“The more big earthquakes we’ve seen around the world, the more we’ve realized that there are some deficiencies in our models,” he said.
The Creeping Quake to be more worried about is one that originates in Mexico.
“The more big earthquakes we’ve seen around the world, the more we’ve realized that there are some deficiencies in our models,” he said.
I’m pretty sure it’ll hit Seattle first.
Tony Villar will be in front of a camera before the earth stops shaking
“the 9.0-magnitude Tohoku-Oki earthquake that hit Japan in 2011, triggering a tsunami, killing nearly 16,000 people and destroying the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant”
The 9.0 Tohoku-Oki earthquake itself did not directly damage the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant, much less destroy it.
Very preventable flooding from the tzunami damaged external emergency generators powering pumps dealing with circulation and disposal of the water used to keep the reactor cooled, and the failure of THOSE generators caused over-heating of the reactor, which caused some damage to the facility, resulting in some release of radiation before the reactor was shut down. The flood protection for the emergency generators was spec’d for less severe tsunami possibilities than what happened with the 9.0 Tohoku-Oki earthquake.
As far as the direct affects of the earthquake, the nuclear plant was not damaged. As far as the general outcome altogther, the plant was not “destoryed”; though, for public relations reasons more than scientific reasons it may not be repaired completely and reopened.
all kinds of things can be shown with mathematical models to be “possible”, but “possible” means neither certain nor likely;
but, people love what the media (and a lot of scientists) does best - sensationalism
That central section of the San Andreas fault let go in 1857 causing an 8.0 earthquake. The fault ruptured from Wrightwood to Parkfield which is about 225 miles. That section of the fault seems locked (little activity) again.
I am a total amateur geek about Earth Science, but for whatever my opinion is worth, I think this scenario isn’t going to happen. But what do I know?
Dealing with two completly different mechanisms. The Japan quake was a subduction/thrust scenario. The San Andreas fault is a transform fault, right lateral. While capable of a large quake, it is incorrect to compare the two types of fault mechanisms as being equivalent.
I do believe a recent transform quake in the Indian Ocean indicates that an these faults can potentially run as high as the upper eights, I think that these scenarios will have to be pretty solid if they are to withstand peer review.
Who cares?
I left that state DECADES AGO. But I do still go back - it is an absolutely BEAUTIFUL place, at least in parts of it (i.e., runs circles around Texas).
But to live or work there, nothing matters. As Tolstoy said in one of his killer books: “Yes, Siberia is beautiful in the winter, but it doesn’t matter when when your life expectancy is measured in weeks.”