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Republicans have a massive electoral map problem that has nothing to do with Donald Trump
Washington (com)Post ^ | 5-2-16 | Chris Cillizza

Posted on 05/02/2016 11:49:24 PM PDT by Angels27

Politico reported today on a Florida poll conducted for a business group in the state that shows Hillary Clinton beating Donald Trump by 13 points and Ted Cruz by nine.

Why is that important? Because if Clinton wins Florida and carries the 19 states (plus D.C.) that have voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in each of the last six elections, she will be the 45th president. It's that simple.

Politico reported today on a Florida poll conducted for a business group in the state that shows Hillary Clinton beating Donald Trump by 13 points and Ted Cruz by nine.

Why is that important? Because if Clinton wins Florida and carries the 19 states (plus D.C.) that have voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in each of the last six elections, she will be the 45th president. It's that simple.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Cheese, Moose, Sister
KEYWORDS: 2016election; bencarson; chriscillizza; chrisconcerntroll; concerntroll; districtofcolumbia; election2016; florida; hillary; jebbush; marcorubio; ntsa; trump; washingtoncompost; washingtonpost
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To: Cowboy Bob

“Never believe anything the Washington Post tells you, or Politico.”
I had a former friend who quoted things from Politico and assumed everyone agreed to the accuracy because of his source. I could never get it through his thick head that his source was liberal propaganda. Best not to argue with pigs or idiots.


21 posted on 05/03/2016 12:46:30 AM PDT by 9422WMR ("Ignorance can be cured by education, but stupidity is forever.")
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To: Utmost Certainty

You must be natural-born Canadian Fidelito Cruz or Mark Levin or Glenn Beck?


22 posted on 05/03/2016 12:47:16 AM PDT by hamboy
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To: Vince Ferrer

it has the making for low turnout for Clinton

not for Trump

This is a Reagan-Mondale matchup. Clinton will be playing 100% defense the entire time, desperately trying to hold onto core states.


23 posted on 05/03/2016 12:51:59 AM PDT by thoughtomator
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To: Angels27

Yeah, whatever. This country has devolved to the point where we don’t even know what bathroom to use without being called bigoted. Enough people will crawl through broken glass to vote for whoever steers us away from this far left liberal looniness that the obama age has ushered in..


24 posted on 05/03/2016 1:13:20 AM PDT by cardinal4 (Certified Islamophobe)
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To: Angels27
This won't be a right vs. left or pubbie vs. dimocrat election cycle.

I have no idea what will happen but my bet is that most of the polls will be way off, even those done the day before the election.

25 posted on 05/03/2016 1:17:37 AM PDT by who_would_fardels_bear
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To: rrrod

The democrat machine is working away to make sure that every democrat state will have huge turnout and only for them. It is impossible for a democrat to lose given the cheating democrat machine. One example is the phantom precincts in the Iowa primary that popped up, sent in their vote tallys and were unidentified before during or after the primary. The vote counters in iowa were friends of hillary and the vote tally was never released. Only that she won. The fix is in. Get your fallout shelter now.


26 posted on 05/03/2016 1:20:50 AM PDT by x_plus_one (Lose with Cruz.)
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To: Angels27
It's important to understand that Mitt Romney was the first presidential candidate in American history to win 59% of the white vote - and lose the election!

In a low turn out election, Trump will have to get at least 62% of the white vote to beat Clinton.

To put that in perspective, Reagan holds the all time American record with 66% of the white vote in his 1984 landslide reelection victory

If non-white voters turn out for Clinton in 2016 at the same rate they turned out for Obama in 2012, Trump will need close to 65% of the white vote to beat her.

27 posted on 05/03/2016 1:36:55 AM PDT by zeestephen
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To: Angels27

Democrats don’t start with 48 percent unless they are running against Jeb or Mitt or the like.


28 posted on 05/03/2016 1:49:37 AM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: zeestephen

> If non-white voters turn out for Clinton in 2016 at the same rate they turned out for Obama in 2012

Primary numbers say there’s not a prayer in hell of that happening.


29 posted on 05/03/2016 1:56:41 AM PDT by thoughtomator
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To: Angels27

You assume that people are not persuadable. Events show that’s not true. What people say they will do six months from now, and what they will actually do are two different things. I think Trump can improve his negatives, and he has shown that in the polls recently. Hillary can’t. People know her too well. The pundits like to talk about Trump’s low favorability with women. Today’s Rassmussen poll show he only gets 38% as of now. They don’t mention Hillary is even worse with men (35%). Trump has plenty of time to bring his image up and drive Hillary’s down.


30 posted on 05/03/2016 2:20:57 AM PDT by Hugin (Conservatism without Nationalism is a fraud.)
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To: Cowboy Bob
I would like to see Trump put an end to birthright citizneship, and also get rid of the "diversity Greencard lottery."

How would Trump do that? Executive order?

31 posted on 05/03/2016 2:41:31 AM PDT by raybbr (That progressive bumpers sticker on your car might just as well say, "Yes, I'm THAT stupid!")
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To: Angels27
I believe that this time, it's possible for Trump to get at least 25% of the black vote.

Blacks don't like Hillary.

And they're not as stupid as the Democrats think they are.

Blacks have the most to lose from the massive influx of Hispanics. That's a fact the Republicans can use to their advantage if they can figure out how to do it.

32 posted on 05/03/2016 2:59:09 AM PDT by FroggyTheGremlim (Make America Great Again!)
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To: Vince Ferrer

“The difference between the democrats and republicans this year is that for the republicans, the one who is generating the energy and bringing people in is going to be the nominee. On the democrat side, the one who is generating the energy and getting participation is going to lose the nomination. “

Excellent point.


33 posted on 05/03/2016 3:09:40 AM PDT by pieceofthepuzzle
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To: Angels27

The Donald wins nearly EVERYTHING east of the Mississippi.
NY, NJ, PA, CT and FL all easy wins for The Donald.
OH, IL, MI all fall in line. They are first & foremost UNION states like NY, NOT big D Democrat states. Members want DT; Bosses want Her Thighness.
CA is competitive, a possible for a middle ground Trump.

20%+ black vote.
BIG numbers of LEGAL hispanics.
Tons of Bernie millenials.

If he can hold Texas against a blue tide, the EC count will get YUUUUUUUGEE.

My prediction: 45+ states.


34 posted on 05/03/2016 3:34:46 AM PDT by Macoozie ("Estoy votando por Ted 2016!" bumper stickers available)
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To: Angels27
Since we know the Washington Post wants Hillary to win, I assume we can look forward to their endorsement of Trump as the Republican nominee based on this "analysis"?

Didn't think so. This is exactly the sort of agitprop we've come to expect from our "news" organizations.

35 posted on 05/03/2016 3:43:56 AM PDT by AustinBill (consequence is what makes our choices real)
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To: Angels27

Not seeing this in Florida.
Trump is very popular here
And Hillary is... Well, she’s still a Clinton


36 posted on 05/03/2016 3:54:00 AM PDT by bill1952 (taxes don't hurt the rich, they keep YOU from becoming rich.)
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To: Utmost Certainty; Angels27

Not to mention shrillary is a felon, due to the massive security breach from the unsecured home-based server.

Highly classified information, the disclosure and mishandling of which constitutes “exceptionally grave damage” to the security of the US.

There’s an active investigation going on, and it’s awfully close to starting a criminal prosecution against her

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3426552/posts


37 posted on 05/03/2016 3:56:15 AM PDT by WildHighlander57 ((WildHighlander57, returning after lurking since 2000)
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To: Angels27

Previous polls had Trump beating Cankles in FL, down just 2 in VA. Clever of them to find this poll.


38 posted on 05/03/2016 3:58:17 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: 4rcane
-- Republicans allowed Democrats to import millions of voters to overwhelm native voters --

They didn't just allow it, they participated, joined, encouraged, advocated, etc. just as much as the DEMs did. See GWB "Comprehensive immigration bill" for example, and half-baked immigration enforcement going back decades.

39 posted on 05/03/2016 3:59:38 AM PDT by Cboldt
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To: 80skid

What’s the Star Wars connection?


40 posted on 05/03/2016 4:03:57 AM PDT by WildHighlander57 ((WildHighlander57, returning after lurking since 2000)
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