[DoughtyOne]

On April 19th, Ted Cruz will join Kasich, Rubio, Bush, Carson, Fiorina, Huckabee, and Paul who are mathematically eliminated from getting 1237 delegates by the convention.

Then voter nullification of the largest voting block becomes Ted' only route to the nomination.

Voter nullification... Ted Cruz, little man on campus.

[vikingrinn]

[Vigilanteman]

Point 6 (Kasich is an Embarrassment) is spot on, but the delegate math is fantasy. No way does Cruz win Maryland and come out with a nearly equal number of delegates from Pennsylvania on April 26.

[Donglalinger]

2 more weeks of this crapola until Trump squashes Ted in NY.

[Defiant]

What if Arizona was Waterloo? More delegates, right?

Cruz has won 2 states out of the last what, 8? Utah and Wisconsin. His big Utah win was undercut by Arizona. His Wisconsin win is magnified only because it is the only thing going on, and because people like Horowitz want to use it for propaganda purposes to make it look like some kind of turning point. But it's not, it's no bigger than Utah. On to New York!

[tflabo]

Cruz’s original thesis: as long as this is a two-man race and as long as Cruz can get his message out, Trump can be defeated in almost every state.

Problem one is its getting late in the game plus the northeast is next up to bat. If Ted can win a northeast state or two he's viable but if not then any Cruzmentum from Wis could be a mute point.

[Bubba_Leroy]

So far, Trump has received about 35% of the votes cast. A 35% plurality was sufficient to win most of the primaries when the rest of the vote was split between a dozen candidates.

It would still be sufficient in a three candidate race if Kasich could win 33% of the votes. Absent a much better turnout for Kasich, Trump is going to have to start winning a lot more than 35% of the vote to keep winning primaries.

There is no question that Trump will win NY and no one is pretending otherwise. The question is whether Trump will win more than 50% in NY. So far, even with only three candidates left in the race, Trump has been unable to win a majority of the vote in any state.

If Trump cannot win a clear majority in his home state with only three candidates left in the race, then he cannot win a majority anywhere.

[Fiji Hill]

It may be more of a Salamanca than a Waterloo. There’s lots of fighting ahead, and unlike Napoleon after Waterloo, Trump remains formidable.

[Admin Moderator]

Welcome to FR. In the future, please post your blog material in our bloggers forum.

[Donglalinger]

Cruz’s win=Germany’s Battle of the Bulge

[mac_truck]

onight’s sweeping victory in Wisconsin proves team Cruz’s original thesis: as long as this is a two-man race and as long as Cruz can get his message out, Trump can be defeated in almost every state.

Except it wasn't a two man race dummy...and but for a popular incumbent governor getting involved and mobilizing his network, Cruz wouldn't have won.

[sickoflibs]

RE:”Tonight’s sweeping victory in Wisconsin proves team Cruz’s original thesis: as long as this is a two-man race and as long as Cruz can get his message out, Trump can be defeated in almost every state. In many ways, this could be the Waterloo of the election”

Sounds like Trump has to invent an accusation against Cruz especially nasty to dominate the MSM attention away from this humiliating loss:

Cheating on wife?? Trump Already did it
Lying ?? Trump Already did it
Breaking Law ? Trump already did it
Not being an American ? Trump already did it
.....

I know, child molestation...that will lure the MSM back ...
‘

[longtermmemmory]

seems the meme memo went out.

Cruz is another McCain. just look at his rallies.

They are as small as bill Clintons.

[The_Harlequin]

I think from here on out, until the conclusion of the GOP convention, all analysis has become irrelevant. Anyone with an opinion is merely reflecting their own mindset and prejudices. Everyone sees what they want to see. They choose to believe whatever best reflects the outcome they desire. There’s no shortage of speculation and predictions. I remain unconvinced of it all.

[sergeantdave]

Oh, look! It’s sally234. Since 2016-4-6.

Welcome to FR, sally234 - since 2016-4-6.

Are you new here on FR? Yes, yes you are new on FR.

What’s your opinion on nuking Hiroshima back in 1945?

Are you for or against sustainable tuna in cat food?

Give us your opinion on bacon-flavored TVP.

The Mr. Spock ultimatum: Live long and prosper. Do you agree or disagree?

[Sun]

Ted Cruz usually does better than the polls say, just as he did in Wisconsin.

I think that will happen in NY, especially after Gov. Cuomo took a chunk out of the Second Amendment in NY.

Gun Owners of America endorsed TED CRUZ, but Donald Trump was AGAINST the Second Amendment before he was for it.

In fact, I think if enough pro-Second Amendment NYers put above statement in a letter to the editor, it would make a HUGE difference.

Any NYers here?

[Sun]

WELCOME to the forum, and pay no attention to the Trump supporters, as many of them have no mind of their own, and feel compelled to take on Trump’s bad manners.

Besides, they’re just mad because Trump gave tens of thousand of dollars to lib Dems like Hillary Clinton, Spitzer, King Andrew Cuomo, and MORE!