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To: PGR88

That’s interesting, it’s the same with tax revenue as a percent of GDP vs spending as a percent of GDP.

They collect 15-20% of GDP since WWII

for years on end they’ve spent over 25% of GDP.

Also of interest-

In Japan, the interest payments on the national debt account for a significant portion of the budget. As of 2023, these interest payments consume approximately 22% of the Japanese national budget.

We’re nowhere close to that, yet I never read of the certain doom of the honorable Japanese and the Yen.


13 posted on 04/19/2024 10:09:16 PM PDT by Freest Republican (This space for rent)
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To: Freest Republican
We’re nowhere close to that, yet I never read of the certain doom of the honorable Japanese and the Yen.

I'm unable to give a complete answer but, will give below points:

Japanese yen is not the worlds reserve currency.

Only 16% of forex trades are in Japanese Yen vs. 88% for US Dollar - and most of that trade involves Japan itself or its international assets

70% of Japanese debt is monetized by its central bank, and most of the remainder is bought by large Japanese banks and funds. This is a quirk of highly homogenous Japanese society

Japan is still a huge holder of foreign assets (the USA is the opposite). Any defaults will only be within Japan, not to the rest of the world.

So for these reasons, Americans and Europeans generally have zero interest in Japan's financial issues

Because it buys most of the debt, the Japanese Central Bank specifically suppresses yields on Gov. Bonds. Japanese 10 year gov. bond is still only 0.84% (it was <0.5% only a year ago)

japan debt/GDP is indeed huge - 260%, but that's why its central bank MUST suppress interest rates. Its caught in a trap.

It didn't matter until recently, as the EU had negative interest rates and USA itself was close to zero. Now rates have risen elsewhere and the Japanese Yen is slowly crashing - Yen is at 30 years lows

Japan inflation, while reported low by Govt, is nonetheless also at 20 years high

IMHO, Japan's debt crisis is having grave effects on its society - the country is literally depopulating, as young people can't afford and see zero reason to have children.

16 posted on 04/19/2024 10:42:50 PM PDT by PGR88
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