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The Rise of Manufacturing Marks the Fall of Globalization
Stratfor ^ | June 7, 2016 | Rebecca Keller

Posted on 06/14/2016 11:34:30 PM PDT by nakutny

Opportunities for producing and assembling products and their components have spread worldwide, making it is easier for countries to climb the production value ladder. States at the bottom, extracting raw materials, can gradually move up, first making low-value components and then progressing to higher-value ones or basic assembly. But just as technology spurred globalization and the shifts in international trade that followed, so, too, will it revolutionize how countries again do business with one another. Compounded by the economic and demographic changes taking place today, automation, advanced robotics and software-driven technologies are ushering in a new era — one of shorter supply chains that will provide fewer opportunities for the developing world.

(Excerpt) Read more at stratfor.com ...


TOPICS: General Discussion; Issues
KEYWORDS: economy; industry; technology
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To: Maceman
I think permanently exporting all leftists to outer space should be the number one item on the agenda.

OK, but be careful of the telephone sanitizers! /HHGTTG>

21 posted on 07/24/2016 7:10:14 PM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: BeauBo

A little late replying, but to counter your point: my husband developed robotics that automatically sewed and stacked sections of garments. The machine replaced having to pay persons in the U.S small wages, but had to meet meet all the OCEA, environmental, etc. regulations.

Nafta destroyed his division’s purpose and shut down every other company in the U.S. that developed similar equipment.

Try to find a garment factory in the U.S. now.

It became cheaper for U.S. companies to pay Mexicans pennies to sew, and ruin their environment and health, than to let an existing machine continue running in the U.S.

Those robotics won’t be an option for 3rd world countries in this lifetime.

You should watch the shows like “How It’s Made” and guess whether a country could buy and maintain machines, much less train uneducated locals.


22 posted on 08/04/2016 3:02:28 PM PDT by nakutny
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To: Eric Pode of Croydon
I hope there are some smart conservatives who are thinking about how to make conservative ideas work within an economy where 40-50 percent of today’s jobs are automated.

Well, we have to make clear that we value the individual and the life of the individual. The Left can't go there. But many on the so-called "Right" can't, either.

23 posted on 08/04/2016 3:11:18 PM PDT by Mr. Jeeves ([CTRL]-[GALT]-[DELETE])
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To: nakutny

Today, robots are expensive (so were computers a few decades back).

As the price of robots goes down, and their productivity goes up, they will gradually take over one task after another, spreading to more and more places, and replacing more and more people. Eventually they will be cheap and simple enough to replace third world unskilled labor. It is just a matter of time.

Computers used to be very difficult to use, requiring special skills and lots of training. Now they are made as toddler’s toys. Robots will become easier to use too - eventually just downloading their own training.

“robotics won’t be an option for 3rd world countries in this lifetime.”

I guess that depends on how long you expect to live. This decade, robots are unbolting from the factory floor, and starting to move among us - self-driving cars, Amazon delivery drones, Roomba vacuum cleaners. In the next decade, they will have more general purpose human-like capability to manipulate tools, recognize faces and conduct verbal conversations.

Some technologies actually penetrate the third world quicker than here. It is common to pay for taxi rides in Nairobi with a cell phone today. They are disadvantaged for things that require high capital investment and high skills.

By 2020, at current rates, the total switching power equivalent of a human brain will cost about $1,000, and can have its own Internet connection to everything on the Web, and remote supercomputer data centers.

More intelligence and connectivity will be built into existing products, evolving them into robots of sorts. Five, or twenty five million dollar factory machines that require high skill operators and maintainers may not penetrate the third world very soon - but 3D printers or upgraded milling machines that cost as much as a motorcycle or car sure can spread fast.

India is already a large market for manufacturing robots. Chinese businessmen are already installing some in their textile and footwear factories in Ethiopia. Whole new classes of robots are on the horizon - eventually, everyone will have them. Japan has been planning to build a consumer robotics industry to rival their automotive and consumer electronics industries. Their plans remain on track so far. They project that next decade, it will become one of the largest components of their economy.


24 posted on 08/04/2016 4:26:01 PM PDT by BeauBo
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To: Gen-X-Dad

Why does an automated factory need to be in China? Why not Indiana?


25 posted on 11/22/2017 11:51:12 AM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: Cronos

Bull. We offshored factories to exploit cheap labor and maximize profits. The fact the globalist lowered our trade barriers to extremely low levels made this all possible. This put Americans workers in direct competition wit the 3rd word .It was nasty and cutthroat and the political ramifications are coming home to roost.


26 posted on 11/22/2017 11:55:44 AM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: Eric Pode of Croydon

Automation is not the problem, offshoring is the problem.


27 posted on 11/22/2017 11:56:31 AM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: central_va
And in this case, it's Samsung and LG who want to "onshore" and open more plants employing Americans. It's Whirlpool which wants to use the government to freeze out the competition.

Like my tagline?

28 posted on 11/22/2017 2:54:14 PM PST by Eric Pode of Croydon (I'm an unreconstructed Free Trader and I do not give a damn.)
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To: central_va

Oops, I thought you were replying to the article I posted the other day, not a comment from last year.....


29 posted on 11/22/2017 3:01:30 PM PST by Eric Pode of Croydon (I'm an unreconstructed Free Trader and I do not give a damn.)
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