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A scenario for the second civil war
Forward Observer ^ | August 30, 2016 | Matt Bracken

Posted on 08/31/2016 5:49:41 AM PDT by Travis McGee

MATTHEW BRACKEN is a former Navy SEAL (BUD/S Class 105), a Constitutionalist, and a self-described “freedomista”. He’s the author of several books, including Enemies Foreign and Domestic. This is the first part in a series of different author’s thoughts on the next civil war. Here’s what Bracken sees as a potential scenario for the next American Civil War.

The Second Amendment of the Bill of Rights does not “grant” Americans the right to armed self-defense, it simply recognizes and affirms this God-given human right. The Constitution, including the Bill or Rights, is a very succinct document that was written in plain English intended to be fully understandable by ordinary citizens, requiring no interpretation by judges. Article III of the Constitution discusses the responsibilities, powers and limitations of the Judiciary, including the Supreme Court.

Nowhere in the Constitution does it say that the Supreme Court is a super-legislature authorized to amend the Bill of Rights by a simple majority vote among its nine lifetime-appointed justices. In fact, Article III Section 2 explicitly grants to Congress the power to regulate which cases the Supreme Court may adjudicate at all. However, in the current political climate, with a toothless Congress abdicating its power to the Executive and Judicial branches, it is unlikely that the Supreme Court will be reined in and confined within its Constitutional limits.

My scenario for a second American civil war involves a Hillary Clinton victory in November 2016, followed in 2017 by the appointment of a Supreme Court justice politically to the left of Ruth Bader Ginsberg. The Second Amendment will then be gutted using a specious argument such as that the militia has “evolved” into the modern National Guard, meaning that there is no longer a right for private citizens to individually keep or bear arms. Liberal politicians and the collaborating liberal mainstream media will be in full-throated agreement with this false interpretation of the Second Amendment.

Subsequently, some states will ban semi-automatic pistols and rifles capable of taking a detachable magazine, meaning that nearly all semi-automatic firearms will become “illegal” with the stroke of a pen. Firearms confiscation raids against gun collectors and outspoken “Right to Keep and Bear Arms” activists will then take place with the intended purpose being to strike fear into holdouts. But instead of forcing gun owners into compliance, the confiscation raids will be the trigger for a new civil war. There will be casualties among both citizens and law enforcement as these confiscation raids are increasingly met with armed resistance.

The First Amendment will likewise be gutted, using the argument that the “bitter clingers” who are still advocating the “obsolete” interpretation of the Second Amendment are supporting terrorism when they argue that law enforcement has no valid legal or moral reason to engage in gun confiscation raids. Freedom-oriented writers will declare that the federal government is in breach of contract with the people, because the rogue Supreme Court had no authority to unilaterally nullify key elements of the Bill of Rights.

Millions of Americans who still support the original interpretation of the Second Amendment will consider those who advocate the new interpretation to be traitors and domestic enemies of the Constitution. Writers who argue that the new interpretation of the Second Amendment is invalid, and that citizens are therefore morally justified in opposing the new gun laws by force of arms will be arrested for “inciting violence” and “encouraging terrorism.” Websites which promulgate these views will be banned and shut down.

At that point, with no other options available to oppose the emerging hard tyranny, a guerrilla insurgency will emerge, and some of those responsible for limiting the Bill of Rights will become victims of sniper attacks. Targeted individuals will include national politicians, prominent “journalists” and federal law enforcement personnel who vocally support or even simply enforce the new gun bans. These deadly sniper attacks will typically involve a single shooter firing a single shot from long range. Federal law enforcement will be given the impossible task of predicting who will become the next sniper from among scores of millions of Americans. Gun confiscation raids and arrests for “inciting violence” will escalate, and so will the retaliatory sniper attacks.

The start of Civil War Two will probably be pegged to the assassination of a prominent judge or politician who is held responsible by “constitutional originalists” for invalidating the First and Second Amendments. The new tyranny will not back down in the face of these sniper attacks, but will double down in its efforts to disarm the resistance. Arrests and disappearances of “constitutional extremists” will be countered with even more sniper attacks against key supporters of the new tyranny. Civil War Two could resemble the “Dirty War” in Argentina during the 1970s, with recalcitrant “constitutionalists” becoming the victims of secret government special-action units. It’s difficult to imagine the final outcome of an American “dirty civil war,” but it’s impossible to imagine the forces of tyranny successfully disarming the American people.

It’s well known that Switzerland has never been invaded by a foreign power, largely because of its national policy of providing adult male military reservists with modern battle rifles, which they keep at home for their entire lives. It’s less well understood that Switzerland has also never seen the emergence of a tyranny, and for the same reason: a would-be tyrant would not survive for long in Switzerland. Likewise, would-be tyrants in the United States might have a strong desire to disarm the American people, but any widespread attempts to do so will, at the very least, result in a prolonged and bloody dirty civil war.

“…We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.–That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, –That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness. Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Governments long established should not be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience hath shewn, that mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable, than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed. But when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Government, and to provide new Guards for their future security….”


TOPICS: Government; Military/Veterans; Politics
KEYWORDS: banglist; bloat; bracken; cw2; cwiiping
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To: Travis McGee

Rather interesting that Democrats are emptying the prisons right now.


161 posted on 08/31/2016 12:10:51 PM PDT by AppyPappy (If you really want to irritate someone, point out something obvious they are trying hard to ignore.)
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To: 5th MEB
I understand that. But I believe that they have been brought over here for reason[s] other than their pleasant personalities. I do not believe that it was out of concern of our welfare that they are being brought here.
162 posted on 08/31/2016 12:39:47 PM PDT by sport
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To: Travis McGee; 20yearvet

BOOKbump ping


163 posted on 08/31/2016 12:57:06 PM PDT by S.O.S121.500 (Had ENOUGH Yet ? ........................ Enforce the Bill of Rights .........It is the LAW...)
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To: Billthedrill

If we do get to shooting, I would not want to be connected to the United Nations in any shape, form or fashion. I also would not want to be seen as being connected to the leadership levels of any police or military force. These are the people that I place high on the Choice Target List.

If you are wearing a uniform and have to stand up when your superiors enter the room, take it easy. You are at the very bottom of the List. I am only interested in cleaning out the “suits”.

The “suits” are the ones who will decide if this becomes a shooting war or not.

Conservatives own 200,000,000 guns and a trillion rounds of ammo. If we become violent you’d know it in a heartbeat.


164 posted on 08/31/2016 12:59:57 PM PDT by B4Ranch (Conservatives own 200,000,000 guns and a trillion rounds of ammo. If we were violent you'd know it.)
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To: Travis McGee
Mathew, your articulation of a possible trigger for patriots and conservative Americans to turn to violence as their only recourse is not without merit. Your scenario follows along the similar thoughts put forward in “Unintended Consequences”. We conservative Americans mostly made up from those families regardless of race or color, born and raised in this nation for generations if not from the founding will not tolerate gun confiscation. Those of us which pay our taxes, worship God, obey all constitutional laws, and love our country will band together. We follow the rules and do not burn down our own communities because of the mistakes of a few bad people. But when the institutions that govern our very lives become our oppressors; which they have begun already, risk taking the final plunge toward tyranny with a Concord and Lexington type moment as you suggest Hillary might attempt than violence will occur. If they are that dumb and think those of us will disarm at the stroke of their pen then they rely too much on believing there are some lines that should never be crossed. But they have already been crossing those with abortion, Obamacare, gay marriage, restrictive gun laws, and all the other unconstitutional mayhem, so never say never as they may yet prove to be that dumb. When white conservative males are pushed to the limits and act in one accord whole continents burn down, not poor neighborhoods and big city hell holes.

So, if Hillary does win (hope not) and does what you say to the second amendment (pray not) than law abiding citizens like me will not obey and we will fight. When fighting starts it might begin on an immediate small scale similar to Unintended Consequences, but I believe whole States and even counties within states will reject those laws. Than even within law enforcement and the military some will not obey. If after the start of escalating violence with law enforcement trying to confiscate weapons shot and killed, judges and politicians preemptively shot, government buildings occupied and destroyed, if after that the courts and federal government fails to reverse course and instead doubles down and declares martial law and calls up the military, than the CWII has begun.

I believe one third of the states will defy the federal government. I believe States like California will have half of the Counties not enforcing gun confiscation. I believe the military will be in conflict and will either refuse to follow orders or will become ineffective in putting down armed resistance if not a military coup to take out the tyrant administration. If the military fails to regain constitutional order, obeys the tyrants order to shoot armed citizens defending their God given rights and freedom, than you have a full on civil war with whole sections of the military defecting to States that are second amendment defending. From that basis you have the makings of command and control of armed resistance and the shear volumes of the armed populace will overwhelm the tyrant army and tyrant LEO and in short order the administration will fall. It is easy even in this technological world to shut things down. Power, fuel, energy, communication, are all weak infrastructure and a few well determined armed men can bring everything to a standstill. Jets don’t fly with wholes shot in them or with no pilots. Tanks and APC’s don’t role without fuel. Somewhere in between the tyrannical federal government falling much of the country would experience outages. It would be bloody and short, but a small minority of armed America dwarfs all the armed government agents, military, and LEO on the planet combined, from patriots still living and breathing and armed within America’s borders.

165 posted on 08/31/2016 1:52:44 PM PDT by Mat_Helm
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To: Travis McGee

The failure of conservatives and the wimps in the legislative branch to PUSH BACK against the left’s disregard of the Constitution has emboldened them. They now believe their goal of a socialist tyranny is within their grasp and they WILL NOT gently join all the previous iterations of their failed ideology on the ash heap of history. It’s just one way HOW things could (will?) go to hell if Clinton wins.


166 posted on 08/31/2016 2:40:31 PM PDT by Dick Bachert ( THE 4TH ESTATE HERE HAS BECOME A 5TH COLUMN. TREASON TRIALS COMING?)
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To: DiogenesLamp
Lincoln started the war with a deliberate dirty trick intended to induce a Confederate Military response so that he could claim the moral high ground of not having fired first.

Sounds a lot like what happened at Pearl Harbor.

167 posted on 08/31/2016 2:44:41 PM PDT by T. P. Pole
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To: T. P. Pole
Sounds a lot like what happened at Pearl Harbor.

My Dad always believed Roosevelt knew an attack was coming and deliberately did nothing to stop it. He believed Roosevelt needed an excuse to get in the war, and unless the damage was serious enough, he couldn't get the American people to rally around going to war.

In his defense, he had been advised by the military that torpedoes would not work against the ships docked there because the harbor was too shallow and air dropped torpedoes would hit the harbor bottom. (Turned out the Japanese had planned for that.)

We know that the British had broken some of the Japanese coded messages and especially one detailing a planned attack. A lot of people think it is inconceivable that Churchill would not have told Roosevelt, and therefore it is thought that Roosevelt was deliberately allowing the attack to justify US entry into the war.

So yes, what Lincoln appears to have done does sound similar to what Roosevelt is believed to have done in World War II.

168 posted on 08/31/2016 2:55:27 PM PDT by DiogenesLamp ("of parents owing allegiance to no other sovereignty.")
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To: Crusher138
There are pretty good arguments to be made that the current financial system is unconstitutional. It is a very complicated discussion with contradictory Supreme Court decisions.

It has become disconnected from the Natural Law foundation upon which this nation's government was originally based.

Article 1, Section 8, Clause 5 of the Constitution is often used to say that States are prohibited from producing currency, but the whole and entire clause says that Congress shall have power...

“To coin Money, regulate the Value thereof, and of foreign Coin, and fix the Standard of Weights and Measures;”

An argument could be made that this doesn’t specifically prohibit States from coining money. It clearly gives Congress the right to coin money, but it doesn’t expressly prohibit States from doing so.

I do not believe that FedZilla will tolerate such a thing for one moment. Their power structure is totally dependent upon phoney money by Fiat, and they will regard with maximum threat level, any effort to get out from under their phoney money scheme.

I have long felt that any effort which does not somehow deal with the currency warpage resulting from the Keynesian Malthusians currently exploiting it, is not going to succeed.

169 posted on 08/31/2016 3:05:47 PM PDT by DiogenesLamp ("of parents owing allegiance to no other sovereignty.")
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To: Travis McGee
UP! read it yesterday, good stuff as always
170 posted on 08/31/2016 3:12:56 PM PDT by Chode (You Owe Them Nothing - Not Respect, Not Loyalty, Not Obedience, NOTHING!)
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To: DiogenesLamp

The National Banking Act of 1863, signed by Lincoln of course, established a national currency. It also treated other currencies differently for tax purposes, effectively killing all other forms of money in our country. Until then, currency was issued by states, and even more so by banks and other local institutions. I own a nearly 200 year old book that includes the then-current exchange rates among different local/private currencies and foreign coins in the fledgling United States.


171 posted on 08/31/2016 3:19:30 PM PDT by Pollster1 (Somebody who agrees with me 80% of the time is a friend and ally, not a 20% traitor. - Ronald Reagan)
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To: Travis McGee
Go down fighting is all I can say. As an example for the others if for no other reason.

The leftists have polluted the country to such a degree that dying to preserve Liberty is far from the worse thing that can happen.

172 posted on 08/31/2016 3:48:13 PM PDT by Sans-Culotte ("Political Correctness is communist propaganda writ small" - Theodore Dalrymple)
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To: amorphous
"Number" (arithmos, Strong's G706) is used throughout the NT to describe a sum total of men, persons. In Acts 16:5, it is a number of churches, but that's a related idea.

For it is a number (sum total, enumeration) of man [kind]...

An accounting of souls, their order of business, be it with God, or mammon.

The king of Salem ("peace" which is rooted in wholeness, completeness) was MelchiTzedek, "*my* king is righteousness". His name says who/what he is ruled by. The "order" of Melchizedek is his order: how he conducts his business, his manner of doing things. His king is righteousness, and tzedakah is charity which is rooted in righteousness. It is *this* order of business, speech, conduct in which the Messiah is a priest forever. Axiomatic. Says what he means, means what he says. Honest, sincere, gracious, charitable in all things. This is the ideological framework of one whose "king" (rules to live by) is righteousness.

Those on the "other side" would thus decare by their manner, speech, business dealings and so forth that "my king is wickedness". It's how they choose to conduct themselves. Who their "king" (rules to live by) is = who they are.

Souls, livelihoods - how they obtain a paycheck - think butler and baker. Both in jail, but one is restored; one is hanged. Both caused some offense, but one offense did not reflect the character, whereas the other offense was just more of the same old same old. Therefore, each according to his interpretation.

The answer to the mystery in Revelation is in those concepts somewhere. In Torah the reading is Parshat Ki Tisa. On that note, in the verses about the counting of heads for the census and the atonement of souls, the phrase "all who pass among those who are numbered" is written twice. It has a value of 666. Too much to write about the root words and where they lead, but the point is it is a phrase that describes an enumeration of persons, of souls.

There is much in the Jewish commentaries about this business of "How does a coin atone for a soul". A coin is physical, a soul is spiritual. So how does that work, etc. Fascinating stuff. See the midrash about Moses and a coin of fire.

Twenty is the age in which to pursue a livelihood (Pirkei Avot 5:22), so the coins come from the givers' *pursuit* in life. The order/manner of that business and what effect giving that coin had would be like the quantum conundrum about observation determining the properties of an object. Not so weird after all. When Pharaoh observed, one came alive, one became dead. You want the universe to give you a dead cat, it'll give you a dead cat. Each according to his interpretation. :)

SSNs are required by the gov in order to work. But what are those people doing when they are "at work"? The love of money being the root of all evil... What will their souls choose to embrace? Who/what is their king?

173 posted on 08/31/2016 4:05:31 PM PDT by Ezekiel (All who mourn the destruction of America merit the celebration of her rebirth.)
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To: Pollster1
The National Banking Act of 1863, signed by Lincoln of course, established a national currency.

So there we go. I have long asserted that the birth of FedZilla started with Abe Lincoln, but a lot of people resent it when I say that. The evidence indicates it is indeed true. *THAT* is the nexus point in history where the founders vision started going wrong.

It also treated other currencies differently for tax purposes, effectively killing all other forms of money in our country.

The Rulers want no challengers. They want sole control over monetary value. Of course, people probably felt safe because the currency was backed up by Gold and Silver back then.

Until then, currency was issued by states, and even more so by banks and other local institutions. I own a nearly 200 year old book that includes the then-current exchange rates among different local/private currencies and foreign coins in the fledgling United States.

That must be a fascinating book. Am I to understand you correctly in that individual states were issuing currency up until 1863? I knew they had done so prior to Union, but I didn't know the practice continued afterward.

174 posted on 08/31/2016 4:15:45 PM PDT by DiogenesLamp ("of parents owing allegiance to no other sovereignty.")
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To: DiogenesLamp
That must be a fascinating book. Am I to understand you correctly in that individual states were issuing currency up until 1863? I knew they had done so prior to Union, but I didn't know the practice continued afterward.

The book is in storage for family reasons, so I cannot currently check details, but it's mostly a reference for business in that time period. However, at least some states were still issuing or using state currency in the 1820s. I would guess from context that most currency came from state-chartered banks rather than from the states themselves.

175 posted on 08/31/2016 4:30:03 PM PDT by Pollster1 (Somebody who agrees with me 80% of the time is a friend and ally, not a 20% traitor. - Ronald Reagan)
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To: DiogenesLamp
That must be a fascinating book. Am I to understand you correctly in that individual states were issuing currency up until 1863? I knew they had done so prior to Union, but I didn't know the practice continued afterward.

The book is in storage for family reasons, so I cannot currently check details, but it's mostly a reference for business in that time period. However, at least some states were still issuing or using state currency in the 1820s. I would guess from context that most currency came from state-chartered banks rather than from the states themselves.

176 posted on 08/31/2016 4:36:19 PM PDT by Pollster1 (Somebody who agrees with me 80% of the time is a friend and ally, not a 20% traitor. - Ronald Reagan)
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To: sport; bgill

In my mind I see those guys all running for the flags of their fathers. No natural born American citizens here!


177 posted on 08/31/2016 4:41:05 PM PDT by walkingdead (It's easy, you just don't lead 'em as much....)
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To: Pollster1
The book is in storage for family reasons, so I cannot currently check details, but it's mostly a reference for business in that time period. However, at least some states were still issuing or using state currency in the 1820s. I would guess from context that most currency came from state-chartered banks rather than from the states themselves.

I was wondering if bank issued notes would be regarded as issuing from the authority of the state.

Anyways, we are stuck with the Fiat currency dollar controlled by the zero-intresters. The currency question is the biggest difficulty I see in weathering a financial collapse.

We really need a money system with which they cannot tamper.

178 posted on 08/31/2016 4:42:39 PM PDT by DiogenesLamp ("of parents owing allegiance to no other sovereignty.")
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To: DiogenesLamp
We really need a money system with which they cannot tamper.

Well, there's always barter between friends and neighbors...

(Actually, the past few years have taught me at least that about the only societal organization with any credibility at all outside of immediate family are those "friends and neighbors"....and maybe not all of them.)

179 posted on 08/31/2016 4:56:49 PM PDT by Unrepentant VN Vet (...against all enemies, foreign or domestic...)
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To: DiogenesLamp

Phony as a three dollar bill? Nope. All real, although FL is just before the Civil War, VA is Confederate, and NC is 1866. Not taken from my memory, just from Internet searches.

180 posted on 08/31/2016 5:13:09 PM PDT by Pollster1 (Somebody who agrees with me 80% of the time is a friend and ally, not a 20% traitor. - Ronald Reagan)
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