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Get Ready for The Next Wave of Tech Disruptions
33rd Square ^ | 12/17/2014

Posted on 12/19/2014 10:36:08 AM PST by SeekAndFind

According to technology expert Vivek Wadhwa, "One of the things that has begun to worry me is the fact that I'm seeing change happening at a scale which is unimaginable before and that it's impacting industry after industry after industry."

"Every industry I've looked at I've seen a trend of major disruption happening," says Wadhwa in a new piece for Big Think.

Wadhwa is a fellow at Rock Center for Corporate Governance at Stanford University, director of research at Center for Entrepreneurship and Research Commercialization at Duke, and Distinguished Fellow at Singularity University.

 Wadhwa tells how manufacturing will be dramatically changed due to robotics and 3D printing. "As of this year, it is cheaper to manufacture in the United States than it is in China, he says.

Rethink Robotics' Baxter

Robots, like Rethink Robotics' Baxter have become very sophisticated with a cost of operation is less than the cost of human labor. "Give it five years and these robots will become ever more sophisticated. They'll be doing many, many more jobs, which means that the manufacturing industry is going to be disrupted in a very big way," says Wadhwa.

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By the end of the decade you're going to see major upheaval in manufacturing, opportunities and problems. Wadhwa also goes on to say that the robotics revolution will be as short-lived as it is disruptive. Within 15 to 20 years we'll be able to 3D print electronics, he states. "Move into the next decade, these robots will probably go on strike because we won't need them anymore."

Wadhwa also talks about the impact of technology on the financial services industry, from Bitcoin to crowd funding. "We may not need the banks anymore. We may not need financial institutions the way we do right now," he says.

One of the biggest changes will be in the field of healthcare.  He talks of how Apple is focused on health and medicine. "They want all of this data being uploaded to the Apple platform. Do you think Google will be left behind? Do you think Microsoft will be left behind? Do you think Samsung will be left behind?" asks Wadhwa.

In healthcare the impacts will be truly profound, especially with near zero-cost genomic data. "We will have AI based physicians that can advise us when we're about to get sick, that can advise us on what we need to do to get healthy."

Vivek Wadhwa

"We're going to now upend the entire healthcare system the way we know it all in the next five to ten years. People don't seem to understand this."




"The cost of human genome sequencing has dropped to $1000 over the last 15 years. At the rate at which we're going, the cost of sequencing will be practically zero, which means that we'll all have genomes done. Combine that with the medical sensor data, combine that with the data that we have in the cloud and you've got a healthcare revolution," says Wadhwa.

"We're going to now upend the entire healthcare system the way we know it all in the next five to ten years. People don't seem to understand this."

In energy other huge changes are already underway.  From the US adoption of fracking technolgy, to the rise of solar power. "Solar has dropped about 97.2 percent over the past 35 years in price. At the rate at which solar is advancing, by the end of this decade we achieve grid parity in the United States," claims Wadhwa. Grid parity means it's cheaper to produce energy at home on your solar cells then buy it from the grid.

"Move forward another ten years. It costs you 100th as much to produce your own energy then to buy it from the grid, which means that we have these grid companies now in serious trouble. This is why you have the utilities fighting solar."

The author of the new book, Innovating Women: The Changing Face of Technology, continues: "It's going to eclipse the fossil fuel industry. And solar is one of maybe a hundred technologies that are advancing, which will change energy industry."

"I can go on and on and on but every industry I look at I see a major disruption happening. So the world ten to 15 to 20 years from now is going to be completely different. We're going to be disrupting industry after industry after industry...This is the future we’re headed into, for better or for worse."



TOPICS: Business/Economy; Computers/Internet; Science; Society
KEYWORDS: disruptsion; technology

1 posted on 12/19/2014 10:36:08 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

2 posted on 12/19/2014 10:40:25 AM PST by DannyTN
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To: SeekAndFind

well, most of the high tech equipment is manufactured in Communist China and other foreign lands

and most of the designers and programers of that equipment are either IN Communist China or India or other foreign lands, or they are from China or India, etc.... taking jobs in SillyCon Valley and other “American” high tech factories ... imported, largely, by the executive management of said firms so that they don’t have to hire USA citizens...(see, for example, the following article from today’s news cycle...but this problem has existed for many years, its only gotten more and more pronounced in the last four or five years but this problem dates back a long time as the “American” companies have liked the “better work ethic” of the “more productive” foreigners...)

http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/395057/report-all-net-jobs-growth-2007-has-gone-immigrants-ryan-lovelace

So, with much of the equipment made overseas and then most of it designed and coded by foreign workers (both overseas and working in USA jobs)... “what’s to worry??”

/s


3 posted on 12/19/2014 10:46:41 AM PST by faithhopecharity ((Brilliant, Profound Tag Line Goes Here, just as soon as I can think of one..))
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To: SeekAndFind
In the year 2525, if man is still alive -----
4 posted on 12/19/2014 10:50:33 AM PST by buckalfa (Long time caller --- first time listener.)
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To: SeekAndFind
I asked my son when he was about ten years old "what will people do for money when robots do all the work."

He said that the government would control all the robots and production and just send everyone a check to buy what they need.

Didn't I recently read that half of Americans are on government relief now?

5 posted on 12/19/2014 10:51:29 AM PST by blam (Jeff Sessions For President)
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To: buckalfa

In the year 2525, if man is still alive
If woman can survive, they may find
In the year 3535

Ain’t gonna need to tell the truth, tell no lie
Everything you think, do and say
Is in the pill you took today

In the year 4545
You ain’t gonna need your teeth, won’t need your eyes
You won’t find a thing to chew
Nobody’s gonna look at you

In the year 5555
Your arms hangin’ limp at your sides
Your legs got nothin’ to do
Some machine’s doin’ that for you

In the year 6565
Ain’t gonna need no husband, won’t need no wife
You’ll pick your son, pick your daughter too
From the bottom of a long glass tube

In the year 7510
If God’s a-coming, He oughta make it by then
Maybe He’ll look around Himself and say
“Guess it’s time for the Judgement Day”

In the year 8510
God is gonna shake His mighty head
He’ll either say, “I’m pleased where man has been”
Or tear it down, and start again

In the year 9595
I’m kinda wonderin’ if man is gonna be alive
He’s taken everything this old earth can give
And he ain’t put back nothing

Now it’s been ten thousand years, man has cried a billion tears
For what, he never knew, now man’s reign is through
But through eternal night, the twinkling of starlight
So very far away, maybe it’s only yesterday


6 posted on 12/19/2014 10:54:59 AM PST by SeekAndFind (If at first you don't succeed, put it out for beta test.)
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To: faithhopecharity

2013 marked the first year that there was no net outflow of manufacturing jobs.

The trend currently in the USA is re-shoring. Something like 50% of US companies in China are at various stages of re-shoring their operations to the USA.

The long communications and supply chains are too expensive.


7 posted on 12/19/2014 10:57:55 AM PST by ckilmer (q)
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To: SeekAndFind

This all sounds pretty good. I don’t knowmwhy Wadhwa would be worries.

Disruptive technology, despite it’s name, is usually a huge positive.

This, especially, would be a tremendous benefit: “”As of this year, it is cheaper to manufacture in the United States than it is in China, he says.”

Yet, this article is a bot all over the place. And anything associating itself with “The Singularity” is a bit suspect in my mind.


8 posted on 12/19/2014 10:59:03 AM PST by ifinnegan
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To: ckilmer

that may exist in some companies but in SillyCon Valley there are thousands of firms making high tech gear and coding it, or both.
And some of the most prominent, largest companies are reportedly continuing their long-standing practices of importing foreign workers in large numbers.

And many (indeed, an article from just a couple years back reported that MOST) of the new startup firms in the high tech SillyCon Valley area are started by foreigners.

Gotta give credit to the Chinese engineers, Indian programmers, and similar foreign workers. They have built a very positive reputation for their peoples.


9 posted on 12/19/2014 11:02:48 AM PST by faithhopecharity ((Brilliant, Profound Tag Line Goes Here, just as soon as I can think of one..))
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To: ckilmer

The long communications and supply chains are too expensive.

...

Most CEO’s know how to climb the ladder and stab people in the back, but little more, or may have an Ivy League degree in addition to the above. They follow trends like everyone else.


10 posted on 12/19/2014 11:07:36 AM PST by Moonman62 (The US has become a government with a country, rather than a country with a government.)
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To: SeekAndFind

So, we won’t have to do anything?
If we don’t have to do anything, everything costs nothing.
If everything costs nothing, what is the need for money to “buy” anything?

At the margins, disruptions are devastating. Buggy whip manufacturers hated the car. But some “Coach Makers” found a way. Optometrists HATE cheap eyeglasses on the rack at CVS, Rite Aid etc ... but, if that’s all you need, that’s all you need. The examples are endless.

Creativity, talent and hard work will ALWAYS rise to the top. The US benefited from being the only thing left standing after WWII. Now, let the games begin. Anything artificial, non-productive or friction-inducing will be turned away.

Get the leeching hoardes and the Gub-Mint out of the way, follow the US Constitution, practice sound money policy and only intervene when US INTERESTS are involved and just WATCH what will happen.

Chi-Comms, Socialists and the Sand Rats of the mid east will have NOTHING to keep them afloat.

After the coming “re-set”, it will once again be “Morning in America”.


11 posted on 12/19/2014 11:09:42 AM PST by Macoozie (1) Win the Senate 2) Repeal Obamacare 3) Impeach Roberts)
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To: blam

A fella can have a pretty good time with a check and a robot.

12 posted on 12/19/2014 11:10:17 AM PST by Moonman62 (The US has become a government with a country, rather than a country with a government.)
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To: Macoozie
Zero point energy is a long way off, and it would utterly send our ME enemies into the dust bin
of history, economically. Meanwhile we should use up all their resources first. their demise
will come soon enough. imo
13 posted on 12/19/2014 11:20:29 AM PST by MaxMax (Pay Attention and you'll be pissed off too! FIRE BOEHNER, NOW!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Manufacturing moves back to the USA finally, but this time under the banner of “full employment for robots” ... LOL ...


14 posted on 12/19/2014 11:31:44 AM PST by Star Traveler (Remember to keep the Messiah of Israel in the One-World Government that we look forward to coming)
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To: Moonman62

I have long maintained that one of the most destructive things to happen to the American economy was the rise of MBA programs.

In the old days the President of a steel company was a guy who came up thru the ranks and ate, slept, breathed making steel.

Today they’ll just as easily take a guy with an MBA from a company that makes gloves, software or soda pop who knows all the tricks of maximizing profits. But not jack about making the product.


15 posted on 12/19/2014 2:44:44 PM PST by Buckeye McFrog
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To: ckilmer
The trend currently in the USA is re-shoring. Something like 50% of US companies in China are at various stages of re-shoring their operations to the USA. The long communications and supply chains are too expensive.

Plus they are tired of the Chinese stealing their intellectual property and trade secrets, and producing competing knockoffs.

16 posted on 12/19/2014 2:51:41 PM PST by PapaBear3625 (You don't notice it's a police state until the police come for you.b>)
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To: Macoozie

Nicely put.

Market forces will always prevail but can be suppressed by the distortion of stupid laws designed to grow the government.

One problem we have now is that our GDP is calculated using algorithms that only account for physical product, a remnant of the industrial age. We make economic decisions on these obsolete numbers.

When we start measuring intellectual capital and innovation, our true resources and a large part of our “work product,” I’ll bet the financial world will see an entirely different, more accurate picture.


17 posted on 12/19/2014 4:26:30 PM PST by MV=PY (The Magic Question: Who's paying for it?)
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