[scooby321]

North Carolina

No contest

[Soul of the South]

“North Carolina. No contest”

Party registration (5/12/12) 43% Dem, 31% Rep, 25% Independent

Race of registered voters:
White 71.5%
Black 21.5%
Indian 0.8%
Hisp 1.4%
Other 4.8%

Sex of registered voters:
Male 45.5%
Fem 54.5%

Obama starts with 95% of the black vote or 20% of the total vote. Assuming he gets 25% of the white male vote or 13% of the total he needs at least 39% of the white female vote to win. In 2008 nationally Obama won 48% of the white female vote.

Romney will start with about 75% of the white male vote or 24.4% of total registered voters. He will need at least 62% of the white female vote to win.

The election in NC and nationally will come down to the white female vote plus ballot stuffing in urban areas.