[PGR88]

Trump was never ahead in the RCP average in Michigan in 2020.

Do 2016 results follow a similar trend?

[TexasFreeper2009]

RCP average in 2016 Clinton 47.0 Trump 43.4

Trump was never ahead in the average in Michigan in 2016 either but managed to win.

Clinton 47% Trump 47.3 final vote totals

This year.. Trump has been AHEAD by several points for 6 months! So he is outperforming 2016 and 2020 in Michigan!