Trump broke 50% in Fivethirtyeight.com Nevada prediction

Political Ref ^ | 09/19/16 | Aaron Rossiter

[TheRef]

Nate Silver famously has a secret algorithm to determine who is the likely winner in a race. His algorithm is showing that Trump has broken fifty percent for the first time in Nevada tonight. This is significant because Silver calculates more than polls, including the economy, the incumbent, etc. Using all of this, Silver is seeing Nevada is even.

[Parley Baer]

More and more paths are becoming available for Trump to reach the 270 Mark. GO TRUMP GO

[HarleyLady27]

WOOHOO!!!

GO.TRUMP/PENCE.GO!!! ALL THE WAY TO THE OVAL OFFICE!!!

[LostInBayport]

And Huma heads to the cabinet for yet another new pair of Depends...

[KavMan]

Nate Silver is an IDIOT!

I told him not to be a clown & lose all his credibility by declaring Hillary the winner since he has Helmut Norpoth lurking around

He knows about Helmut Norpoth’s prediction so he isn’t going all 99% in on Hillary LOL

[Drango]

To early to dance. Pennsylvania, Colorado and Virginia must fall.

[103198]

Working on Virginia. Governor Pence here tomorrow...

[comebacknewt]

Actually, if any one of those falls, Trump is your likely winner.

Agree it is too early for definitive statements though.

[knarf]

Has she returned ?

[TheRef]

He really only needs New Hampshire, not PA, VA or CO

[traderrob6]

The debates is what worry me. This election will be determined by them pure and simple.

Trump is going to fighting Hillary, the moderators and a pre selected hostile crowd.

Those are what’s making me queasy.

[comebacknewt]

That’s true too.

Take any one of those four to go with all the other states he currently leads, and we will have President Trump.

[Kozy]

Silver has heard that Bob Schrum, that famous democratic consultant who has never headed, Gore, Kerry or worked on a campaign, Dukakais, or announced that this democratic candidate will win the presidency eight times has announced that Clinton will win. Clinton now carries the Scarlet Letter, Huma, but the Schrum Curse.

Trump steamrolls Schrum for number nine.

[Sybeck1]

http://www.270towin.com/maps/LlJKA

NH and he’s in

[TBP]

The trend line definitely seems to be moving in Donald’s direction.

[Jet Jaguar]

Bump

[bigbob]

Trump will come across as Presidential, Hillary will come across as everyone’s ex-wife.

[Voluntaryist]

That’s with 3 EV win in Maine and no 1 EV loss in Nebraska.

[RockyTx]

my concern is that Hillary
will use her wandering evil eye
on Trump

[Rembrandt]

“Trump is going to fighting Hillary, the moderators and a pre selected hostile crowd.”

Trump’s not a pansy. He’s been around the block before. He’ll do ok no matter the circumstances.