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Reason to worry?
ndn.org ^ | 09/22/10 | Simon Rosenberg

Posted on 09/22/2010 7:50:10 AM PDT by ctpsb

Both the Real Clear Politics Congressional Generic average and the new Gallup track show similar national trend lines - Dems gaining ground, GOP dropping. Similarly, the Gallup track has Obama's approval rating improving by 10 net percentage points in the past month, from 42/51 to 47/46 (RCP has shown movement despite 2 clear outlier Rasmussen and AP polls)....


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: electionpoll
Need to keep working hard for the midterms. This isn't done yet.
1 posted on 09/22/2010 7:50:11 AM PDT by ctpsb
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To: ctpsb

What’s pushing this?

Any ideas?


2 posted on 09/22/2010 7:51:42 AM PDT by PetroniusMaximus
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To: ctpsb
Sorry but the outliers here are not Rassmussen and AP but the two least credible polls in the business Ipso Reuter and Gallups laugh of a rollercoast poll.

But you are right, we should be working like we are 10 points behind not coasting

3 posted on 09/22/2010 7:52:13 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (The problem with Socialism is eventually you run out of other people's money. Lady Thatcher)
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To: ctpsb
Might also want to consider your souce. Posting from a Far Leftist activst group like this is virtually the same thing as posting a Democrat Party press release

Welcome, and thank you for taking time to learn more about NDN, a leading think tank and advocacy organization based in Washington, D.C. Led by veteran strategist and thought-leader Simon Rosenberg, NDN has a strong team with a proven track record. NDN's staff, fellows and national network of contributors produce papers and analyses that are often ahead of the curve on the most important issues of the day.

Just a block from the White House, NDN has a significant media presence, deep relationships with elected officials and is a major forum for events and cutting-edge thought-leaders. In recent years NDN has become a leader economic and globalization issues; clean technology and the creation of a low-carbon economy; demographic changes, including the study of the growing importance of Hispanics, the Millennial Generation and the exurbs; U.S.-Latin American relations and comprehensive immigration reform; and the advocacy and use of the latest new tools and media.

4 posted on 09/22/2010 7:54:22 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (The problem with Socialism is eventually you run out of other people's money. Lady Thatcher)
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To: PetroniusMaximus
What’s pushing this?

The Democrat propaganda machine. They are trying desperately to gin up their moribund base and the US Junk media that needs a new story line. The junk media needs to foster a horse race mentality about elections every 2 years to sell their product. If they stay with the GOP walking away with it story that isn't nearly as interesting a story for them

5 posted on 09/22/2010 7:57:52 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (The problem with Socialism is eventually you run out of other people's money. Lady Thatcher)
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To: ctpsb

Moderate Dems and left leaning independents have been saying they’ll vote Republican in November. When it comes time to actually go in the booth and vote R, they’ll have a difficult time doing it. Hopefully, many of those people will just stay home.

People are angry, the ruling class is out of control, but the Republicans have done nothing to inspire confidence.


6 posted on 09/22/2010 7:58:35 AM PDT by brownsfan (D - swift death of the republic, R - lingering death for the republic.)
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To: PetroniusMaximus
Its called astroturfing /spin coordinated by Axelrod to stop the GOP momentum by peddling this crap.

Tell a lie long enough and people believe it is the Dem party media scripture.

7 posted on 09/22/2010 7:59:09 AM PDT by ncalburt (e)
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To: ctpsb

Maybe it’s bs!

Maybe not!

Criticizing it is like saying that only msm (includes faux-noose) is the only one “the 0’folks” should pay attention to.

Semper beware!
Just Plain Dick
***** *****


8 posted on 09/22/2010 7:59:53 AM PDT by gunnyg (WE ARE BEHIND "ENEMY WITHIN" LINES, SURROUNDED, Our 'Novembers' Are Gone,,,So Few Can "grok" It.)
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To: PetroniusMaximus

Money and the fact that the closer you get to election time, the closer the races become. The Dems are just now getting out their election message, aided b y the MSM, and they have more money than the Reps.


9 posted on 09/22/2010 8:00:06 AM PDT by kabar
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To: ctpsb

Just propaganda, that’s all. More like push polls.


10 posted on 09/22/2010 8:02:08 AM PDT by Doulos1 (Bitter Clinger Forever)
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To: ctpsb

The only poll that I really pay attention to is Intrade because the dynamics are simple. Information has value like any other commodity. When people have money at risk, the BS factor is cut considerably. Today, the odds on Intrade moved up for O’Donnell (27%, +5), Angle(49.6%, +.7) and GOP house take over(73%, +.9). GOP senate take over odds are unchanged at 26%.


11 posted on 09/22/2010 8:16:41 AM PDT by Poison Pill
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To: kabar
It smells like Axlerod issued marching orders to the JOURNOLISTs at POLITICO , AP, CNN, CBS,,, to peddle the MOMENTUM has shifted BIG LIE.

Little leftist Ben Smith an outed JOURNOLIST is peddling the exact same story at Leftico . How sadly obvious!!!!!

ALL the Obama media front groups are peddling the same MOMETM LIE on the same day !

Its no accident , its a counter attack by the radical left media !

12 posted on 09/22/2010 8:28:51 AM PDT by ncalburt (e)
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To: ctpsb
I live in very liberal Illinois & I can tell you, I'm seeing Republican campaign signs all over the place & in yards that used to be democratic. My neighbors who always voted Dem, have Republican signs in their yards & they are fed up with Zero!

The tide is turning, even in this very liberal, corrupt state, people are out of work here, they are fed up, they are not happy with the Hopey/Changey thing that Zero fed them!

We're fighting to unseat Debbie Halvorson, with our great candidate Adam Kinzinger & he's ahead in the polls. D. Halvorson is a mini Zero.

13 posted on 09/22/2010 8:31:00 AM PDT by blondee123 (Illinois ELECT Adam Kinzinger - http://www.electadam.com/( rid US of marxism!))
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To: PetroniusMaximus

Some sort of criminal activity would be my guess.


14 posted on 09/22/2010 8:33:28 AM PDT by Josephat
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To: ctpsb

When i was a kid in math class, the teacher told us to look at the problem we had just solved to see if it basically made sense. If we had 4x24=3980 she says you don’t need to know the right answer is 96 to realize that 3980 is a huge mistake of some kind.

Same here,,, look at the whole problem. Has Obama done ANYTHING that would explain a 10 point bounce in his approval rating in ONE MONTH? Of course it’s a fraud.


15 posted on 09/22/2010 8:42:52 AM PDT by DesertRhino (I was standing with a rifle, waiting for soviet paratroopers, but communists just ran for office)
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To: ctpsb

Come on man. Gallup is all over the place just to get this result. Look at the individual races and you see the R candidates still gaining or pulling away further from the D. Except for O’Donnell, which is too early to make a judgment, the trend is strong.


16 posted on 09/22/2010 9:16:26 AM PDT by Lazlo in PA (n't)
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To: Lazlo in PA

In response to all (not just Lazlo) on this board I’m as psyched about how well things seem to be headed as everyone else here. I know NDN is hyper-left but it is important to not get caught in the echo-chamber like the left does and just keep listening to those polls we agree with (which I know most show Republican momentum) and know all angles that are out there if for no other reason this might be a false but effective jump starter for the left. The overall numbers look great but if you look at many of the individual races the numbers are still very close if not outright Dem leads: (Bobby Bright (D) ahead of Martha Roby (R) Alabama CD 02; Andy Barr (R) Kentucky CD 06 down to Ben Chandler (D), etc, etc.)
Those from Ann Coulter to Fred Barnes and others have cautioned not to get too ebullient too soon.

I should’ve posted with a note to just keep working hard and not think it’s in the bag. Have every conservative you know get to the polls because things could tighten. Conservatives are notorious for agreeing with the issues but just not getting to the polls by Election Day (though I concede that’s probably not a problem this year). Enthusiasm gap or not the union thugs will force march their posse to the polls, registered Dems may complain but lose their nerve and come home to the party as Election Day approaches, etc. not to mention the “October Surprise” that the media has in their vault right now leading to a tightening in the numbers.

The point was that there are a lot of factors swirling around out there and to just not think this is in the bag.


17 posted on 09/22/2010 12:40:19 PM PDT by ctpsb (Thanks.)
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