Posted on 01/16/2017 12:14:04 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
Exclusive: The U.S. intelligence communitys unprecedented assault on an incoming U.S. president now including spreading salacious rumors raises questions about how long Donald Trump can hold the White House, says Daniel Lazare.
Is a military coup in the works? Or are U.S. intelligence agencies laying the political groundwork for forcing Donald Trump from the presidency because they cant abide his rejection of a new cold war with Russia? Not long ago, even asking such questions would have marked one as the sort of paranoid nut who believes that lizard people run the government. But no longer.
Thanks to the now-notorious 35-page dossier concerning Donald Trumps alleged sexual improprieties in a Moscow luxury hotel, its clear that strange maneuverings are underway in Washington and that no one is quite sure how they will end.
Director of National Intelligence James Clapper added to the mystery Wednesday evening by releasing a 200-word statement to the effect that he was shocked, shocked, that the dossier had found its way into the press. Such leaks, the statement said, are extremely corrosive and damaging to our national security.
Clapper added: that this document is not a US Intelligence Community product and that I do not believe the leaks came from within the IC. The IC has not made any judgment that the information in this document is reliable, and we did not rely upon it in any way for our conclusions. However, part of our obligation is to ensure that policymakers are provided with the fullest possible picture of any matters that might affect national security.
Rather than vouching for the dossiers contents, in other words, all Clapper says he did was inform Trump that it was making the rounds in Washington and that he should know what it said and that he thus couldnt have been more horrified than when Buzzfeed posted all 35 pages on its website.
But it doesnt make sense. As The New York Times noted, putting the summary in a report that went to multiple people in Congress and the executive branch made it very likely that it would be leaked (emphasis in the original). So even if the intelligence community didnt leak the dossier itself, it distributed it knowing that someone else would.
Then there is the Guardian, second to none in its loathing for Trump and Vladimir Putin and hence intent on giving the dossier the best possible spin. It printed a quasi-defense not of the memo itself but of the man who wrote it: Christopher Steele, an ex-MI6 officer who now heads his own private intelligence firm. A sober, cautious and meticulous professional with a formidable record is how the Guardian described him. Then it quoted an unnamed ex-Foreign Office official on the subject of Steeles credibility:
The idea his work is fake or a cowboy operation is false, completely untrue. Chris is an experienced and highly regarded professional. Hes not the sort of person who will simply pass on gossip. If he puts something in a report, he believes theres sufficient credibility in it for it to be worth considering. Chris is a very straight guy. He could not have survived in the job he was in if he had been prone to flights of fancy or doing things in an ill-considered way.
In other words, Steele is a straight-shooter, so its worth paying attention to what he has to say. Or so the Guardian assures us. That is the way the CIA and the FBI, not to mention the British government, regarded him, too, it adds, so presumably Clapper felt the same way.
What is Afoot?
So what does it all mean? Simply that U.S. intelligence agencies believed that the dossier came from a reliable source and that, as a consequence, there was a significant possibility that Trump was a Siberian candidate, as Times columnist Paul Krugman once described him. They therefore sent out multiple copies of a two-page summary on the assumption that at least one would find its way to the press.
Even if Clapper & Co. took no position concerning the dossiers contents, they knew that preparing and distributing such a summary amounted to a tacit endorsement. They also knew, presumably, that it would provide editors with an excuse to go public. If the CIA, FBI, and National Security Agency feel that Steeles findings are worthy of attention, then why shouldnt the average reader have an opportunity to examine them as well?
How did Clapper expect Trump to respond when presented with allegations that he was vulnerable to Russian blackmail and potentially under the Kremlins thumb? Did he expect him to hang his head in shame, break into great racking sobs, and admit that it was all true? If so, did Clapper \then plan to place a comforting hand on Trumps shoulder and suggest, gently but firmly, that it was time to step aside and allow a trusted insider like Mike Pence to take the reins?
Based on the sturm und drang of the last few days, the answer is very possibly yes. If so, the gambit failed when Trump, in his usual high-voltage manner, denounced the dossier as fake news and sailed into the intelligence agencies for behaving like something out of Nazi Germany. The intelligence communitys hopes, if thats what they were, were dashed.
All of which is thoroughly unprecedented by American political standards. After all, this is a country that takes endless pride in the peaceful transfer of power every four years or so. Yet here was the intelligence community attempting to short-circuit the process by engineering Trumps removal before he even took office.
But the Guardian then upped the ante even more by suggesting that the CIA continue with the struggle. Plainly, the Republican congressional leadership has no appetite for an inquiry into Steeles findings, the papers New York correspondent, Ed Pilkington, wrote, adding:
That leaves the intelligence agencies. The danger for Trump here is that he has so alienated senior officials, not least by likening them to Nazis, that he has hardly earned their loyalty.
What was the Guardian suggesting that disloyal intelligence agents keep on searching regardless? And what if they come up with what they claim is a smoking gun?
Explained Pilkington: To take a flight of fancy, what if it [i.e. Steeles findings] were substantiated? That would again come down to a question of politics. No US president has ever been forced out of office by impeachment (Richard Nixon resigned before the vote; Andrew Johnson and Bill Clinton were acquitted by the Senate). Any such procedure would have to be prepared and approved by a majority of the House of Representatives, and then passed to the Senate for a two-thirds majority vote. As the Republicans hold the reins in both chambers, it would take an almighty severing of ties between Trump and his own party to even get close to such a place.
Its a long shot, but the Guardians recommendation is that rogue agents keep on digging until they strike pay dirt, at which point they should go straight to Congress and persuade if not pressure the Republican leadership to initiate the process of throwing Trump out of office.
This is not the same as sending an armored column to attack Capitol Hill, but its close. Essentially, the Guardian was calling on the intelligence agencies to assume ultimate responsibility regarding who can sit in the Oval Office and who cannot.
A Desperate Establishment
All of which demonstrates how desperate the military-intelligence complex has grown after Clappers report on alleged Russian hacking of Democratic emails met with such a derisory reception following its publication on Jan. 6. Even the Times admitted that it provided no new evidence to support assertions that Moscow meddled covertly through hacking and other actions while the Daily Beast said it was unlikely to convince a single skeptic due to a notable absence of anything by way of back-up data.
The Steele dossier was supposed to take up the slack. Yet it has fallen short as well. It asserts, for example, that Trump attorney Michael Cohen traveled to Prague to discuss hacking with a Russian official named Oleg Solodukhin, a claim that both men have since denied. It misspells the name of a major Russian bank and gets its Russian geography wrong too.
As Owen Matthews points out in a very smart article in Newsweek, it seems to be under the impression that the suburb of Barvikha on the tony Rublevskoe highway is a closed government compound, instead of just an expensive vacation home area favored by the new rich.
The dossier misspells the name of an Azeri real-estate mogul named Aras Agalarov and reports his association with Trump as news in August 2016 when Agalarov publicly organized Trumps visit to the Miss Universe pageant in 2013 and arranged a meeting with top Russian businessmen for Trump afterward, both of which were widely reported at the time.
Other aspects of the dossier dont add up either. It reports that the Russian government has been cultivating, supporting and assisting Trump for at least five years in order to encourage splits and divisions in the Western alliance. But as Matthews points out, Trump wasnt in politics five years ago and was considered a long shot for months after entering the presidential race in mid-2015. So how could the Kremlin be sure that their man would ultimately prevail?
The dossier says that Trump accepted a regular flow of intelligence from the Kremlin, including on Democratic and other political rivals. But Trump gave no hint of having inside information when he called for Crooked Hillary to be locked up for purging her email files; to the contrary, he did so on the basis of information available on every front page. The memo says that the Russians also had compromising material on Clinton. If so, then why wasnt it used?
Hearsay Evidence
The discrepancies go on. But this is what one would expect of a document based entirely of hearsay in which Source A claims to have gotten a juicy tidbit from Source B, who heard it from Source C deep inside the Kremlin.
Grasping at straws, the Guardians Ed Pilkington conceded that no news agency has been able to verify the dossiers findings. But, he said, they are unlikely to be discarded as quickly or as conclusively as Trump would like for the simple reason that the flip side of information that cannot be classed reliable is that neither can it be classed unreliable.
But the same could be said for information that someone got from a friend whose brother-in-law heard from a park ranger that Barack and Michelle like to while away their evenings snorting cocaine. It cant be classed as reliable because no one can verify that its true. But it cant be classed as unreliable because no one can prove that its wrong. So maybe the best thing to do is to impeach Obama in the few days he has remaining just to be sure.
This not to say that the so-called President-elects legitimacy is not open to question. To the contrary, it is questionable in the extreme given that he lost the popular election by more than 2.86 million votes. In a democratic country, this should count for something. But the intelligence community is not attacking him on democratic grounds, needless to say, but on imperial.
Trump is a rightwing blowhard whose absurd babblings about Saudi Arabia, Iran and Yemen reveal a man who is dangerously ignorant about how the world works. But he has managed to seize on one or two semi-good ideas over the years. One is that Obama administrations confrontational policies toward Russia are a recipe for disaster, while another is that toppling Syrias Bashar al-Assad with Al Qaeda and ISIS still up and about will only hasten their march on Damascus.
Both views are perfectly sensible. But because Washingtons endlessly bellicose foreign-policy establishment is wedded to the opposite, it sees them as high treason.
This is very serious. U.S. foreign policy has been marked by a high degree of continuity since World War II as Republican and Democratic presidents alike pledged to uphold the imperial agenda. But Trump, as radical in his way as William Jennings Bryan was in 1896 or Henry A. Wallace in 1948, is bucking the consensus to an unprecedented degree.
Even though its policies have led to disaster after disaster, the foreign-policy establishment is aghast. Consequently, it is frantically searching for a way to prevent him from carrying his ideas out. The intelligence agencies appear to be running out of time with the inauguration only a few days away. But that doesnt mean theyre giving up. All it means, rather, is that theyll go deeper underground. Trump may enter the White House on Jan. 20. But the big question is how long hell remain.
> “In other words, Steele is a straight-shooter, so its worth paying attention to what he has to say.”
BS.
I’ve already had my fill of British aristocrats and their progressive minions in banking and intelligence operations having led me down a path of lies upon lies.
They believe their own lies because they are unable to face the truth that they have failed.
Like all liberals, the truth to them is somewhere in the mix and they just have to try harder to reveal it. Meanwhile, do NOT question them about their prearranged narrative of good intentions while walking with them on their path to Hell.
No mention that the intelligence community may have been gutted by the Obama Administration and the finger pointers are the ones dirty.
No mention that international bankers may have skin in the game
No mention how many heads may be on the chopping block end of next week and that the appointees to represent team Trump are not only NOT amatures but people of action that obviously support their new boss.
Going to be an interesting year.
Trump is going to have a rough time from segments the I C if their previous attempts are any insight into what’s next.
A great posting by 2DV.
With regard to
>>Ive already had my fill of British aristocrats and their progressive minions in banking and intelligence operations having led me down a path of lies upon lies.<<
Aren’t we all angered by their decades long condescension to Americans. All they’ve got to hang their derbies on is their pronunciation of our common language.
What the readers of the Guardian don’t understand is that DJT has the verve and touch of the common man — whereas they have elevated this annoying arrogant pomposity to an art form (in their minds).
Although he’s a liberal gun-grabber, Piers Morgan seems to understand this about Trump and knows what the BBC-ish elitist snobs “across the pond” don’t.
Buy popcorn, sit back, watch the show and be amazed.
No mention that the intelligence community may have been gutted by the Obama Administration and the finger pointers are the ones dirty.
Just considering the Muslim issue alone, where all reference to terrorism by supposed Muslim’s (forget extremism) was strictly forbidden, and stricken from the record by everyone in Government, and you may begin to understand just how far this outgoing administration was in the CAIR lair, and the public was left out of the equation. Seen any reference to his Muslim history, in the mainstream media of Mr. Airport shooter?
4Channel has claimed responsibility for a lot of this garbage as a prank on Political GOPe Hack named Wilson. He also noted that it looks like the IC added the spy twist.
The LSM is laying the ground work for either calling for new elections, or Impeachment. The GOPe are going along. The Gang of 8 is going to investigate the Russian hacking election and DJT ties with Russia.
Obama has signed an order to put the election system under DHS(so they can really Hack the election), and ordered NSA to release all phone and other surveillance that they have on DJT and his team.
Any one think they will hesitate to manufacture whatever they need to support their case and get rid of Trump?
They need to know that we don't buy what they are selling and the weak kneed and traitorous GOPe needs to hear from everyone to stop the shenanigans.
This is all tin foil hat speculation
What we know:
Clapper and Brennan led the agencies during one of the countries worst intelligence years
They are political appointees and hacks
They are gone
All else is nut job stuff....military coup indeed! After eight years of Obozo it will take some weeding out to find leaders in the military. Trump will do just fine for at least four years
It is not a great posting. All this does is throw around speculation about things unlikely toad pen
People have got to quit listening to Jones
Of course there won’t be a military coup. The military people are not insane power hungry idiots, worshiping at the feet of Globalism.
The Nixon treatment is most likely, but don’t rule out assassination by a nut ball who thinks that Trump is a sock puppet for Russia. I guess they could try insisting on new elections due to Russia tampering, but it’s a bit late for that.
Who is Jones?
Probably Mother Jones; the very far left website.
Name a Govt Dept that is not incompetent.
Nah. The lizard people do run the government.
Pepe?
/s
Note to Daniel Lazare:
I reject your reality and substitute my own.
How incredible this all is. How inutterably incredible. Chris Steele should be incarcerated until he admits who paid him. The IC should be remade...that is, destroyed and rebuilt.Term limits on the Demorats and Repugs.
It would seem we are a gullible group. Perhaps everyone should undergo a test to determine if their locus of control is internal or external. We certaintly aren’t doing well with whatever our criteria are now, are we?
4 l8r
Yup, can’t wait to see the WikiLeaks that cover this incident
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