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McClintock Beats Bustamante in CA Recall!
Gallup Poll ^ | 9/30/03 | Gallup Poll

Posted on 09/30/2003 3:43:00 PM PDT by evilsmoker

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Sen. Tom McClintock makes a point during the a debate between California gubernatorial recall candidates Wednesday, September 24, 2003 in Sacramento. . Zuma Press/Sacramento Bee photo: J. Decker
Either McClintock or Schwarzenegger Likely Winner in California if Other Dropped Out
With Arnold Schwarzenegger the Republican front-runner in the California gubernatorial contest, many GOP officials have pressured California State Sen. Tom McClintock to drop out of the race, fearing he will divide the Republican vote and allow Democratic Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante to win. A CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll, conducted over the past weekend, shows that McClintock does indeed draw support away from Schwarzenegger, though not enough to deprive the actor of the lead among probable voters. But the poll also shows that if Schwarzenegger were not in the race, McClintock would likely be in first place by a substantial margin, rather than behind Bustamante.
 
Tuesday, September 30, 2003
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9/29 - California Voters Say Yes to Recall, Schwarzenegger in New Poll

9/26 - Americans Still Reluctant to Call France an "Ally"

9/25 - Economy, Terrorism Top Issues in 2004 Election Vote

9/24 - Clark Bolts to Front of Democratic Field

9/23 - Americans Grow More Doubtful About Iraq War




A majority of registered voters in California say they are extremely or very interested in the recall election.
How interested would you say you are in this recall election - extremely interested, very interested, moderately interested, only a little interested, or not at all interested?
± 4% Margin of Error
September 25-27, 2003
Sample Size= 787
Registered voters in
California



TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: california; graydavis; mcclintock; recall
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To: onyx
Yep...LOL

Anyone, any candidate, who has to use the word " princpled ", or his ardent followers do, doesn't deserve the appelation.

181 posted on 09/30/2003 7:52:08 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: PhiKapMom
Hmmmmmmmm ... let's see... Issa's now a RINO, Haynes is a RINO,every single FREEPER, who is NOT going to vote for/ doesn't FULLY support Tom is a RINO, the California GOP, which endorsed Arnold,are RINOS, and by extenstion, Sean Hannity, Ann Coulter, Mark Levin, et al are now RINOS !

You know what ? I'd much prefer to be in THAT exaulted company, than in the group calling us all RINO . ;^)

182 posted on 09/30/2003 7:55:27 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: ArneFufkin
In the first place, watch your language. Secondly, I wasn't even talking to you, so watch your tone, boy.

You say even the most liberal Pubbies are more conservative than any 'Rat...well, that's debateable. I'd put not only Zell Miller's, but also Bruce Breaux's record up against Chafee's, Spector's, Snowe's, Collins', etc. They can't be the only two, but I'm still willing to give you the benefit of the doubt.

Furthermore, even if liberal Pubbies are more to the right than 'Rats, it's not by much. Anyone who says that they're for tax relief, but but spouts anti-gun lies, is for "gay" marriage, is unwilling to overturn ridiculous laws allowing illegal scumbag aliens to get drivers' licenses, or use their Matriculas as an official ID, and so on, is still way too far to the left for any real conservative to vote for. A conservative who does vote for such a candidate is selling out his or her principles for the sake of party, and is one sad individual.

I agree with you about all the "neo" and "paleo" conservative crap we've been hearing over the last few years. Conservatism is what it is...period. A lot of people who call themselves conservatives are not in the slightest.

Scouts Out! Cavalry Ho!

183 posted on 09/30/2003 7:58:32 PM PDT by wku man ("I'm not a hero...I just like hitting people in the head!" Nelson Munz)
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To: nopardons
The Balkinisation of FR, is here to stay and shall, IMHO, only continue to get worse.

Unfortunately I agree with that statement. Looks like it is splitting more and more between Conservative Republicans who support the Administration and Republican candidates including Arnold and the other groups who claim to be Republican "principled" conservatives but then go on to say they will stay home if their "principled" candidate doesn't get the nod. Those folks are NOT Republicans IMHO -- we were in the minority for too many years to stay home and not vote!

184 posted on 09/30/2003 8:00:43 PM PDT by PhiKapMom (Support our President -- Donate to Bush-Cheney '04 (www.georgewbush.com/donate))
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To: Lancey Howard
See, for these people, McClintock is one more name for their tiny brains to remember. They already remember Arnold form their celebrity gossip shows and Oui magazine articles. They are infactuated with him and I think in several cases, they have a crush on him that has little to do with politics. Look at all the graphics that put him in movie-like situations or phrases that use lines from his movies which are inserted into promotional material. For people with below average IQ's having to think things through in a critical and sensible manner is just to taxing.
I don't think a lot of these people are conservatives because they believe in the ideals, it's just a team to be on because daddy was on it, or it seemed cool to go against (or with) the rest of the crowd. A lot of people here think that it takes a lot of brains to become a conservative, but just like being a liberal, it doesn't because you can just copy the guy next to you. If you agree with Arnold on the issues then you honestly vote for him, but turning this into a high-school popularity contest is just demeaning and embarrassing to all involved. People who would vote for Arnold because they have seen him in movies are a greater danger to the nation than the Bustamente voters, who at least have some idea as to why they are voting for him (which obviously excludes those voting for him exclusivly for being Latino or exclusivly for being a Democrat).
185 posted on 09/30/2003 8:03:39 PM PDT by Dat
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To: PhiKapMom
LA Times poll: Schwarzenegger 40, Bustamante 32, McClintock 15

Uh, Oh

186 posted on 09/30/2003 8:07:23 PM PDT by deport (Why does McClintock think he's entitled to the Governor's Office?)
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To: PhiKapMom
When RINOs become conservative again, that's what they'll be called. Until then, they're RINOs.

This is the first time you've heard of principled conservatives? Where were you when Bush was campaigning as a "compassionate" conservative, or even worse in '96, when Jack Kemp was calling himself a "bleeding heart conservative"? This is not a new debate. The GOP has been splitting ever since half of the party decided it was easier to compromise it's principles, and the other half decided to stay true to what the GOP (once) stood for. Conservatism is principled, it is compassionate, in and of itself. Anyone who sides with party over principle is not a conservative.

Scouts Out! Cavalry Ho!

187 posted on 09/30/2003 8:07:47 PM PDT by wku man ("I'm not a hero...I just like hitting people in the head!" Nelson Munz)
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To: PhiKapMom
They are far from being " principled "; they're just having a case of the " terrible tows " ! The old " I"m gonna hold my breath and turn blue, if I don't get what I want ... IMMEDIATELY ", jusr doesn't cut it. No Conservative, no Republican, no one, NO ONE, who really desires getting rid of as many elected Dems, as is humanly possible,would say that/ stay home and NOT vote !

If the ONLY raison d'etre, of FR, is going to be to elect the purist of the pure, then many of us are on the wrong site. If, OTOH, one of FR's unbending goals is to remeove Dems from office and keep them out, them there are others, who don't belong here. The ALL OR NOTHINGers, fail to see that there are places, in the USA, where baby steps are required first and that this nation is NOT all that Conservative.

What seperates the GOPers, from the Dems, more than anything else, is that a Dem WILL vote for anyone with a D after their name, but the GOPers won't. What this has done and continue to do, is to keep Dems in power. We need a fillibuster proof Senate and until that time,any GOPer should be elected. We need a TRUE majority in BOTH Houses AND the presidency. We need as many GOP governors, mayors, etc.,as can be elected ! If they all aren't 100% " PURE ", so what ? That time shall NEVER even be approachable, unless the GOP is string enough to have convinced the general populace that it really IS they better party, with the better positions.

WHEN IT'S A CHOICE OF ALL OR NOTHING, THE ALL OR NOTHING CROWD WILL ALWAYS GET N-O-T-H-I-N-G !

188 posted on 09/30/2003 8:14:50 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: PhiKapMom
Anyone who is so obtuse or unsophisticated to not understand that without electoral success and political office, principles and ideologies cannot be protected, won and codified, aren't worth the time of day. Electoral success necessitaties a consensus and the accomodations and compromises that entails.

People who have no desire to change their world, no will to work within the parameters of a real political landscape, no intent to address their grievences or pursue their principles in serious ways need to be kicked to the curb wit' a quickness.

A principled vote for an unelectable Tom McClintock, who could never deliver a pro-life, anti-gay and immigration satisfaction from the Sacramento Governor office even if elected - is not to be respected or admired or understood in any way. It's nothing but a selfish fashion statement.

"Conservative" still has a distinct political and ideological meaning in the world outside Free Republic, but it has been mangled beyond recognition within the forum. When Michael Medved, Dennis Prager, Hugh Hewitt, Dana Rohrbacher, Duke Cunningham, Chris Cox, Sean Hannity, Bill Thomas, Bill Simon and Duncan Hunter are no longer considered "real conservatives" by mutants here ... I don't want to be a "real conservative".

The California GOP is now Arnold's party. The sweet little power and financial motherlode the unappeasables enjoyed and maintained through their perennial LOSING is hitherto TERMINATED.

Californians got Gray Davis, Barbara Boxer, Dianne Feinstein, Bill Lockyear and Socialist Democrat rule because the California GOP was run by hacks who deemed any Republican capable of statewide election automatically unfit and not Conservative enough to support.

That's the angst here. The McClintock gang are losing their franchise, and all the power and money that goes with it.

189 posted on 09/30/2003 8:19:42 PM PDT by ArneFufkin
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To: BunnySlippers
(I'm voting for Arnold. McClintock doesn't deserve my vote!)

You find it offensive that a conservative would stand by his principles? Or that he was right all along about being able to win the election?

There's still time to break out of the brainwashing, Bunny! We don't have to let the RINOs push us around!

Come over to the Light, Bunny, while there's still time!

190 posted on 09/30/2003 8:22:54 PM PDT by JoeSchem
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To: ArneFufkin
That is the best analysis I have seen of what is going on with these folks! Explains a lot!

Glad to know that CA GOP is getting back to what it should be doing -- nominating candidates that can win!

Like you, I don't want any part of being a "real" conservative! Those type words raise the hair on the back of my neck now after all of this!
191 posted on 09/30/2003 8:27:14 PM PDT by PhiKapMom (Support our President -- Donate to Bush-Cheney '04 (www.georgewbush.com/donate))
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To: PeoplesRep_of_LA
If all ya got to sell is "Gloom and Doom", I'm not buying it.

I think you are the one is trying to repeat a failed history, but the rest of us aren't going for it this time. I will vote with confidence and optimism for a renewal of the Republican Party in California, and a better life in California. You are throwing your vote into the trash bin of a failed vision.
192 posted on 09/30/2003 8:32:04 PM PDT by TheDon (Tick, tock, tick, tock....the sound of the clock ticking off the time until Tom drops out.)
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To: wku man
Anyone who sides with party over principle is not a conservative.

Since that is the case, you have no right to call any Republican a RINO -- you are obviously a "principled" conservative who puts principle over winning -- so quit call those of us who are lifelong Republicans RINO's -- you have no right since you obviously are not a Republican!

193 posted on 09/30/2003 8:34:17 PM PDT by PhiKapMom (Support our President -- Donate to Bush-Cheney '04 (www.georgewbush.com/donate))
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To: PhiKapMom
What cracks me up is how many Constitution Party folks throw the "RINO" label around...why should they give a hoot?
194 posted on 09/30/2003 8:35:14 PM PDT by Poohbah ("[Expletive deleted] 'em if they can't take a joke!" -- Major Vic Deakins, USAF)
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To: wku man
I'm not taking pot shots, Jeff

I guess I have become overly sensitive to volume and the nature of the dialog from the out-of-staters. When I see things like "liberal Pubbie administration," I don't feel someone is trying to engage in a serious debate. The use of pejoratives such as "Pubbie" to describe the person I am voting for feels like a pot shot. However, since you have explicitly said that you are not taking pot shots, I will take a second look at your question.

If you don't mind, I will rephrase your question
What is the difference between a Cruz and Arnold administration?

Cruz is an ultra-liberal. He is even more deeply entrenched in the socialist ideology than Davis is. Going from Davis to Cruz will only make things much worse for us here in California and for you in Florida.

I prefer my ideologues to be on the conservative side of the fence. Tom is a fine conservative ideologue. He would make a good governor but he really does not stand a chance of winning.

Arnold is not as much of a conservative ideologue as Tom is, but Arnold is on the right side of the fence. He does hold many, but not all, of the conservative values I hold.

The bottom line is that I don't want to see Cruz win. No way. If Arnold is the alternative, then so be it.

As I stated in the post you originally responded to, either Arnold or Tom needs to drop out. One of them needs to drop out to shot down that Cruz missile that is heading for Sacramento. The only question is, "which one should drop out?" I think the one that is polling the worse should be the one.

If polls for Arnold and Tim where switched, I truely believe that Arnold would act like the man of character that he is and drop out.

195 posted on 09/30/2003 8:35:56 PM PDT by Jeff Gordon (Anyone who accepts the LA Times as the truth has no business calling anyone a RINO.)
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To: ElkGroveDan
Dan,
I admire your persistance.
Your fellow, supposedly conservative, travellers have seen the light at the end of the tunnel, and refuse to admit it is an oncoming train.
I would fly over to your state and vote, but since I am not an illegal alien, I would probably be jailed for it.
I hope our side wins in California.
It is no longer possible to pretend that long term and formerly respected posters on FR, are on "our" side.
I am a little rusty on my Bible verses, but the gist of one strikes me as appropriate here:
What does it profit a man to loose his soul to gain....

196 posted on 09/30/2003 8:37:15 PM PDT by sarasmom (Pray for Terri Schiavo..Sentenced to be executed by starvation to begin on 10/15/03)
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To: evilsmoker
Another poll to go along with the just released LA TIMES POLL...... very different approach but the trend still shows the same.....


CA NexGen BIGpoll: Davis-Out; Arnold-In
Tuesday September 30, 3:40 pm ET

- Over 7000 Speak Out in CA's Largest Scientific Poll -

WASHINGTON, Sept. 30 /PRNewswire/ -- With one week until election day in America's largest state, the California NexGen BIGpoll of 7,097 registered Golden State voters finds that just over 61% will vote to remove Governor Gray Davis from office in the Recall Election scheduled for October 7, 2003. And according to results, Arnold Schwarzenegger will top the field by almost a sizable double-digit margin over his nearest rival, Lt. Governor Cruz Bustamante in the Replacement Election to fill the office of Governor.

Paul F. Welday, President of Renaissance Strategies, a leading business and political communications firm, said, "Not only is Arnold Schwarzenegger bringing home the Republican vote, but he has made a sizable dent in Cruz Bustamante's support among Democrats. And only 4.8% separates Arnold from Bustamante among Hispanic voters with 32% going Schwarzenegger's way. Only one in five Republicans now support Tom McClintock and it looks like his campaign is over."

The poll was conducted by BIGresearch for Renaissance Strategies between September 23-27 sampled 7,097 registered voters from throughout California via e-mail using sampling techniques pioneered for business and industry. The poll's margin of error is +1%/-1%.

In the election as to whether to recall Governor Gray Davis, California voters are clearly looking for change with 61.4% saying he should be recalled. 38.6% of California voters believe he should stay in office. Recall fever is particularly high in Southern California with 70.5% of San Diego area voters and 69.2% of Los Angeles voters intending to vote Governor Davis out of office. And younger voters between the ages of 18-34 want Davis out by 68.2% to 31.8% margin.

In the Replacement Election to succeed Davis, actor Arnold Schwarzenegger has pulled ahead to a dramatic lead over the large field of candidates with 39.7% of voters indicating support for his candidacy. Lt. Governor Cruz Bustamante follows with 23.6%, State Senator Tom McClintock has 12.6%, Green Party candidate Peter Camejo pulls 3.6%, Independent Arianna Huffington has 2.8% and all other candidates record 4.2%. 13.4% of California voters remain undecided with less than one week to go.


197 posted on 09/30/2003 8:44:35 PM PDT by deport (Why does McClintock think he's entitled to the Governor's Office?)
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To: Poohbah
No kidding! That's what sent me over the top -- they are not even Republicans and they are calling everyone RINO's!
198 posted on 09/30/2003 8:46:25 PM PDT by PhiKapMom (Support our President -- Donate to Bush-Cheney '04 (www.georgewbush.com/donate))
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To: Dat
Sorry, but I have to disagree with you.

I believe that many of the fine FReepers who live in California are so blindly desperate to get rid of Davis that they will throw away all principles and convictions and support anybody who calls himself a "Republican" if they think that person has a chance to win, even if that person is pro-gun control, pro-homosexual adoption, pro-abortion, pro-illegal alien, etc.

See, they are choking to death and they need somebody to empty the contents of a BIC pen and jam the hollow tube that's left into their throats, just below the Adam's apple. They really don't care who does it, but it better be somebody, and quick.

They are not (necessarily) "RINOs" - - they have simply lost their senses. I think it's temporary.
199 posted on 09/30/2003 8:56:47 PM PDT by Lancey Howard
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To: Lancey Howard; Dat
Wow!!! Both you and Dat should go on a date together. Then you can have little fascist, elitest children together. Who will revel in their self-delusioned dwindling sense of self-importance.

It's alright though low self-esteem usually prompts people to believe that they're better than they really are. I understand.
200 posted on 09/30/2003 9:07:01 PM PDT by Tempest
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