Good point. And, the previous pope, Joseph Ratzinger, didn't think the Holy Spirit has much to do with it:
"I would not say so, in the sense that the Holy Spirit picks out the Pope. … I would say that the Spirit does not exactly take control of the affair, but rather like a good educator, as it were, leaves us much space, much freedom, without entirely abandoning us. Thus the Spirit’s role should be understood in a much more elastic sense, not that he dictates the candidate for whom one must vote. Probably the only assurance he offers is that the thing cannot be totally ruined...There are too many contrary instances of popes the Holy Spirit obviously would not have picked!
-- from the Patheos article Does the Holy Spirit pick the pope? Ratzinger didn’t think so.
Ratzinger would be right.