Posted on 08/19/2012 7:56:32 AM PDT by AdamBomb
One would think that after a full week of Ryan and Romney campaigning strong that they would have maintained a lead in the Rasmussen poll.
For the life of me I do not understand how the kenyan can all of a sudden be up 2 points for 3 days in a row.
Any thoughts?
From the article, an admission they are jimmying the polls: “If Romney was above 50 percent and withstood a month of bad press, that would be a real sign of resilience. But Romney’s not at 50 percent; he’s at 45 percent. And that essentially means that Romney holds the reliably Republican vote, and not very much more.”
But . . . but . . . but . . . the polls always have a GOP sample in the high 20s or very low 30s. How can Romney have the “reliably Republican vote” 45% if the polls show that same “reliably Republican vote” at 30%? And if other polls consistently show Romney taking a 10-15% lead among indies, hmmm. So that puts him by RCP’s idiot reasoning at 60%? And it would “be important” if he was over 50% and hadn’t dropped, but it’s not important if he’s at 45% and hasn’t dropped? So it should be, then, VERY important that Zero, who was in the 80s, is now in the low 40s to high 30s.
I think they just told us pretty much what the REAL election looks like.
The one thing people need to consider is that Obama is going broke spending his campaign cash now. Romney cannot spend his cash until the convention. Then he will have 4 to 5 times the money on hand to spend. It is surprising it is even close considering the unbalance television assault in battle ground states. Also, the superpacs will be unleashed and will start spending too.
No incumbent wants to be under 50% near an election since undecided always break to the challenger. Obama will need an October surprise to survive. He does not value the law or America and will make any immoral sacrifice to keep his job. So, if you want to be scared, wait until October.
Pardon, but nobama is the incumbent, Romney is the challenger. Good thought though. You’re right.
Ras is an ass. He’ll manipulate the election as just another reaility TV show, as do all the pols.
Not once has any poll called an election close enough not to be a laughing joke.
Makes me think the Secret Service is hot on the trail of some killers ~ maybe even the same people Janet Napolitano has been turning loose.
There are other reasons I'm not going to tell you about that make me think that way BTW.
Rasmussen has the best record of all the pollsters.
Still, I believe this is just a statistical anomaly.
The only purpose for these polls is to gauge the effectiveness of the most recent propaganda effort of the MSM.
Remember, even a common broken clock is right twice a day.
I'm expecting someone to come up with a data mining method to effectively reflect public opinion on a moment by moment basis.
Wait until the convention(s).
And I expect we at FR will be the first to complain when they try to stick a microscope up our ***.
I never answer pollsters
They be tappin’ FR
Based on the keywords on this thread, I would swear we are trying to elect Obama.
Good point.
This is the second time when Gallup/Ras have done this temporary flipflop. Notice Ras is likely voters and is always near 100%. Gallup is RV and usually has about 5 to 8% undecided. Gallup compared to Ras usually shows the undecideds in Gallup are evenly split in the Ras Poll. Still not 50% and won’t be.
Alot of people are unwilling to tell the Pollsters(or anyone else) they are not in the bag for BO. They don’t want a visit or to be pressured. They may hold their nose and vote Romney but that is okay with me. Electorially speaking, Romney is already close to a huge victory. The Senate is looking like a Repub. majority and the house isn’t going to change. BO will max out at 46.5% of the Popular vote. If he keeps messing with the MSM he may not get 42%. IMHO
>>>The only purpose for these polls is to gauge the effectiveness of the most recent propaganda effort of the MSM.
Democrats are successful in making this Medicare election.
Romeny failed to define Obama and his failed economic policies.
Even WV democrats hate O
You're right - he keeps me informed. Way to go WV!!
As Romney's pros have repeated, and as he's said, Socon issues aren't part of his campaign.
That puts him the position of debating the looting of Medicare from the cash accounts viewpoint ~ with Obama free to come in and argue that 'but the money is really being taken from thieves".
That's already happened.
Your boy has to put some heart in this stuff or he'll be ignoring even things like the crucifixion and torture of Christians in Egypt.
For all of the legislative baggage Mitt has, I don’t believe he is anywhere as bad as Obama.
Thinking people know that as a Governor of a Deep Blue state he had to reflect his constituents desires.
Though his name is attached to some very liberal laws in Ma he also vetoed 700 bills during his tenure.
I don’t believe Romney is a liberal in his heart
I KNOW Obama is and I KNOW Obama is a Marxist.
BTW, my explanation for the ratchet effect still fits ~ and will continue to fit this particular race. Everything you’ve learned from races where candidates had increasing popularity levels as the race progressed just doesn’t work for this one.
Romney does bother me in his willingness to stick his finger in the air on social matters.
That is why we must secure the Senate and reenforce the Congress!
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