I am a professor of history at American University and formerly chair of the department and associate dean of the College of Arts and Sciences. My books include Prejudice and Old Politics: The Presidential Election of 1928; Your Family History; Ecological Inference; and The 13 Keys to the Presidency. My recent books include The Keys to the White House: 2008 Edition and White Protestant Nation: The Rise of the American Conservative Movement. The Keys system correctly forecast the the popular vote results of every American presidential election since 1984. It forecast George W. Bush’s reelection in April 2003, nearly a year before any other academic model.

White Protestant Nation argues that American conservatism was not a response to the rise of the liberal state, but a movement no less important than liberalism with its own vision for the nation and the world. It traces the conservative movement back to its origins in the 1920s — a decade before the rise of liberalism under FDR. It explains why conservatism triumphed in the late twentieth century and why it is in trouble today.