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Senate Democrats who will lose Part 3
vanity | October 16, 2018 | By Kevin Collins

Posted on 10/16/2018 11:14:59 AM PDT by jmaroneps37

Amy Klobuchar Minnesota Democrat will lose

I have outlined why Tina Smith of Minnesota will lose.

Now here is why Amy Klobachar also of Minnesota will lose.

The first thing that must be acknowledged in considering who will win a 2018 mid-term election is that the real Republican candidate in each race is Donald Trump.

The power of the avalanche of accomplishments Trump brings to the campaign trail will be more than many Democrats, whether incumbents or challengers will be able to fight off.

If the reasons pointing to the defeat of the other Minnesota Senator Tina Smith, look familiar that is because they are nearly the same as the reasons why Klobachar will lose.

In 2008 and 2012 Barrack Obama won Minnesota by 3 and 7 points respectively.

In 2016 Donald Trump lost Minnesota, which has not been won by a Republican since 1972, by 1 ½ points.

In 2016 Minnesota recorded 19 pivot counties – counties won twice by Barrack Obama and then won by Donald Trump.

In 2008 and 2012 Obama won these counties by an average of 20.15 points and 9.2 points respectively.

Trump won these counties by an average of 13.8 points for an average turnaround of 23 points.

In an earlier essay I have listed fourteen Republican pickups in the House; including three in Minnesota.

The pickups in Minnesota Congressional districts are; CD 1, won by Trump by 14 points, CD 7, won by Trump by 30 points and CD 8, won by Trump by 16 points.

The New York Times is now reporting the Republican candidate in Minnesota CD 8 is holding a 19 point lead which is an 18 point improvement over the one point loss suffered by Republicans in 2016.

Klobuchar dodged commenting on Al Franken and Keith Ellison .

But now, ironically Klobuchar has a problem for what she didn’t say about Ellison instead of what she did say about him and the sexual misconduct accusations against him.

Unlike Smith who is stuck with her strong endorsement of her “friend,” Keith Ellison she made shortly after the accusations surfaced, Klobuchar dodged any kind of a position on the sexual harassment charges against him in a September 2, Meet The Press interview.

There are big questions about Klobuchar and her relationship to the Kavanaugh accusations created by the dodging non-committal position she took during that interview.

She said essentially nothing but that she would be “comfortable” voting for Ellison.

Ellison’s divorce records will be opened tomorrow so we will soon see how comfortable Klobuchar is with voting for Ellison.

To make things worse for both of these Minnesota Senators, Ellison’s lead in his race is now gone.

It is being described as “neck and neck” which in real life means the Republican is slightly ahead.

Now that it is clear that all the Democrats on the Senate Judiciary Committee knew about the coming accusations against Justice Kavanaugh well before September the voters will have questions about Klobuchar’s honesty.

Minnesota Voters will ask, “ Before the September 2, Meet The Press interview, what did Klobuchar know about the Ford letter to Congresswoman Eshoo alleging sexual misconduct by Brett Kavanaugh; and when did she know it?”

The fact that Keith Ellison’s former girlfriend has made substantiated charges of physical mental and psychological abuse against him, backed up by police reports, makes a strong case for comparing Klobuchar’s conduct and statements regarding Ellison and her conduct and statements during the Kavanaugh hearings.

A burning issue in this race will be the fact that Klobuchar directly helped in the effort to destroy Kavanaugh in the absence of any proof of wrong doing and now it seems she might have dodged the Ellison matter knowing what was coming against Kavanaugh

No amount of fake polls will be able to smooth this over.

Her two votes against Both Kavanaugh and Gorsuch put her at odds with Minnesota’s Catholic (25%) and (25%) Evangelical populations.

She was one of the torch carrying witch hunters voters saw on television day after day.

She represents everything Americans detest about Democrats and much more.

Like her colleague Tina Smith, Klobuchar’s problem is that she is “just another Democrat;” and this is not going to be a good year for “just another Democrat[s].”

While not a total rubber stamp for Chuck Schumer, Minnesota voters recognize that when Trump needs a vote he will never get it from Klobuchar.

She voted against the Trump Tax cuts and against immigration reform (a very hot issue in Minnesota which is plagued by Muslim “refugees” from the very violent Somalia).

The Muslim problem in Minnesota is among the worst in the country so voters will also remember Klobuchar attacked the President’s “immigration ban” which, unfortunately for her, was framed by Democrats as being “anti-Muslim.”

In late September hundreds of Muslim Somali teenagers stormed a peaceful outdoor early Halloween event at Valley Fair Amusement Park in suburban Minneapolis.

Because of the violence against American citizens, the event had to be ended and the police had to close the park to restore order to insure the safety of innocent women children and men who were being harassed and attacked for not being Muslims.

Minnesota’s voters will not forget that Klobuchar’s support for sanctuary cities on Schumer’s orders (as it will be recognized) brought their terrorized children to tears on a day that was supposed to be a happy occasion but was turned into a very hostile atmosphere.

To this day Klobuchar continues to support sanctuary cities.

Besides working to embarrass and destroy Brett Kavanaugh, Klobuchar voted against him twice and voted against confirming Judge Neil Gorsuh.

White Evangelicals and Catholics took a special interest in the confirmation of Judge Neil Gorsuch and Judge Brett Kavanaugh.

Both wanted constitutional conservatives who would be protectors of religious freedom and be pro-life.

Both groups voted for President Donald Trump on his promise made directly to them to nominate men and women who would do both.

Both groups have been totally satisfied in these demands and see an opportunity for more Gorsuch and Kavanaugh like judges on the Supreme Court nominated by Trump.

Both groups very much appreciate Trump’s agenda.

Both will take this election as an opportunity to show Democrats how angry they are about their treatment of Kavanaugh and their votes against both men.

They will turn out in large numbers to support Trump’s efforts to elect a Senate that will help him get his agenda passed.

The combination of Catholics, who voted 52/45 for Trump, and Evangelicals who voted nearly 80/20 for Trump, will represent 41% of the electorate.

A CNN survey found that by 64/36 independents are angry over the treatment Kavanaugh got at the hands of Democrat Senators.

In Minnesota 28% of voters are independents.

With a Green Party and Legal Marijuana Now Party candidate on the ballot; and a logical white hot level of enthusiasm among Republicans, especially Minnesota’s angry and embarrassed Republicans, the underpinnings of Klobuchar’s defeat are clear.

Why Ben Cardin Democrat from Maryland will lose.

The first thing that must be acknowledged in considering who will win a 2018 mid-term election is that the real Republican candidate in each race is Donald Trump.

The power of the avalanche of accomplishments Trump brings to the campaign trail will be more than many Democrats, whether incumbents or challengers will be able to fight off.

Tony Campbell, the African American Republican challenging Maryland Democrat Senator Ben Cardin might just be standing in the right place at the right time.

He is a very conservative man who will support Trump’s agenda 100%.

In his run for re-election, Maryland’s White Republican Governor Larry Hogan is killing Black Democrat and former head of the NAACP Ben Jealous by 54/36.

Could the Republican Senate candidate catch a draft from Hogan?

Stranger things have happened in the era of Donald Trump, a man widely given a 5% chance of winning.

Of course the Republican has far less money than Cardin has, but as you will see, in a small state like Maryland that is not as terrible as it might be in larger states.

Republican victories in blue Maryland are not supposed to happen.

Maryland Democrats are supposed to win easily all the time.

So what is the reason for the difference this time?

There are a few reasons, not the least of which is the fact that African Americans, who make up 31% of Maryland’s population, most of whom live in Baltimore City or County, are turning away from the Democrat Party.

Maryland’s 75 year old incumbent Democrat Senator Ben Cardin is the quintessential Democrat that Blacks are turning away from.

This is their chance to vote for a Black man who is accomplished and ready to serve them not the Democrat Party.

Professor Tony Campbell, is everything conservatives could want in a standard bearer.

He is a former Army officer, a conservative college professor and married father of two children, who just might be standing in the right place at the right time.

He is a man Maryland’s African Americans can look up to and support.

Given the progress Trump has made in wooing African Americans, it is not a stretch to believe many will see this contest as a choice between what they have always done and gotten little or no benefit from; and responding to Trump’s campaign question to them “What the hell do you have to lose?”

The compact nature of the location of Maryland’s Blacks voters is a key factor because getting the word out to turn away from Democrats becomes a much easier task.

We know that Republican enthusiasm is up sharply because of the savage treatment of Judge Brett Kavanaugh at the hands of Senate Democrats; but independent voters are also very angry about this vicious attack as well.

A CNN survey found that by 64/36 independents are angry over the treatment Kavanaugh got at the hands of Democrat Senators.

Maryland’s voters are 18% independent and Hogan is winning their vote by 52/25 with 23% claiming to be “undecided.”

Remember “undecided” is often a way to avoid saying how you will vote.

Recently, during a televised interview, when asked about the Democrat’s savagery in the Kavanaugh hearings, Maryland’s other Democrat Senator Chris Van Hollen insisted “Well, I don't think Democrats overreached."

Can anyone see this comment leading to Maryland’s independent voters saying, “Oh okay then we’re fine with it and we’ll vote Democrat.”?

White Evangelicals (16%) and Catholics (21%) took a special interest in the confirmation of Judge Neil Gorsuch and Judge Brett Kavanaugh.

Both wanted constitutional conservatives who would be protectors of religious freedom and be pro-life.

Both groups voted for President Donald Trump on his promise made directly to them to nominate men and women who would do both.

Both groups have been totally satisfied in these demands and see an opportunity for more Gorsuch and Kavanaugh like judges on the Supreme Court nominated by Trump.

Both groups very much appreciate Trump’s agenda.

Both will take this election as an opportunity to show Democrats how angry they are about their treatment of Kavanaugh and their votes against both men.

They will turn out in large numbers to support Trump’s efforts to elect a Senate that will help him get his agenda passed.

It just doesn’t sound logical that voters would turn out to vote against Ben Jealous and for Ben Cardin.

Debbie Stabenow will lose.

DO NOT BE GASLIGHTED BY FAKED POLL FROM MICHIGAN.

The first thing that must be acknowledged in considering who will win a 2018 mid-term election is that the real Republican candidate in each race is Donald Trump.

The power of the avalanche of accomplishments Trump brings to the campaign trail will be more than many Democrats, whether incumbents or challengers, will be able to fight off.

Stabenow’s Republican challenger is John James who is married, the father of two boys and a West graduate and combat chopper pilot.

James who is Black, is an accomplished businessman and is 100% Pro- life.

He is a very conservative man who will support Trump’s agenda 100%.

He is a man Michigan’s African Americans can look up to and support.

In 2008 Barrack Obama won Michigan by 16 points; in 2012 he won by 10 points.

In 2016 Donald Trump won Michigan by 10,700 votes.

By “staying home” 50,000 predominately African American voters (14%) from the Detroit tri county area helped deliver Michigan to Trump.

This phenomena was directly responsible for Trump’s victory in Michigan.

Moreover, it can be argued that Blacks “staying home” was a strong factor in Trump’s victories in Wisconsin (7% Black), Pennsylvania (12% Black), and in Florida, (17% Black) all of which Trump won by 1.2% or less.

In 2016, to finally win Michigan, Trump had to capture 12 pivot counties.

Pivot counties are counties won twice by Barrack Obama but then won by Trump.

In 2008 Obama’s average win in Michigan’s 12 pivot counties was 11.9% in 2012 it was down to 4.9%.

In 2016 Trump won these counties by 12.8% for a 17.8% swing.

The 2016 exit polls from Michigan show good news for James.

Those aged 65 and over, who were 19% of the electorate, voted 51/47 for Trump.

Those aged 45 to 64, who were 39% of the electorate, voted 53/44 for Trump.

Those aged 30 to 44, who were 21% of the electorate, voted 48/44 for Trump.

Those aged 18 to 29, who were 21% of the electorate, voted 57/34 for Hillary Clinton.

A June poll from the Public Religion Research Institute and The Atlantic magazine, reported that just 28% of young adults 18 to 29 said they were absolutely certain to vote; but 74% of seniors who voted for Trump were absolutely certain to vote.

Then there is Stabenow’s problem with Michigan’s Evangelicals and Catholics.

Both groups believed Trump’s promise to appoint conservative constitution supporting judges to the Supreme Court who would protect religious liberties and be pro-life.

Trump fulfilled that promise.

Both groups are well satisfied with Trump’s appointment of Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.

Both groups are furious with the Democrats for their savage attacks and physical threats against Judge Kavanaugh, his wife and young daughters.

Both groups voted for Trump in 2016 and will do so again.

Michigan’s Evangelicals voted 81/14 for Trump and they were 27% of the electorate.

Note: Evangelicals make up 25% of Michigan’s population so they over performed their percentage of the population by 2 points which is very significant.

Michigan’s population is 23% Catholic.

In reporting the results of the exit polls, the pollsters probably folded Catholics in with Evangelicals and created a category called, “Christians attending church services weekly.”

Weekly Church attending people, who were 34% of the electorate, vote 57/39 for Trump.

These factors will present a major obstacle for Stabenow because her party tried to destroy Brett Kavanaugh

As a Democrat, Senator Debbie Stabenow has a problem with independent voters.

CNN released the findings of its survey of independent voters and found by 64/36 they disapprove of the Democrats’ handling of Judge Kavanaugh.

Michigan’s registered voters include 29% independents who voted 52/36 for Trump.

This data point alone shuts the door on Stabenow.

Michigan is 14% African American.

At 35% (Rasmussen) African American support for Trump is at its highest point and has grown from 23% since this time last year.

A survey of the Maryland governor’s race shows the state’s White Republican incumbent is winning big because he is getting 21% of the African American vote.

This makes the point that Black approval of Trump is transferring to Republican candidates, even when they are running against African American Democrats.

With an African American to vote for many of Michigan’s African Americans will take the next step toward fully supporting Republicans.

Ask Kanye West about this.

Democrat Tim Kaine of Virginia will lose.

DO NOT BE GASLIGHTED BY FAKED POLLS FROM VIRGINIA.

The first thing that must be acknowledged in considering who will win a 2018 mid-term election is that the real Republican candidate in each race is Donald Trump.

The power of the avalanche of accomplishments Trump brings to the campaign trail will be more than many Democrats, whether incumbents or challengers, will be able to fight off.

In 2015 Hillary Clinton won Virginia by 5.4%.

Nevertheless, election officials in Fairfax County Virginia report noticing a disturbing trend: young people failing to mail in their absentee ballots are telling Democrats they aren’t doing so “because they don’t know how to get a stamp.”

Virginia’s Democrats are already worried about turnout this November, particularly because polling shows that the youngest voters – college students in particular – are the least enthusiastic and the least likely to show up at the polls.

Gullible Democrats who don’t remember that every college has a post office are choosing to believe this because they don’t want to admit they young voters have little enthusiasm to vote.

In 2016 voters 18 to 24 were 10% of the total national electorate and voted 56/34 Democrat.

A lack of enthusiasm among these voters presents another problem for Kaine.

In his losing effort Donald Trump still managed to flip five pivot counties – those won twice by Barrack Obama then won by Trump.

2008 Obama won these pivot counties by average of 8.5% in 2012 by 5.5%.

Trump won those five Virginia counties by 6.2 points for a 12.7% turn around.

Virginia’s population is 20% African American; and this is the key element in Democrat Tim Kaine’s loss.

During recent presidential election years Virginians voted at a 72% rate.

Nevertheless, during off year elections over the past 10 years Virginia’s voter turnout fell 39 points to an average 33% rate.

Without Barrack Obama on the ballot many voters in Virginia will not vote; among that “fall off” group will be Black voters.

Nationwide, African American voter participation fell by 7 points between the 2012 and 2016 elections.

This phenomena was directly responsible for Trump’s victory in Michigan (14% Black) where 50,000 fewer voters showed up at the polls in the largely African American Detroit tri-county area and Trump won the state by 10,700 votes.

Moreover, it can be argued that Blacks “staying home” was a strong factor in Trump’s victories in Wisconsin (7% Black), Pennsylvania (12% Black), and in Florida, (17% Black) all of which Trump won by 1.2% or less.

If Black Virginians follow the same behavior as the rest of the state’s electorate, the 500,000 who turned out in the exceptionally high off year election for governor in 2017 (47%) shrinks considerably to 235,000 in a total of 1,175,000.

A recent survey shows Black support for Trump has transferred to Larry Hogan, the incumbent White Republican Governor of Maryland in his race against a Black Democrat former head of the NAACP.

Hogan is getting 21% of the African American vote.

If a similar amount of Black support for Republican candidates seeps over the Potomac River into Virginia, it would mean the African American vote for Democrat Tim Kaine would shrink to 185,650.

From 2016 to 2017 Virginia’s African Americans support Trump grew from 9% to 12%; and Hispanic support grew from 30 to 32%

Both groups now support Trump by much larger margins.

In 2017 Virginia’s Evangelicals voted 80/14 for Republicans with 81% turning out to vote.

There is no reason to assume this level of turnout from Evangelicals will remain this low.

White Evangelicals (32%) and Catholics (14%) took a special interest in the confirmation of Judge Neil Gorsuch and Judge Brett Kavanaugh.

Both wanted constitutional conservatives who would be protectors of religious freedom and be pro-life.

Both groups voted for President Donald Trump on his promise made directly to them to nominate men and women who would do both.

Both groups have been totally satisfied in these demands and see an opportunity for more Gorsuch and Kavanaugh like judges on the Supreme Court nominated by Trump.

Both groups very much appreciate Trump’s agenda.

Both will take this election as an opportunity to show Democrats how angry they are about their treatment of Kavanaugh and their votes against both men.

They will turn out in large numbers to support Trump’s efforts to elect a Senate that will help him get his agenda passed.

Available 2016 exit poll data shows Virginia’s Evangelicals voted only 75/15 for Trump meaning a full 10% went third party.

There is a third party candidate in this race (Libertarian); but given the current state of satisfaction among Evangelicals toward Trump it is not likely to be a factor.

Kaine has a problem with Virginia’s Catholics (14%).

This problem is made worse by the fact that Kaine, who is a Catholic, voted against both Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh.

Those votes will be seen by Catholics as a sharply disappointing betrayal.

Virginia’s population is 9% Hispanic.

Hispanics will also be a factor in this race because their support for Donald Trump has climbed from its 2016 level to 45% today.

This new support for Trump has been transferring to Republican candidates.

In Florida Texas and California we have seen a strong and undeniable shift of voting allegiance among Latinos from Democrat to Republican candidates.

This will be a problem for Kaine.

Independent votes will also be a problem for Kaine.

CNN released the findings of its survey of independent voters and found by 64/36 they disapprove of the Democrats’ handling of Judge Kavanaugh.

In Virginia 26% of voters are registered as independents.

There is no publicly available data on how Virginia’s independent voters cast their ballots in 2016; but nationally independents voted for Trump 46/42.

This assumed 4 point deficit among 26% of the electorate combined with this new CNN data on the feelings of independents toward Democrats because of their conduct in the Kavanaugh hearings, means Kaine is in trouble.

Democrat Senator Martin Heinrich of New Mexico will lose.

DO NOT BE GASLIGHTED BY FAKED POLL FROM NEW MEXICO THEY ARE ALL TWISTED UP BECAUSE OF THE ENTRY OF GARY JOHNSON INTO THE SENATE RACE.

Everything in New Mexico is up in the air.

The first thing that must be acknowledged in considering who will win a 2018 mid-term election is that the real Republican candidate in each race is Donald Trump.

The power of the avalanche of accomplishments Trump brings to the campaign trail will be more than many Democrats, whether incumbents or challengers, will be able to fight off.

Martin Heinrich was “supposed” win an easy victory; but that was before the Hispanic Shift and the problem Democrats have with Catholics (40%) and Evangelicals (18%) over their treatment of Justice Kavanaugh .

Like all Democrats Heinrich has a problem with Evangelicals and Catholics.

Both groups believed Trump’s promise to appoint conservative constitution supporting judges to the Supreme Court who would protect religious liberties and be pro-life.

Trump fulfilled that promise.

Both groups are well satisfied with Trump’s appointment of Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court.

Both groups are furious with the Democrats for their savage attacks and physical threats against Judge Kavanaugh his wife and young daughters.

Both strongly supported Trump in 2016 and will do so again.

In 2012 Heinrich won with 51% of the vote.

In 2016 Hillary Clinton won New Mexico by 9 points.

In 2008 and 2012 Barrack Obama won by 10 and 15 points respectively.

In 2016 while losing by 9 points Donald Trump still flipped three pivot counties – counties won twice by Barrack Obama then won by Donald Trump.

Trump won the three counties by an average of 7.96 points completing an 11 point turnaround.

The average Hispanic population in the three counties Trump flipped is 55.6%.

The Hispanic population of New Mexico is 48%.

We have already seen solid statistical proof of the benefit Republicans are seeing from the Hispanic Shift in party allegiance.

Latinos are moving to the Republican Party because of the positive results Trump’s policies are having in their community.

In Texas a Republican won a special election by 6 points.

He had lost the same race by 15 points in 2016.

The seat had been in Democrat hands for 137 years.

The district is 68% Hispanic and it is virtually coterminous with a US House seat held by a Republican that was marked as a tossup.

The Republican Congressman is now up 18 points and it is no longer a tossup.

In Florida a leftist St Pete Times poll showed the Republican running for governor winning among Hispanics by 11 points.

In California the Democrat running for governor is winning among Hispanics by just 35/34 with 30% “undecided.”

The Hispanic Shift could easily bring New Mexico’s Republican candidate to victory.

CNN released the findings of its survey of independent voters and found by 64/36 they disapprove of the Democrats’ handling of Judge Kavanaugh.

New Mexico’s voters are registered 32% independent and they voted for Trump 42/37.

The third candidate in this race is former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson; and he is running as a Libertarian.

As is the case in most elections that include candidates from the two major parties and a Libertarian; the Libertarian is more likely to draw off Democrats looking to avoid voting for either Party.

In this political year with the Hispanics and independents drifting away from the Democrats Heinrich is in trouble.

Diane Feinstein's is the oddest Senate election on the horizon.

Diane Feinstein could lose, but not to Republicans.

In California Democrat Diane Feinstein is just 8 points ahead of fellow Democrat Kevin de Leon at 37/29 with a huge 34% “undecided” which is suspiciously like the 30% “undecided” Latinos in the same Probolsky poll of Californians who will vote in the governor’s race.

California uses a “Jungle Primary” which selects the two highest vote getters to run regardless of party.

Republicans do not have a candidate in this race.

So far Feinstein thinks she is safe because a large portion of de Leon’s voters are Republicans who are probably looking to gum up the works.

But this survey was taken before Feinstein’s savage attack on Kavanaugh as a Catholic and as a human being.

Catholics make up 32% of California’s population; Latinos make up 39% of Californians.

This is probably why the Democrat running for governor is up just 44/39 and up only 35/34 with Hispanics with 30% “undecided.”

In the case of Hispanics, Democrats know they are in trouble.

They realize they are losing their grip on Latino voters and they know it.

Democrats are in so much trouble that they aren’t even acknowledging that their problem won’t be getting Latinos to the polls; it will be keeping them away from the polls because Latinos are blossoming as a new and growing Republican voting bloc.

At this point, Latinos may not yet be as sophisticated as they will eventually be.

This might lead to them skipping the top line and leaving an opening for Feinstein to slither through based on White Democrat votes and a small turnout.

If Latinos do decide to punish Feinstein for her conduct against Kavanaugh they will be joined by White Republicans (21%), the 21% of California’s voters who are independents Catholics and the state’s 15% Evangelicals.

The desire to punish Feinstein and force her to defend herself out of office and “out in the cold” in January, when the investigation of her conduct starts, might just drive de Leon’s “anti- vote” over the top.

In a low turnout election de Leon could win even if he is the reincarnation of Che Guevara.


TOPICS: Politics; Society
KEYWORDS: 2018midterms; senatemidterms
So there you have it. The numbers are very good for Republicans and getting better.

Remember don't listen to their polls and don't go to the Drudge Report.

1 posted on 10/16/2018 11:14:59 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
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To: jmaroneps37

Smith and Klobuchar will win handily.


2 posted on 10/16/2018 11:16:33 AM PDT by ButThreeLeftsDo (MAGA!!!)
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To: jmaroneps37

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1051981503377416192.html?utm_source=email&utm_medium=alert&utm_campaign=internal

Reasons to Vote RED all the way!! MAGA 2018 and 2020

Send viral to your friends and family.


3 posted on 10/16/2018 11:19:13 AM PDT by ExTexasRedhead
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To: ButThreeLeftsDo

Yep...not a chance of this happening.


4 posted on 10/16/2018 11:22:25 AM PDT by Zathras
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To: ButThreeLeftsDo

“Smith and Klobuchar will win handily.”

I agree that Klobuchar will most likely win, but I wouldn’t say that about Tina Smith, and I definitely wouldn’t say she will win “handily”. Karin Housley is running a pretty strong campaign against Smith, who is a very weak candidate who was appointed earlier this year to replace Al Franken. Voters don’t really know her or like her that much, and she’s very beatable.


5 posted on 10/16/2018 11:22:45 AM PDT by lquist1
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To: jmaroneps37

What is this guy smoking?

Klobuchar is not going to lose.


6 posted on 10/16/2018 11:24:23 AM PDT by Conserv (Conserv)
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To: jmaroneps37

Book mark.

Good summary, I may disagree with some of this. Believe it or not, Minnesota use to be very strong Republican, right after the Civil War because of Civil War ties... the Dems were the South generally speaking.

Then, post-WWII, that’s when the DFL grew and it’s been largely blue since. It really needs to get back to it’s GOP roots.

Neuberger vs. Klobuchar, Neuberger is surely a great guy but trails badly.

I really, really want to see Tina Smith out, former Planned Parenthood official, some tie, I forget it exactly but Housley would be a great Senator. This race I believe is much more closer. Can’t believe people would vote for politicians like Tina Smith or Mark Dayton. I don’t know much about Klobuchar except she is a typical Democrat I suppose.


7 posted on 10/16/2018 11:26:00 AM PDT by BeadCounter
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To: lquist1

Housley is a relative unknown.

Yesterday, her social media past came back to bite her.

She’s done.


8 posted on 10/16/2018 11:31:45 AM PDT by ButThreeLeftsDo (MAGA!!!)
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To: ButThreeLeftsDo

http://www.startribune.com/housley-compared-michelle-obama-s-posture-to-a-chimp-in-2009/497599531/

That is pretty bad, I did not know that. I’d agree. I will have to look at this more.


9 posted on 10/16/2018 11:35:54 AM PDT by BeadCounter
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To: jmaroneps37

People with white children, especially sons, should vote republican. I am an american (of south Asian heritage) who hates the hate thrown at white people. Racism is racism, no matter who the perp or victim is. The sooner white Minnesotans realize this, the better the future of their children.


10 posted on 10/16/2018 11:36:24 AM PDT by ThinkingBuddha
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To: jmaroneps37

This will be a good read for the day after Election Day


11 posted on 10/16/2018 11:54:51 AM PDT by centurion316
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To: jmaroneps37

Good analysis. I hope Team Trump is reading FR and using this as input in planning Trump rallies. We need every Senate seat we can get, and Trump can help. The same for the House. If Trump can do one rally each for threatened House members (or for viable candidates who are already close), that might put them over the top.


12 posted on 10/16/2018 12:00:29 PM PDT by Pollster1 ("Governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed")
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To: jmaroneps37

Cardin in Maryland will not lose. He is an old line machine politician who is the son of an machine politician. He is a lock.


13 posted on 10/16/2018 12:01:17 PM PDT by Jimmy Valentine (DemocRATS - when they speak, they lie; when they are silent, they are stealing the American Dream)
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bfl


14 posted on 10/16/2018 12:02:31 PM PDT by DoodleDawg
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"Neuberger vs. Klobuchar"

My son and his wife are evangelical Christians living and paying a whole lot of taxes in the Land of Ten Thousand Liberals.

They are non-political for the most part but Amy Klobachar's attacks on Justice Kavanaugh have them seriously worked up and campaigning to unseat her. They are joined by a church membership who are putting in serious time knocking on doors and getting out the voters who often do not participate in mid terms.

There could be some serious surprises in Minny-Soda in three weeks, regardless of what the polls are saying.

15 posted on 10/16/2018 12:10:05 PM PDT by Sa-teef
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To: jmaroneps37

If anything, Housley’s numbers will rise over the Moosechelle comments. She just said what everyone was thinking already.
Klobuchar is cemented in because...Daddy. Her name recognition is the the only thing she has, she’s dumb as a stump.


16 posted on 10/16/2018 12:13:52 PM PDT by Fireone (Build the gallows first, then the wall!)
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To: jmaroneps37

California Republicans should vote for Fwinstein for 2 reasons; a) Kevin De Leon is Ultra Liberal/Progressive, ie. worse than Feinstein and b) Feinstein is old and could kick the bucket at any time. If Cox can pull off a win against Newsome, he’d be the one to appoint the replacement (McClintock, perhaps?).

We don’t want to let DeLeon onto the national stage. he could be another Beto or Barack. Young, handsome, etc...


17 posted on 10/16/2018 12:29:26 PM PDT by CarmichaelPatriot
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To: Pollster1

Where are Parts 1 & 2?


18 posted on 10/16/2018 6:26:59 PM PDT by Jean2
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To: Jean2

No idea.


19 posted on 10/17/2018 12:51:19 AM PDT by Pollster1 ("Governments derive their just powers from the consent of the governed")
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