky behavior?"

10 posted on 06/20/2011 9:19:33 AM PDT by Yo-Yo (Is the /sarc tag really necessary?)
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To: drypowder

“The data are 15 years old, but no more recent data are available.”

The KEY to the truth of the story.


11 posted on 06/20/2011 9:19:49 AM PDT by UCANSEE2 (Lame and ill-informed post)
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To: drypowder

So what? I bet there is less HIV, homosexuality, illicit drug use, etc. & etc. Could go on all day. Less socialist dependency, and much, much more. Of course the “researchers” aren’t interested in these things...


13 posted on 06/20/2011 9:21:05 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: drypowder

Huge BS alert


16 posted on 06/20/2011 9:22:32 AM PDT by wastedyears (SEAL SIX makes me proud to have been playing SOCOM since 2003.)
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To: drypowder
It’s not surprising that risky behaviors go together,” said Garen J. Wintemute, author of the study and director of the UC Davis Violence Prevention Research Program

I'll take a guess that "Garen" got his butt kicked a lot as a kid.

Wonder how many of CA's tax dollars funded this nonsense? And continue to pay this clown's salary?

17 posted on 06/20/2011 9:22:48 AM PDT by wbill
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To: drypowder

15 years ago, how many States had legal concealed carry?

The “study” doesn’t differentiate between those who illegally concealed carry and those who do so legally.

Those who engage in criminal behavior are more likely to drink? Wow, who knew?


18 posted on 06/20/2011 9:23:32 AM PDT by allmendream (Tea Party did not send the GOP to D.C. to negotiate the terms of our surrender to socialism.)
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To: drypowder

I wonder if the “gun owners” were asked if they had ever been arrested for criminal behavior? ACTUAL criminal behavior, that is, not the exercise of the right to keep and bear arms....which UC Davis considers criminal. It might actually mean that criminals who have guns are more likely to drink. Or criminals who drink are more likely to engage in gun crimes. And naturally that would REEEEELY be shocking!!!


20 posted on 06/20/2011 9:24:05 AM PDT by Oldpuppymax
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To: drypowder

“It’s not surprising that risky behaviors go together,” said Garen J. Wintemute, author of the study and director of the UC Davis Violence Prevention Research Program.

What an idiotic statement - assuming that carry a concealed weapon is a “risky behavior”. I pull reserve duty in the NCR and NOT being able to carry my weapon is “risky behavior”.

Colonel, USAFR


21 posted on 06/20/2011 9:24:05 AM PDT by jagusafr ("We hold these truths to be self-evident...")
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To: drypowder
An Analysis Of The Arrest Rate Of
Texas Concealed Handgun License Holders
As Compared To The Arrest Rate Of
The Entire Texas Population
1996 - 1998, Revised to include 1999 and 2000 data

by William E. Sturdevant, PE,
August 24, 2001

The original study as posted in 2000.
|Chart| |Males| |Females| |Notes|

Arrest Rate Comparison Chart

On January 1, 1996, the Texas Concealed Handgun Law went into effect. This law states that the Texas Department of Public Safety (TXDPS) "shall issue" a concealed handgun license (CHL) to any Texas resident who meets the application requirements for character (background check) and training. This is an analysis of arrest data for Texas concealed handgun licensees that was performed on data from the subsequent years of 1996 - 2000. A comparison was made with the arrest data for the entire Texas population for the same time period, showing that, on average: male Texans who are over 21 years old and are not CHL holders are 7.7 times more likely to be arrested for commission of a violent crime than male Texans with a CHL; and female Texans who are over 21 years old and are not CHL holders are 7.5 times more likely to be arrested for commission of a violent crime than female Texans with a CHL. Of the violent crime cases that have been adjudicated, approximately 26% of CHL holders who were arrested were convicted, and 44% are cleared of the violent crimes for which they were arrested.

The chart below illustrates the arrest rate comparison for each of the years 1996 – 2000.

The purpose of this analysis is to attempt to quantify the negative effect, if any, of Texas Concealed Handgun License holders on crime and crime rates through a comparison of arrests rates with the Texas population as a whole. The scope of this analysis is the five-year period from the law's enactment in January of 1996, through December of 2000. For the proper perspective, the analysis of the DPS arrest data for CHL holders is juxtaposed against the arrest data for the state's entire population.

Unfortunately, this analysis cannot attempt to quantify the positive effect, if any, of the Texas Concealed Handgun Law, as there is no data available regarding the number of crimes prevented or the number of lives saved when a concealed handgun is used in self-defense.

With the information available, a juxtaposition of the arrest rates for Texas CHL holders and the general public is the best, though imperfect, method of determining any negative effect (an increase in violent crime) of the Texas Concealed Handgun Law on Texas society. If allowing normally law abiding and peaceful citizens to carry a weapon concealed on their person were to somehow convert them into violent predators, it would be expected that CHL holders would have a higher crime rate than unlicensed Texans. The comparison of arrest rates suggests just the opposite – Texans licensed to carry a gun are much less violent than Texans who are not.

Since the age/sex demographics of the CHL group is so significantly different from that of the total Texas population, (Notes 1, 2), the comparison of the two groups was made between males age 21 years, CHL v. non-CHL; and females age 21 years, CHL v. non-CHL.

Males:

Top of Page

The average male Texan who is 21 years or older is 7.7 times more likely to be arrested for the violent crimes of murder, rape, robbery, and assault than the average male CHL holder.

Looking at violent crimes individually, the average male Texan who is 21 years or older is 1.7 times (rate of 7.4 v. 4.3) more likely to be arrested for murder; 87 times (rate of 24 v. 0.3) more likely to be arrested for rape; 53 times (rate of 44 v. 0.8) more likely to be arrested for robbery; 3.4 times (rate of 202 v. 60) more likely to be arrested for aggravated assault; and 10 times (rate of 892 v. 87) more likely to be arrested for other assaults than the average male CHL holder.

No male Texas CHL holder was arrested for negligent manslaughter during the 1996 through 2000 period.

The average male Texan who is 21 years or older is 18 times more likely to be arrested for committing a non-violent crime than the average male CHL holder.

Females:

Top of Page

The average female Texan who is 21 years or older is 7.5 times more likely to be arrested for the violent crimes of murder and assault than the average female CHL holder.

Looking at violent crimes individually, the average female Texan who is 21 years or older is 2.0 times (rate of 1.2 v. 0.6) more likely to be arrested for murder; 2.5 times (rate of 48 v. 19) more likely to be arrested for aggravated assault; and 17 times (rate of 178 v. 11) more likely to be arrested for other assaults than the average female CHL holder.

No female Texas CHL holder has arrested for negligent manslaughter, rape, or robbery during the 1996 through 2000 period.

The average female Texan who is 21 years or older is 13 times more likely to be arrested for committing a non-violent crime than the average female CHL holder.

Notes:

Top of Page
  1. CHL holders are required by law to be at least 21 years old.
  2. CHL holders are approximately 80% male. Men have an arrest rate for violent crime that is approximately 5 times higher than that of women.

W. E. (Bill) Sturdevant, PE
Navasota, Texas
August 24, 2001 Download the original study, Sturdevant.pdf. This download requires Adobe Acrobat Reader, available free.

 

 

 

William E. Sturdevant, PE
Email him at mideng@txcyber.com.

Copyright © 1999, 2000, 2001,
William E. Sturdevant, PE.
Posted with permission.

Top of Page
Arrest Rates Comparison Chart
TCHA Home PageBack to Articles
© 2007; Texas Concealed Handgun Association. Contact TCHA.Page updated 10/12/2008
22 posted on 06/20/2011 9:24:42 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (If Sarah Palin really was unelectable, state-run media would be begging the GOP to nominate her.)
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To: drypowder

Of course we are supposed to believe these CRACK smokers!


23 posted on 06/20/2011 9:26:03 AM PDT by ICE-FLYER (God bless and keep the United States of America)
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To: drypowder
"Binge drinking, chronic heavy alcohol use, and drinking and driving were all more common among gun owners generally than among non-owners, even after adjusting for factors such as age, sex, race, and state of residence."

Snip-

"Only eight states chose to ask questions about both firearms and alcohol."

24 posted on 06/20/2011 9:26:13 AM PDT by NoLibZone (Impeach Obama for among other things , violating the War Powers Act.)
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To: drypowder
I cannot recall a single incident of a permit holder being arrested for ANY CRIME while carrying.

Any of you?

27 posted on 06/20/2011 9:29:44 AM PDT by ryan71 (Dear spell check - No, I will not capitalize the "m" in moslem!)
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