Posted on 08/10/2014 12:46:23 AM PDT by Smokin' Joe
I have spent a little time compiling links to threads about the Ebola outbreak in the interest of having all the links in one thread for future reference.
Please add links to new threads and articles of interest as the situation develops.
Thank You all for you participation.
http://af.reuters.com/article/drcNews/idAFL5N0QU14820140824
Yikes. Two tested— one was positive for Sudan strain, the other positive for Sudan/Zaire mixture.
And this is the ‘disease’ that the WHO had been calling hemorrhagic gastroenteritis.
Yeah.
Ebola does that too.
Marburg Surveillance Project (Thread 1)
and
Marburg Surveillance Project (Thread 2)
And a bonus follow-up:
Ebola, Marburg Source Found in Fruit Bat(Congratulations Mother Abigail & Free Republic)
I know. This is very troubling. WHO is supposed to be the experts in this, yet they were quick to rule out Ebola.
On top of that, this seems to be a different strain than the one in West Africa, and now it looks as if this “new” strain is mixing. Haven’t we been told how “stable” Ebola is? Perhaps, we are all just “confused”. *shaking my head*
Very interesting and informative. Thank you for posting those earlier discussions.
Going back five months to the day the state of the outbreak of the Ebola virus as was reported by WHO.
http://www.afro.who.int/en/clusters-a-programmes/dpc/epidemic-a-pandemic-alert-and-response/outbreak-news/4064-ebola-hemorrhagic-fever-in-guinea-24-march-2014.html
Ebola virus disease in Guinea (Situation as of 24 March 2014)
Compare this March 2014 map with the current one. Sierra Leone and Liberia have Ebola outbreaks in every one of their provinces today. Nigeria is affected and now 2 confirmed cases the Congo (DRC)
Ebola virus disease in Guinea (Situation as of 24 March 2014)
A total of 86 cases including 59 deaths (CFR: 68.5%) reported from 4 districts ( Guekedou, Macenta, Nzerekore and Kissidougou)
Event description
The Ministry of Health (MoH) of Guinea has notified WHO of a rapidly evolving outbreak of Ebola virus disease in forested areas south eastern Guinea. As of 24 March 2014, a total of 86 cases including 59 deaths (case fatality ratio: 68.5%) had been reported. The cases have been reported in Guekedou, Macenta, Nzerekore and Kissidougou districts. In addition, three suspect cases including two deaths in Conakry are under investigation. Four health care workers are among the victims. Reports of suspected cases in border areas of Liberia and Sierra Leone are being investigated.
Six of seven blood samples from suspect cases tested at Institut Pasteur in Lyon, France were positive for Ebola virus by PCR, confirming the first Ebola haemorrhagic fever outbreak in Guinea. Preliminary results from sequencing of a part of the L gene has showed strong homology with Zaire Ebola virus, Additional laboratory studies are ongoing to confirm these findings.
Actions taken
The Ministry of Health (MoH) together with WHO and other partners have initiated measures to control the outbreak and prevent further spread. The MoH has activated the national and district emergency management committees to coordinate response. The MoH has also advised the public to take measures to avert the spread of the disease and to report any suspected cases.
Multidisciplinary teams have been deployed to the field to actively search and manage cases; trace and follow-up contacts; and to sensitize communities on the outbreak prevention and control. Médecins Sans Frontières, Switzerland (MSF-CH) is working in the affected areas and is assisting with establishment of isolation facilities, and also supported transport of the biological samples from suspect cases and contacts to international reference laboratories for urgent testing.
The Emerging and Dangerous Pathogens Laboratory Network (EDPLN) is working with the Guinean VHF Laboratory in Donka, the Institut Pasteur in Lyon, the Institut Pasteur in Dakar, and the Kenema Lassa fever laboratory in Sierra Leone to make available appropriate Filovirus diagnostic capacity in Guinea and Sierra Leone.
WHO and other partners are mobilizing and deploying additional experts to provide support to the Ministry. The necessary supplies and logistics required supporting the management of patients and all aspects of outbreak control are also being mobilized.
The situation is rapidly evolving and reported figures are likely to change.
emphasis added,
FYI— Brit enroute to UK.
http://news.sky.com/story/1323802/british-man-with-ebola-on-flight-back-to-uk
Ebola outbreak will not be contained this year – WHO
< http://m.news24.com/nigeria/Lifestyle/Ebola-outbreak-will-not-be-contained-this-year-WHO-20140823 >
I wonder how long it will be before the upslope on the infection case curve even begins to return to what it was in early/mid May.
Considering that this outbreak is already 3X-4X any previous outbreak of Ebola , and that is just the 'reported' cases,
my concern is that they still don't have a handle on the situation, much less any containment.
The unreported cases represent continued exposure to the more rural population.
I recall WHO lamenting the fact that all healthcare workers were treating patients , and there was no one doing statistical evaluation of the situation.
I doubt that we will ever get the true numbers of those affected , unless done in historical retrospect .
http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/scottish-news/scots-airline-passengers-centre-ebola-4101296
“Scots airline passengers at centre of Ebola scare after their plane is quarantined at Aberdeen Airport”
___________________________________
Could be nothing but a stomach virus, though I would not want to be on a plane and experience the picture at the link. Not very comforting.
Not counting the pending cases, that's only 50% (so far), which can happen with Ebola, anyway--especially considering that these patients are getting the best available care.
Granted, there may be a host of other considerations such as general health, age, disease progress, etc. on a case by case basis, and if the other two recover, that would tend to indicate some efficacy (33% death rate instead of 50% or higher).
Without all the outcomes, and considering it is a very small sample with numerous other variables, I can't say the therapy does not work, but it does not appear to be the magic bullet at this time. The disease might have progressed more in the patients who died prior to receiving treatment, too.
A larger sample, (and even full results from this one) could show a different and better outcome, so it would be premature to say it isn't effective.
I pray it is only a stomach virus, or even latent airsickness.
In the event she has Ebola, she's symptomatic, and anyone moving through that part of the plane has been exposed (plus cabin crew, cleaning crew, EMS, etc.).
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