Posted on 02/04/2015 1:17:23 PM PST by tcrlaf
Last week the world woke up to the fact that Greeces new government holds a geopolitical trump card: it can hold the EU ransom by threatening to break the fragile consensus on Russia.
The renewal of sanctions against Russia requires the unanimous support of EU members which means Obamas alliance against Russia needs Greek cooperation. Whats more, Greece has veto power over whether NATO can retaliate for an attack on any of its members. Article V, which states, [A]n armed attack against one or more of them in Europe or North America shall be considered an attack against them all, may only be invoked with unanimous agreement among NATO members.
Greece and Russia have close cultural and religious ties, and Russia is Greeces largest trading partner. Russias ambassador to Athens didnt waste any time congratulating Greeces new prime minister, Alexis Tsipras, on his victory.
So its no surprise that Putin is using Greece as leverage. Russia has hinted that it will open its market to Greek food exports if Greece leaves the eurozone, and also that it would consider giving Greece financial aid. One can imagine other carrots being dangled, like an offer to hook up Greece to the Turkish Stream pipeline.
. . .
Syriza, which has close connections with Russia, admires Putins defiance of Western institutions. The new Greek foreign minister, Nikos Kotzias, has a relationship with Aleksandr Dugin, a Russian nationalist philosopher with close ties to Putin. As neo-eurasianists, they aim to pry a weak and divided Europe away from US influence. Syriza has openly campaigned for Greece to leave NATO, though theyve toned down their hostility on that issue recentlypresumbably to preserve it as a useful bargaining chip for the future.
Kotzias, who says hell work to prevent a rift between the EU and Russia, has already recognized the legitimacy of the Donetsk Peoples Republic in eastern Ukraine and dismisses the Ukrainian government as a neo-Nazi junta.
. . .
The euro and the Ukraine crises are converging, and Putin is watching closely.
in your opinion, is this going to be Grexit? Are we seeing that begin now?
This is a BAD move for them. If Syriza is not bluffing, then its a Grexit. If they are, then support for them in Greece will collapse, and there is only one party remaining that the people will turn to... and something tells me that party does not bluff.
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