I think the growing pattern of Illinois and California ‘awakens’ people to property taxes, stupid spending habits, and an approaching bankruptcy status. You can find various people who were true-blue believers back in the 2000-to-2010 era, and now realize the impact of liberal leadership. I think if you tested a hundred folks who left either of the affected states, and admitted they voted Democrat back in 2008 timeframe, at least half of them will admit that they now see some serious decline which all leads back to growing taxation, which occurs because of Democrats in control of California/Illinois legislatures.
At some point last summer, I watched a YouTube ten-minute conversation by some former San Francisco resident. She had grown up there in the 1960s, and done well in that era as a Republican-voting resident. But she admitted since the early 90s....there’s no effective GOP individuals in the city government and property taxes were going to kill her as she went into retirement. So she sold the house and moved to Florida (mostly for the weather). She wasn’t looking back, and she’d actually talked to others who were approaching retirement...considering the same tactic. The property tax thing staying in the Bay area impossible. I see the same thing likely to occur in Illinois.
Many Northerners are pouring into North Caroliaa and TN and taking their pensions with them...retired city workers..FDNY, ..NYPD...other city workers. Why have your pension taxed 10% or more? ...NY! CT, ..NJ...It’s Foolish!
California will lose 2 district seats in 2020. I guarantee it will be two red seats which will result in only 5 house seats left in California. Amazing that the state went for Reagan.