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Trump’s Best Path to Victory
Wall Street Journal via Yahoo link ^ | 18 Jul, 2016 | JOHN BRABENDER

Posted on 07/20/2016 12:04:15 PM PDT by MtnClimber

Two-hundred and seventy. That’s the number of Electoral College votes one needs to become the most powerful person on earth. And according to most of the so-called experts, it won’t be Donald Trump. While I agree that he is the underdog, a Trump victory is not impossible. Here’s how it could happen.

If this were a typical presidential election, the logical first step would be to pick the most likely combination of states to put the Trump campaign over the 270 threshold. Then you would spend all of your time, energy and resources targeting the battleground states. It has worked this way for decades. Pundits, academics and TV analysts are busy re-creating this process using predictive modeling and campaign-honed wisdom.

The reality, though, is that this election is unlike any other in recent history—and Mr. Trump is not your quintessential Republican nominee. If he followed the traditions, norms and standard practices of the past, he undoubtedly would lose.

But there is a path to 270. For Mr. Trump to win, he needs to incite a national movement and a significant shift in voting behavior. Think of the 1970s movie “Network,” with people shouting out their windows: “I’m mad as hell and I’m not going to take it anymore.” This time, instead of shouting they are voting for Mr. Trump.

(Excerpt) Read more at google.com ...


TOPICS: Society
KEYWORDS: 2016rncconvention; electoralcollege; trump; trump2016; trumpelectoralmap; trumpelectoralvotes

1 posted on 07/20/2016 12:04:15 PM PDT by MtnClimber
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To: MtnClimber

The Yahoo link will take you to the article without having a WSJ subscription.


2 posted on 07/20/2016 12:05:11 PM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of Colorado scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: MtnClimber
Mr. Trump also knows that “acting presidential” is equivalent to no longer being authentic and believable to his supporters. You’re never going to create an anti-Washington wave of the magnitude he needs if you sound too much like a focus-group-tested, teleprompter-guided candidate.

While I agree this is true, he needs to clarify the difference between his thoughts and his actions.

We are excited because we know that he is more results oriented than process oriented, which was the opposite of the GOPe.

I believe his ideas have broad appeal, but I think he needs to understand that many voters have been brain-washed by the Democrats, the media, and those idiotic NeverTrumpers. Making provocative remarks, off-the-cuff is scary to some of those voters.

3 posted on 07/20/2016 12:11:32 PM PDT by Repealthe17thAmendment
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To: MtnClimber

Thanks for posting this.


4 posted on 07/20/2016 12:11:57 PM PDT by laplata ( Liberals/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: MtnClimber

It seems like every for years the GOP concede New York and California to the DEMS. That’s a lot of electoral votes. If Trump can make a contest out of New York he might have a shot.


5 posted on 07/20/2016 12:14:13 PM PDT by Huskrrrr
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To: Repealthe17thAmendment

Making provocative remarks, off-the-cuff is scary to some of those voters.


True enough. And their ignorance and failure to grasp the situation is extremely scary. They can’s see beyond their noses.


6 posted on 07/20/2016 12:15:02 PM PDT by laplata ( Liberals/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: MtnClimber

I’m surprised somebody at the no-borders WSJ is finally getting a clue.


7 posted on 07/20/2016 12:15:51 PM PDT by LouieFisk
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To: MtnClimber

Basically, the author said Trump needed to win Florida. So start with that:

Romney’s 206. PLUS
FL. 29
OH 18
IA. 6

That’s 259.

NOW talk about PA 20, or WI 10, or MI 16.

I think he’ll win by more than anyone expects.


8 posted on 07/20/2016 12:18:43 PM PDT by Eccl 10:2 (Prov 3:5 --- "Trust in the Lord with all your heart and lean not on your own understanding")
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To: Eccl 10:2

“I think he’ll win by more than anyone expects.”
==
Yup, but I want the Dems to keep thinking it’s in the bag for Clinton for as long as possible.


9 posted on 07/20/2016 12:23:12 PM PDT by LouieFisk
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To: MtnClimber

“They” have been saying he’ll lose since day one. It’s obvious he’s on the right path.


10 posted on 07/20/2016 12:23:17 PM PDT by bgill (From the CDC site, "We don't know how people are infected with Ebola")
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To: Huskrrrr
if Trump can make a contest out of New York he might have a shot.

If Trump makes a contest out of New York, he wins in a landslide.

11 posted on 07/20/2016 12:32:49 PM PDT by eekitsagreek
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To: MtnClimber
And according to most of the so-called experts, it won’t be Donald Trump.

The same morons who said he would never get to 1237 ... that it was going to be a brokered convention ...

What was the total count from last nights vote?

12 posted on 07/20/2016 12:47:51 PM PDT by dartuser
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To: MtnClimber

13 posted on 07/20/2016 12:52:25 PM PDT by AFreeBird (BEST. ELECTION. EVER!)
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To: AFreeBird

Gosh, that came out little bigger than I thought.

Sorry.


14 posted on 07/20/2016 12:53:16 PM PDT by AFreeBird (BEST. ELECTION. EVER!)
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To: AFreeBird

The Rust belt is the key. If Trump can pick off one of PA, MI, or WI, it is very difficult for Hillary to get to 270.


15 posted on 07/20/2016 2:01:33 PM PDT by mrs9x
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To: eekitsagreek

I give Trump almost zero chance of winning New York, but if she has to spend a bunch of money in NY fighting off the possibility, she is toast.

Making an apparent contest out of a few “Democrat” states will bankrupt Hillary and she will become even more screechy and unlikable that she already is. She is not the “comeback kid”.


16 posted on 07/20/2016 2:37:34 PM PDT by UNGN (I've been here since '98 but had nothing to say until now)
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