Keep in mind that Barack Obama actually received 30,000 fewer votes in Ohio than John Kerry!
The reason Obama won the state is McCain received 350,000 fewer votes than George Bush.
Republicans just have to turn out to win—hence, the repeated attempts to discourage Romney voters in Ohio by methods such as this poll.
It really blows my mind that a state that elections Walker in Wisc or Kasich in Ohio would vote for Obama for Pres. I realize you get more voters in a Presidential year, but still....