I was never fooled by the polling regarding red wave. As soon as Roe was cancelled, I had this gut feeling that women who usually do not bother to go out and vote, came out of the wood work to vote for pro-abortion democrat party. And my gut feeling was vindicated.
Here in CT young women are outraged because they now have to travel an extra nanometer to murder their babies.
:-)
Not sure what you are talking about. The RCP average for the year leading up to the 2022 mid terms showed a range of D +1 to R+4. The final result was R +2.8. Apparently the polls weren't fooling anybody about a red wave, they were instead predictive.
About Roe v. Wade being overturned, the polls tigtened by a couple of points after the SCOTUS decision, but then they bounced back up in October to where they were before the SCOTUS decision.
” As soon as Roe was cancelled, I had this gut feeling that women ...”
Subconsciously, I think I did too.
I’ve never trusted polling to begin with.
It has now been weaponized to sway voter opinion and return a certain outcome.
I was a data analyst for 14 years and one of many things that gig taught me was “outcome” (polling results) can be completely manipulated by the input (the way polling questions are asked)......and it can be done in such a way that’s so subtle many won’t even realize it ever happened.......trust me....I did it myself.
Fortunately those women have short term memories