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I just don't understand. When Trump is supposed to have had the best week of his campaign his numbers go down from just two days ago while Hillary's go up after her worst two weeks.

I know it's a rolling average poll but Trump has had two good weeks and Hillary two bad weeks so why would the numbers change almost randomly the past two days?

I know we say it's rigged but this poll has generally been it seems at worst neutral if not a bit friendly to Trump.

1 posted on 09/02/2016 7:11:29 AM PDT by ctpsb
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To: ctpsb

Is this the LA times daybreak poll?


2 posted on 09/02/2016 7:12:27 AM PDT by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: ctpsb

My personal poll that I resolutely rely on is what I’m going to do the morning of November 8, 2016. That is all I need - all we’ll need. We are legion and we will roll over them like a 1000 foot tsunami.


3 posted on 09/02/2016 7:13:33 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: ctpsb

“I just don’t understand.”

Uh, how about stop looking at polls?

It’s actually pretty comical everyday watching you guys peg your mood to this stupid thing, and then write fan-fiction to explain the results.


4 posted on 09/02/2016 7:15:06 AM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: ctpsb

I thought it would be up today too? All of these polls seem nonsensical. I’m beginning to think none of them are accurate. (some we know are downright purposefully manipulated)


5 posted on 09/02/2016 7:15:14 AM PDT by YummiBox (tagline intentionally left blank.)
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To: ctpsb

it is ####ING ODD, ISN’T IT?


6 posted on 09/02/2016 7:16:59 AM PDT by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: ctpsb

It shows race as a tossup. That seems about right though other polls read a 1-5 point Clinton lead. Trump needs about a 2 point national lead to win. He needs to persuade disgruntled Republican voters, especially women, to vote for him as well as improve the recent low numbers of past losing Republican candidates among Blacks. Pray without ceasing God all show us mercy and grant Trump/Pence the grace and humility to be our next President/Vice President and lead us with wisdom, understanding, and knowledge.


8 posted on 09/02/2016 7:18:47 AM PDT by af_vet_1981 (The bus came by and I got on, That's when it all began.)
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To: ctpsb

Tracking polls tilt back and forth, he is still ahead.


10 posted on 09/02/2016 7:19:42 AM PDT by heights
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To: ctpsb

I think that poll has been fishy from the start. I prefer Real Clear Politics composite [which has been opposite to your poll from day one].


11 posted on 09/02/2016 7:19:51 AM PDT by BunnySlippers (I Love Bull Markets!!!)
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To: ctpsb

Umm, you do realize how utterly painful it is for any MSM poll to admit that Trump is close? Imagine them having to admit he is leading?!? I look at the polls from that perspective at this point.

Also, never forget that we battling “free stuff nation” and all its minions. They will vote for Santa no matter what.


12 posted on 09/02/2016 7:20:52 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: ctpsb
I know it's a rolling average poll but Trump has had two good weeks and Hillary two bad weeks so why would the numbers change almost randomly the past two days?

I too wonder about that. Here are some possibilities:

1. As the number of people in the full group expands there is always the danger that the larger mix will be slightly more favorable to one candidate or the other. And it is the one place where the pollsters bias can show up. (If there is one.)

2. Yes Trump has had a big week or two and he up. But don't discount the impact of Hillary TV advertising. I suspect that the Hillary $TV is much greater than the Trump $TV (but I don't really know.)

3. And, most likely we are just seeing the noise level of this poll in action. Basically tied with plus/minus 2% noise.

13 posted on 09/02/2016 7:21:00 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Ted, you should have endorsed. Big mistake.)
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To: ctpsb

“Polls” spelled backwards is “sllop”.

Why trust them when they are manipulated to get the desired results?

NOTHING in the eneMedia is friendly to Trump, nothing.


19 posted on 09/02/2016 7:26:38 AM PDT by COUNTrecount
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To: ctpsb

This is the usual Democrat media’s “horse race,” to keep the voters interested. They will have the race tied the day before the election. It means nothing. Get your family and friends registered and take them to the polls to vote for Trump.


21 posted on 09/02/2016 7:27:41 AM PDT by txrefugee
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To: ctpsb

You should have wondered two weeks ago, when the African American support jumped from 4 to 14%, stayed there for one week (the length of time each sample stays in the pool), then dropped to 4% again.


22 posted on 09/02/2016 7:27:51 AM PDT by Cboldt
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To: ctpsb
Polls are a farce.
We learned that DAY ONE in the two statistics class I was FORCED to take.
23 posted on 09/02/2016 7:28:07 AM PDT by cloudmountain (,)
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To: ctpsb

You don’the still believe the media, do you?


25 posted on 09/02/2016 7:29:05 AM PDT by exnavy (John 3:16)
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To: ctpsb

Go to the website and read who and how the poll is conducted.


26 posted on 09/02/2016 7:30:42 AM PDT by monocle
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To: ctpsb

Worrying about polls, bogus polls, really?


28 posted on 09/02/2016 7:34:51 AM PDT by CodeToad (Islam should be banned and treated as a criminal enterprise!)
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To: ctpsb

Americans seem to have forgotten that Hillary Clinton was fired from her job as Secretary of State.

She was canned and now she wants to be our President?

No way.


29 posted on 09/02/2016 7:40:30 AM PDT by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer")
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To: ctpsb

Statistically, everything within the margin of error is the same numbers. The changes being reflected are too small to be statistically significant.


33 posted on 09/02/2016 7:55:52 AM PDT by Raycpa
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To: ctpsb
I think this polls uses a rolling 7 day average. So the new results published each day don't only reflect the new surveys, but also the ones that rolled off, so if the new day's polling was good, but the day that rolled off was better, the new overall results could still be worse.

Looking at polls say by day is a waste of time.

I put together an average of the 4 national tracking polls to smooth out the blips, and also another chart showing the overall trend of all the polls. If you're going to look at polls, look at the trends, not the actual numbers.

Take a look at it here
34 posted on 09/02/2016 7:57:44 AM PDT by pb929
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