Skip to comments.Per Twitter New Poll in Mn Star-Tribune out will have Romney within MoE
Posted on 10/27/2012 6:39:50 PM PDT by Perdogg
Still think @barackobama's MSP ad buy is just for WI?Poll out tomorrow has MN within the margin: bit.ly/TN8AM4 #gameon— Ryan Mahoney (@rcmahoney) October 28, 2012
I am pretty certain Romney is ahead in Ohio.
That’s why Obama started campaigning around the clock, pulling an all nighter to try to stem the tide.
The only all-nighter Obama has pulled is an evening with his Choom gang.
I’ve heard of many people, some directly, others indirectly who voted Obama in ‘08 that they are not going to abstain from voting, they are going to vote FOR Romney. These are registered Democrats in Sarasota, FL!
The rumor I heard is that the MN poll has Obama up by only 47-44. But we can’t just assume that the poll is as left-leaning as the Red Star polls from prior years—Mason-Dixon is polling for the Red Star now. This presidential poll was taken simultaneously with the voter-ID referendum poll (by M-D) released today by the Red Star, which poll shows passage voter D ahead by 53-42.
If Obama truly is up by only 47-44 in MN with a couple of weeks left, then I think that he probably takes the state (plus WI and IA).
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Minnesota has plenty of liberal nuts scattered in various parts of the state, but has a better track record than Oregon when it comes to actually electing some decent Governors and U.S. Senators in the last dozen years or so. (I can't think of the last time Oregon had a decent one). I think Reagan would have won Minnesota if he had campaigned there in 1984, but choose not to, out of respect for not embarrassing Mondale. We haven't won either of them in any recent Presidential election, but we've come far closer to taking Minnesota on several occasions. In Oregon, Obama beat McCain by over 16 points in 2008. In Minnesota, Obama still won comfortably but the margin of victory was in single digits.
It really depends on what kind of numbers are happening nationally, but I expect Obama will run at least 3-4% better in Oregon than he's doing in Minnesota. We'll see.
President Reagan did campaign in MN the day before the election . . . .
OR wouldn’t be Romney’s 47th state; it would be like the 36th or 37th.
Ventura? Ummmmm no.
Dayton? Ummmmm no.
Tpaw.. well.. I’ll give you that one. However, he was not all that great.
“If Obama truly is up by only 47-44 in MN with a couple of weeks left, then I think that he probably takes the state (plus WI and IA).”
To clarify, I think the MN poll is a sign that Romney will win all three states.
If oTHUG is only at 47 in MN - LANDSLIDE COMING.
I regret that Reagan didn’t go all out in MN!!! We’d have to wait till 2002 for that SOB Mondale to have the honor of being the first and only man to lose an election in all 50 states!!!! And we may never see a 50 state sweep now as long as Vermont remains in the union.
As for which state goes first. I agree MN, it is trending Republican and has been slightly more Republican, barley in 2004 but McCain did a few points better in 2008. Oregon was slightly ahead back in 2000.
Maybe because McCain only got 40% in Oregon but it has not been talked about at all while Minnesota has, (as has NJ which I’d rank behind both). All 3 are about in the same tier.
Rats have a knack for theft in Oregon, and recently in MN as well as the duly elected Governor and duly reelected Senator can tell you.
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