Things seem quiet - too quiet.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Apart from some commencement disturbances over the weekend, the campus pro-hamas efforts are definitely on the ebb. Consequences to participants are coming down and the mind-numbed sheeple are getting a dose of reality.
***
Following the money supporting the pro-Hamas demonstrations over the past several months that cumulated in the campus take-overs of recent. The donors include some of the biggest names in Democratic circles: Gates, Soros, Rockefeller and Pritzker, according to a POLITICO analysis.
“Two of the main organizers behind protests at Columbia University and on other campuses are Jewish Voice for Peace and IfNotNow. Both are supported by the Tides Foundation, which is seeded by Democratic megadonor George Soros as well as the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, and it in turn supports numerous small nonprofits that work for social change. …
Another notable Democratic donor whose philanthropy has helped fund the protest movement is David Rockefeller Jr., who sits on the board of the Rockefeller Brothers Fund. In 2022, the fund gave $300,000 to the Tides Foundation; according to nonprofit tax forms, Tides has given nearly $500,000 over the past five years to Jewish Voice for Peace, which explicitly describes itself as anti-Zionist.
Several other groups involved in pro-Palestinian protests are backed by a foundation funded by Susan and Nick Pritzker, heir to the Hyatt Hotel empire — and supporters of Biden and numerous Democratic campaigns….”
Further investigations link Goldman Sachs to the list.
Another - is Lina Khan, Chairwoman of the Federal Trade Commission. To be fair, though, she is an “intellectual” supporter of anti-Semitism and anti-Americanism, not a financial supporter. A sample:
In July 2022, Khan and FTC Commissioner Rebecca Slaughter spoke at an event that was hosted by the [Law and Political Economy (LPE) Project, which supported the pro-Palestinian protesters involved in the encampment at Columbia University].
During this event, the two spoke about “anti-racist antitrust” and how the FTC can “shape markets and economic outcomes.”
https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2024/05/who-is-paying-for-the-protests.php
OBSERVATION - Big biden supporters undercutting the regime - or are they? I’ve noted before a behind the doors conflict between the traditional democrats who support Israel and the radical leftists like the above trying to drive US policy against Israel.
What is shocking is that it is taking Politico to put the funding sources on the front page so to speak - which may also point to the internal struggle between traditional and progressive democrats on the issue.
***
According to an investigation by the Wall Street Journal, activist individuals and groups — some of whose experience goes back to the 1960s — had been helping to plan and train students in protest tactics going all the way back to March 2023.
At Columbia University, student organizers consulted with National Students for Justice in Palestine (NSJP) as well as Black Lives Matter and other left-wing groups experienced in organizing protests.
As early as October, NSJP was promoting a “day of resistance” with protests at colleges. It appears that the nationwide network of loosely connected radical-left activist groups that activates every time there’s a “cause” to agitate for latched on to the divestment issue promoted by NSJP and ran with it.
OBSERVATION - This doesn’t totally shock me as it takes planning in advance to try to gin up rioting for the 2024 election season. Anti-Semitism has always been favored by the hard left and it appears that this training/recruiting/planning accelerated with the onset of the Gaza war last October. This ties into the reports that at many protest sites, a significant number of the participants were not students, but hardened Antifa/BLM types.
***
And in the Antifa stronghold of Portland OR, 14 police cars were burned to a crisp over the weekend, some linking it to the campus protests at Portland U.
Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of May 6, 2024
Impending Israeli operation in Rafah increases the potential for sympathetic, lone wolf attacks here and globally.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics –
The New York Times is reporting that H5N1 “has acquired dozens of new mutations”, and apparently some of them “may make it more adept at spreading between species”…
The bird flu virus sweeping across dairy farms in multiple states has acquired dozens of new mutations, including some that may make it more adept at spreading between species and less susceptible to antiviral drugs, according to a new study.
A dairy worker in Texas that caught this version of the bird flu did not die, but he did experience “bleeding in his eyeballs”…
“The first image of a Texas farm worker infected with bird flu from a cow shows he suffered bleeding in his eyeballs.”
OBSERVATION - To me this is more reporting of a fear mongering manner. The warnings of massive loss of human life is based on versions of the disease from the 2008 time frame - and the virus has undergone significant mutations since then. I continue to see this as a potential threat to force culling of our cattle - to eliminate that area of ‘global warming’ without using the term.
POLITICAL FRONT –
July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
Again, don’t bet the farm on this, way toooooo early, but democrat friendly ABC poll shows biden and former President Donald Trump are locked in a virtual tie for the presidency, with Trump edging out Biden by 2 percentage points in the overall results. Rasmussen shows a 10 point Trump lead.
***
Special Counsel Jack Smith admitted in a court filing that he lied to the court about the classified documents seized from Mar-a-Lago.
In a motion filed late Friday, Jack Smith admitted the FBI messed with the boxes containing “classified” documents they seized from Trump and can’t be sure the order or the placement of the documents.
In a May 1 filing, Walt Nauta’s attorney claimed he had difficulty in cross-referencing materials in classified and unclassified discovery because “certain items in the seized boxes he reviewed were in a different order from where they appear in the scans of the boxes’ contents produced in discovery.”
Jack Smith in his Friday night response admitted the FBI moved the classified documents around.
According to a footnote in the motion reviewed by The Gateway Pundit, the FBI messed with the boxes containing the ‘classified’ documents they seized from Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate.
The DOJ previously assured the Court that the placement of classified documents as originally found had been maintained – THEY LIED!
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/05/president-trump-calls-jack-smith-be-arrested-after/
OBSERVATION - The continuation of this prosecution hangs by a thread. The judge has been very critical of Smith’s handling of the whole affair and may scholars like Dershowitz say it should be thrown out. Lying to the court is a BIG issue in any case, and unreacted discoveries have been ripping Smith’s case apart already. This discovery follows that indicating that the WH and the national archives may have conspired to place documents in Florida to frame trump.
Illegal Immigration –
Over 1000 Venezuelan ‘refugees’ were quietly shipped into the Redoubt by the regime. Venezuelan ‘refugees’ in major metro areas like New York and Chicago have brought intense gang and criminal activity with them.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the third year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
NUCLEAR THREATS –
Kremlin’s spokesperson Peskov - Russia is preparing tactical nuclear weapons drill in a response of escalation by the west, particularly Macron’s words, and statements of British officials, representatives of U.S. senate
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures highs continue in the 60-70 range with some local highs into the 80s. Scattered periods of rain..
RUMINT –
Persistent rumors that the French Foreign Legion has deployed elements to eastern Ukraine. Units designated are known to be experts in tropical warfare - unlikely to be deployed in the eastern Ukraine environment.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian air defense shot down 12 of 13 Shahed drones. Areas targeted include the Sumy and Dnipro regions. Russian drone attack damaged critical power infrastructure in Sumy.
Ukraine still struggling on all fronts. Overnight Russian Ministry of Defense claimed control over Kotliarivka village of Kharkiv region and Solovyove village west to Avdiyivka
The Russian military reportedly redeployed a battalion of the 76th Airborne (VDV) Division to Kursk Oblast as part of a larger ongoing Russian effort to gather an operationally significant force for a possible future Russian offensive operation against northeastern Ukraine and Kharkiv City. The size of this potential operation at this stage of preparation large enough to hold Ukranian forces in place and prevent redeployment to critical areas of the ongoing Russian offensive.
Britain has reportedly authorized Ukraine to expand the territory that it can use its cruise missiles at - expanding it to Russia.
Outlook —
Russia will maintain the initiative on the ground, continuing to press breakthroughs in the Bakhmut/Chasiv Yar and Ocheretyne regions. Russian missiles will continue to hammer civilian and infrastructure targets in the face of degraded Ukraine air defenses.
France and some of the other European nations are pushing harder to involve their forces in the war in the effort to turn back perceived eventually Russian attacks on other western nations. This is concerning and I’m watching to see if there are any false flags events that happen that could trigger direct on the ground involvement. Right now, many assess the claims of the FFL on the fronts as false - possibly part of a disinformation campaign.
Europe / NATO General –
NATO has set at least two “red lines” for sending troops to Ukraine - La Repubblica
According to the Italian newspaper’s sources, the alliance will be ready to intervene if Belarus is involved in the war or if Russia attacks the Baltic States, Poland, or Moldova.
***
European intelligence agencies reportedly warned their governments that Russia is planning to conduct “violent acts of sabotage” across Europe as part of a “more aggressive and concerted effort” against the West.
***
Tensions continue to build in Georgia as pro and anti Russian elements continue to fight and protest new laws favorable to Russia.
SERBIA / KOSOVO -
Reports coming out that Serbia is in the process of cutting some ties to Russia.
ISRAEL –
Israeli holiday known around the world as “Holocaust Remembrance Day”, or “Yom HaShoah” (shoah being the Hebrew word for holocaust).
Key overnight developments -
- Hostage/ceasefire talks fall apart
- Israel begins evacuation of portions of Rafah.
- Hamas hits entry location for supplies entering Gaza, injuring at least 10, killing 3
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
biden reportedly has withheld ammo shipments to Israel in response to the impending operation in Rafah.
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
Hamas shot mortars/rockets on the Kerem Shalom crossing, which is a central entry point for humanitarian aid into Gaza. So far, 10 were injured. The Kerem Shalom crossing where most of the aid is going into Gaza; the crossing has closed now.
3 IDF soldiers were reportedly killed in barrage.
***
The Israel Defense Force has begun issuing Evacuation Orders for the City of Rafah in the Southern Gaza Strip, beginning with several Neighborhoods which are closest to the Israeli Border, Palestinian Residents are being told that they should Immediately Evacuate to a “Humanitarian Zone” which is being established on the Coast of Southern Gaza near Khan Yunis and Al-Mawasi.
Map at link below
https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/pics/2024/05/06/22648809_0.jpg
The number of air strikes in the Rafah area has significantly increased over the last 24-48 hours.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Continued exchanges of fire between IDF and Hezbollah.
About 65 rockets were fired from Lebanon into Israel on Sunday, the Israel Defense Forces said, marking one of the largest rocket barrages from Lebanon since the start of the Mideast war.
——— SYRIA / HEZBOLLAH / IRAN———————————-
Israeli artillery shelled an Iranian-backed militia site in Southwestern Syria which launched several missiles overnight towards the Golan Heights in Northern Israel.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces continues to raid numerous areas, arresting terrorism suspects.
——— FORECAST ————————-
Indicators are that ground operations into Rafah could be a little as hours away, though more likely within a few days. Air strikes preparing the battlefield and IDF pushing to get civilians out of the initial combat areas. Currently, from the map at the link above, it appears that IDF will initially be moving into a lightly populated area south of the town with some initial incursions into the town proper.
Global response will be negative - even in spite of Hamas using designated refugee areas in Rafah to fire mortars/rockets into the Kerem Shalom crossing. Concerning are the reports that biden is withholding ammo because he isn’t getting his way on Israeli policy.
Hezbollah/Iranian positions are relatively muted on the onset of the final major battle to eliminate Hamas. Both have been stung hard by Israel of late and in the case of Hezbollah, Israel continues to hammer leadership and key facilities.
Central / South America General-
Jose Raul Mulino, the stand-in candidate for disqualified former President Ricardo Martinelli, was declared Panama’s president-elect after elections Sunday.
Panama’s electoral authority announced Mulino’s win, after he garnered 34.4% of the votes, with over 85% of the votes counted.
“I promise to the country at this time to put together, to establish, a government of unity as soon as possible,” Mulino said after electoral officials called him to confirm he had won the presidency.
Last year, the country also saw more than half a million people cross the Darien Gap — a thick jungle region — as they tried to reach the US from South America.
Mulino has pledged to end migration through the Darien Gap and to return the economy to its heyday under Martinelli’s previous presidency.
OBSERVATION - This appears to be a more favorable govt toward the US, shifting to the right. More so if Trump is elected. China has exerted considerable control over the country over the past many years and this could begin to allow a shift away.
White liberal 'elties' (like Epstein's friend Bill Gates) must be so proud of the misery they've inflicted on ordinary Americans.
I suggest one of Trump's first acts should be to outlaw private 'security' for elites'. They can depend on the police the same way everyday Americans depend on the police. If that happened assh*les like Bill Gates and George Soros might dial back their evil a notch or two. Maybe they would both go back to buying whores rather than hurting the rest of us.
CW2 / Domestic violence - Heightened THREAT
Pro-hamas / Antifa elements are calling for emergency protests as early as last night (see the Met Gala). These protests are anticipated to spread across major cities in the next few days. Exact nature is not yet certain, but I suspect that a large number will consist of highway blockages and some seizures of buildings.
***
New York Police declared a Level 3 Mobilization as Pro-Palestine rioters broke thru barriers and clashed with police outside the Met Gala.
Multiple Reports say that multiple arrests have been made law enforcement.
***
Protestors at MIT evacuated their compound on time as ordered by the college, only to return back into the camp (with additional high school aged protestors) - “technically “ obeying the college’s demands while maintaining the protest encampment.
***
The tech publication Wired reported Thursday that the Three Percenter, or III%er, militia is again proliferating on Facebook ahead of the 2024 presidential election.
The Three Percenters are a national network of militias, the name being a reference to the fact that only about 3% of colonists took up arms against King George in the American Revolution. The Three Percenters were involved in both the Whitmer kidnap plot and the Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol Hill uprising.
However, what Wired didn’t mention in its report is that the Three Percenters were heavily infiltrated by the FBI. In fact, the FBI used the Three Percenters as a front group in the Whitmer plot—going so far as to have its informants run fake III%er Facebook groups.
OBSERVATION - One needs to realize the hard fact that the feds have infiltrated most of the more outspoken militia type organizations out there. This was brought to the deadly forefront during the Malheur standoff of many years ago. Casual PERSEC, accepting members at face value is most dangerous. With increasing tensions and emotions as the election nears, it is expected that many will organize in opposition to the violent potential of the leftists to win at all costs. The J6 ‘trials’ show that the deep state will stop at nothing to jail any threats from such militia-like organizations.
A warning to all - even those with prepper support groups - closely screen new members.
Terrorism - Heightened THREAT as of May 6, 2024
Israeli operation in Rafah increases the potential for sympathetic, lone wolf attacks here and globally.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
Aircraft carrier USS Dwight D. Eisenhower (CVN-69) is back in the Red Sea and has been deployed for more than 200 days, according to USNI News Fleet and Marine Tracker data. Ike transited the Suez Canal late last month, moving into the Mediterranean Sea after operating in the Red Sea for almost four months, USNI News previously reported. The carrier then stopped in Souda Bay, Crete, for its first publicly announced port call since departing on deployment in October.
***
The American military battalion stationed in Lithuania since 2019 will now remain there indefinitely, extending beyond the initially planned departure in 2025
The decision to extend the stay of the U.S. military forces was announced by Lithuanian Defense Minister Laurynas Kasčiūnas during his visit to the U.S.
POLITICAL FRONT –
July 15 RNC convention in Milwaukee, WI
August 19 DNC convention in Chicago, IL
***
Speaker Johnson’s position is being protected from being vacated by the house democrats lead by Pelosi.
Biden / Harris Watch –
Biden had the United States Military Academy’s Black Knights to the White House on Monday to present the Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy to them for winning the competition among military academies.
Reading his remarks from the teleprompter -
“We’re also joined bry [slurring] Army’s biggest fans,” Biden said. “Bill and Steve of the..radio show...Crawdads... Countdown to Kickoff.” You can see him struggling to read it and his eyes and body following, moving to his left, as he tried to read it. “
OBSERVATION - I am surprised that he has lasted this long in office. I thought he would be out within a year, but his handlers have kept him drugged up and carefully (until recent) crafted his interactions with the public. He’s not all there upstairs - and he has the nuclear codes. The big question going into November is how long the left will tolerate his increasing self destruction before pulling some kind of effort to swap him out of the candidacy for president?
Phillipines –
Philippines states that it will not retaliate with fire cannons when attacked by Chinese vessels in order to avoid escalating the incidents.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the third year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
NUCLEAR THREATS –
Russia will perceive the appearance of F-16 jets in Ukraine as carriers of nuclear weapons regardless of their modification - Russian Foreign Ministry
Russia reportedly called in ambassadors of France and Britain to warn them about becoming more involved in the Ukraine conflict, threatening to stoke their capitol cities with nuclear warheads if they crossed Moscow’s ‘red lines’.
Kerch Bridge update –
There is additional evidence that Russia has pretty much discontinued using the bridge to transfer military supplies into Ukraine, relying more on an expanded rail network from Russia into eastern Ukraine. The bridge is a key supply lifeline for Russian forces in Crimea and the southern fronts.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temperatures highs continue in the 60-70 range with some local highs into the 80s. Scattered periods of rain..
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russian channel Fighterbomber reports that the crew of a Russian Su-34 died today, claiming the jet went down in battle.
Ukrainian forces launched successful counterattacks south of Ivanivske near Bakhmut, repelling Russian assaults & pushing them back over 500m, with the use of FPV drones & kamikaze strikes. This attack hits the flank of the salient where Russia is attempting to secure a crossing of a strategic canal southeast of Chasiv Yar.
Outlook —
Though put on the back burner of news due to the Israeli operation in Rafah, fighting on the eastern Ukraine front continues to be fierce.
The counter attack on Russian forces may be indicative of the resupply of arms and ammo reaching Ukraine defenders and the Russians being caught off guard having faced a retreating Ukraine for the past month. Securing exposed flanks may resulting in Russian slowing down its advances. It does not appear that Ukraine has the forces capable of cutting off the Russian salients in the near term, but does indicate that it can make life miserable for them.
Russian rhetoric towards the coming delivery of F-16s is noted, but it currently falls into the often used tactic of escalate to de-esculate tactic. It has been used to try to force western nations to decrease support to Ukraine , one that has not succeeded so far.
ISRAEL –
Key overnight developments -
- Israel starts the Rafah operation
- Hamas accuses Israel of not negotiating in good faith on a hostage/cease fire agreement.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
Lest we forget - there are still hostages being held in Gaza.
***
Hamas: We call on the United States and the international community to put pressure on Israel to stop the escalation in Rafah
***
Al Jazeera has been banned in Israel, please note Al Jazeera is ALSO banned in the following countries:
- Saudi Arabia
- Jordan
- United Arab Emirates
- Bahrain
- Egypt
——— GAZA FRONT ———————————-
A Hamas command and control center located in central Gaza at an active UNRWA location was precisely struck by IAF fighter jets. The location served as a staging ground for multiple attacks on IDF troops and humanitarian aid distribution efforts as well as a weapons supply facility for Hamas terrorists.
Shortly thereafter, Israel initiated its operation to clear out the last Hamas stronghold in Rafah overnight. It quickly pushed into and along the Gaza/Egypt border and took control of the Gaza side of the Rafah border crossing. IDF reports that at least 20 terrorists were killed, 3 Hamas tunnels were destroyed, and a car bomb which was attempting to strike a tank was also destroyed; with Israeli Force suffering no casualties.
The Israel Defense Force has announced that last night’s operation against Eastern Rafah in the Southern Gaza Strip was carried out by forces of the 401st “Iron Tracks” Armor Brigade and the 84th “Givati” Brigade alongside Special Forces Units.
Hamas attempted to stall the operation by claiming to have agreed to an Egyptian peace plan, but that so called plan was shown to be bogus within hours of the operations start.
Part of the Hamas proposal saw a change in previous Israeli demands, with the release of “33 Hostages” by Hamas being changed to “The bodies of 33 Hostages both alive and dead” which possibly indicates that Hamas no longer has even 33 hostages left alive in the Gaza Strip.
Israel has not indicated which direction the operation will move onto next. Current objectives of securing the Gaza/Egypt border seems to be first priority.
***
Egyptian Defense Officials are reporting that the readiness level of military forces, in the Northern Sinai Peninsula near the border of the Gaza Strip, have been raised to Maximum Alert. Israeli Channel 12 News reports that a large group of Gazans tried to enter Egypt last night from Rafah but we’re beaten back by the Egyptian Army.
There are unconfirmed reports that Hamas is planning on blowing up a section of the Egyptian wall to try to facilitate uncontrolled exodus of gazans into Egypt with the goal of hamas fighters trying to blend in with the civilian refugees to escape the IDF.
——— LEBANON / HEZBOLLAH——————————-
Continued exchanges of fire between IDF and Hezbollah.
———WEST BANK——————————-
Israeli security forces continues to raid numerous areas, arresting terrorism suspects.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Calls by multiple nations for an unconditional ceasefire by Israel and a stop to the Rafah operation.
——— FORECAST ————————-
I expect a temporary pause today as IDF consolidates their gains, sweeps for tunnels and isolated terror groups before moving onto their next objective.
IMHO, I expect that one main thrust will be to continue to secure the border zone ( a northwesterly direction) with Egypt. This would keep the Egyptians happy by Israel stopping any attempts for refugee breakout that the Egyptian military would have to otherwise deal with. Then Israel will pivot to the northeast and pincer in from Israel with additional forces moving to the NW. This will still allow refugees to flee to designated safe zones. Waiting additional Israeli warnings to escape imminent operations just like the one that preceded the overnight operations.
Hamas tried to play the hostage card, but over played their hand. First targeting a relief supply entrance with rockets/mortars, then refusing to negotiate a deal, then at the last minute claiming to ‘agree’ to some proposal Israel hadn’t seen, then realizing they had conjured up the ‘plan’ out of thin air.
I seriously doubt there will be any kind of a ceasefire / hostage agreement now. Hamas apparently doesn’t have the leverage any more. The international community will cry for a ceasefire but at this stage it will fall on deaf ears, particularly since this same international community has been silent over the Hamas retaining and treatment of hostages so far.
Iran / Hezbollah and the “Islamic Resistance” have been relatively silent so far concerning the Rafah operation. I think Iran has pretty much written off Hamas as a combat force and will only offer lip service levels of support . Hezbollah faces a more immediate concern as Israel continues to bleed it dry thru a thousand cuts. I think Hezbollah is falling into the dangerous ‘fighting the last war’ mindset and is having difficulty adjusting to the new Israeli mentality of fighting, exhibited in part by the actions in Gaza. This has been made worse thru the losses of so many key leaders in Hezbollah and IRGC. Again, I don’t see Israel pivoting north for the next several month, or at least until they have a good handle on the Rafah operation. That doesn’t mean that Hezbollah isn’t capable of launching a preemptive strike, but by all appearances Israel is ready for that contingency.
Saudi Arabia –
A lot of rumors that the crown prince faced an assassination attempt, but those rumors appear to be false.
Misc of Note –
So many threat vectors coming together that it is becoming hard to track them. Any one of them could be triggered at any time, with secondary effects causing adjacent vectors to trigger. The magnitude of such a ‘perfect storm’ scenario are staggering. Unless there is some kind of divine intervention (and no, I do not necessarily believe Trump is that intervention at this go round), things are being put into place that will spin apart and do so quickly.
In using the information that I scan and relay to you in these posts for my own preparedness, options are running low. Most of the “traditional” preparedness advice for TEOTWAWKI may not be sufficient. Hard news and hard on the normalcy bias, even here in the Redoubt where many of the impacts will be diluted but still hit with the force of an after shock.
My recommendation - reinforce the basics - water, food, comms, medical/sanitation, security, etc. And do so as quickly as possible.
