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To: chris37

He (Rush) gave an update:

2.2 million original death projection in USA
100,000 - 200,000 1st revision
100,000 - 240,000 2nd revision
60,000 current prediction

Actual deaths: 14,831 is what is being billed as the apocalyptic week.


14 posted on 04/09/2020 10:15:24 AM PDT by CodeJockey (Dum Spiro, Pugno)
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To: CodeJockey

People were complaining on Twitter when I said the death toll would be around 27,000. I may be more right than people think at the rate things are going.


16 posted on 04/09/2020 10:21:26 AM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's Economic Cure)
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To: CodeJockey

That’s pretty good if you’re not in the 14,831.

I’m not really sure what Rush wants me to do about the discrepancy between the models and reality, because reality is the virus is very dangerous to me if I contract it.


18 posted on 04/09/2020 10:25:30 AM PDT by chris37 (Coronavirus wasn't born in a bowl of bat soup.)
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To: CodeJockey

Rush is spinning. Typical FluBro stat manipulation. Very sad.

That 2.2 million is the unmitigated maximum, and is arguably too low for a “let ‘er rip” approach. 60,000 is the low-end for the current mitigation effort. At this point, given the cabin fever even here among the people that understand the danger of this virus, that is very optimistic. Even with the undercounting going on in NYC and some other places.

But millions would have to die to satisfy some people.


54 posted on 04/09/2020 11:15:54 AM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant. Join the war effort. On the human side.)
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To: CodeJockey

“He (Rush) gave an update:
2.2 million original death projection in USA
100,000 - 200,000 1st revision
100,000 - 240,000 2nd revision
60,000 current prediction”

I am surprise Rush stated that. I wonder where Rush got his info. Apparently Rush is not watching the White House briefings.

Maybe I misunderstood the White House briefing. The 2.2 million original death projection in USA was if Social Distancing measures was not taken.

If the US practice Social Distancing it would be between 100,00 and 240,000.

President Trump explain why he was taking Social Distancing seriously with the 2M verses 100K to 240K death.

Did I hear the White House briefing correctly?

I know they now predicting the 60000 by Aug because they did not expect all of America to take them seriously.


127 posted on 04/09/2020 12:36:57 PM PDT by DEPcom (Social Distancing is working)
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To: CodeJockey

That’s good news, right?


146 posted on 04/09/2020 1:17:35 PM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: CodeJockey

The 14K deaths is TOTAL...not just this week.


259 posted on 04/09/2020 4:03:16 PM PDT by hal ogen (First Amendment or Reeducation Camp???)
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